Vegas Value Chart: Week 16

Quarterback: &nbsp; Jared Goff (Rams), Joe Flacco (Ravens), Alex Smith (Chiefs), Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers), Dak Prescott (Cowboys)
Running Back: &nbsp; Todd Gurley (Rams), Ezekiel Elliott (Cowboys),&nbsp;
Receivers: &nbsp; Robert Woods / Cooper Kupp / Sammy Watkins (Rams), Jeremy Maclin / Mike Wallace / Ben Watson (Ravens), Tyreek Hill / Albert Wilson / Travis Kelce (Chiefs), JuJu Smith-Schuster / Martavis Bryant / Jesse James (Steelers),&nbsp; Dez Bryant / Terrance Williams / Jason Witten (Cowboys)
Defense: &nbsp;Bears, Vikings

John Lee Published 12/19/2017

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

Updated Thursday 12/21 @ 9 PM (EST)

Team	Opponent	Away	Game Total	Team Total	Running	Pass	Team Defense
New England	Buffalo	-12	47	29.5	+++	+++	+
New Orleans	Atlanta	-5.5	52.5	29	+++	+++
Carolina	Tampa Bay	-10	46.5	28.25	+++	+++
Philadelphia	Oakland	-9	47.5	28.25	+++	+++
Balitmore	Indianapolis	-13.5	41	27.25	+++	++	+++
LA Rams	Tennessee	-6.5	47.5	27	++	++
Kansas City	Miami	-10.5	43.5	27	+++	++	+
Pittsburgh	Houston	-9	45	27	+++	++	+
Dallas	Seattle	-5	47.5	26.25	++	++
Minnesota	Green Bay	-9	41	25	+	+	++
LA Chargers	NY Jets	-7	42.5	24.75	+	+	+
Detroit	Cincinnati	-4	44	24	+	+
Atlanta	New Orleans	5.5	52.5	23.5
Jacksonville	San Francisco	-4	42	23
Chicago	Cleveland	-6.5	38	22.25			++
Washington	Denver	-3.5	40.5	22
Arizona	NY Giants	-3.5	40	21.75
Seattle	Dallas	5	47.5	21.25
Tennessee	LA Rams	6.5	47.5	20.5
Cincinnati	Detroit	4	44	20
Oakland	Philadelphia	9	47.5	19.25
San Francisco	Jacksonville	4	42	19
Denver	Washington	3.5	40.5	18.5
Tampa Bay	Carolina	10	46.5	18.25
NY Giants	Arizona	3.5	40	18.25
Houston	Pittsburgh	9	45	18
NY Jets	LA Chargers	7	42.5	17.75
Buffalo	New England	12	47	17.5
Miami	Kansas City	10.5	43.5	16.5
Green Bay	Minnesota	9	41	16
Cleveland	Chicago	6.5	38	15.75
Indianapolis	Baltimore	13.5	41	13.75