Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy and each week this offseason I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania III tournament a couple of weeks ago, excitement has been growing each day. Each week I want to break down what has changed from the previous week when it comes to NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. I like to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks we are looking at NFL players and more specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week I will look at the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com that was created by Sam Hoppen to examine the top 10 risers and the top 10 fallers at ADP. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news we have coming in that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
Top 10 ADP Risers
Rank | Player | Position | Team | Current (May 15) ADP | ADP Change |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | K.J. Hamler | WR | DEN | 180.9 | 17.7 |
2 | Jamison Crowder | WR | BUF | 145.4 | 15.4 |
3 | Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 165.2 | 15.2 |
4 | Tyrion Davis-Price | RB | SF | 179.8 | 14.9 |
5 | Tim Patrick | WR | DEN | 135.9 | 14.6 |
6 | Jarvis Landry | WR | NO | 149.2 | 14.3 |
7 | Robert Tonyan Jr | TE | GB | 135.6 | 11.6 |
8 | Tyler Allgeier | RB | ATL | 144.0 | 10.3 |
9 | Nyheim Hines | RB | IND | 159.9 | 9.7 |
10 | Mecole Hardman | WR | KC | 131.2 | 8.7 |
***These ten ADP risers are based on the dates 05/08/2022-05/15/22***
Now with Best Ball drafts settling in on the rookie landing spots, we are going to see a very tight ADP change over the next few weeks. Player news is also going to be slower over these next few weeks so any news that comes in might drive the price on players up and down more than it probably should. We are seeing the key piece of news this week in Jerry Jeudy getting into some trouble off the field and how quickly the market adjusts as his teammates K.J. Hamler and Tim Patrick are both two of the top five ADP risers on the week. Jarvis Landry is another riser as he signed a deal with the New Orleans Saints. We will continue to see his ADP rise as drafters adjust to the trade.
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