The Draft Dominator is our most advanced draft tool and supports the widest range of leagues.
Rank | Player | Team | AVG | High | Low | Sigmund Bloom | Dave Kluge | Danny Tuccitto | Bob Henry | Jason Wood | Justin Howe | Jeff Haseley | Anthony Amico | Ryan Weisse | Jeff Bell | Maurile Tremblay | Sam Wagman | Chad Parsons | Andy Hicks |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | IND | 1.3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
2 | CAR | 2.6 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
3 | LAC | 3.0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | |
4 | TEN | 5.7 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | |
5 | PIT | 5.8 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | |
6 | CIN | 5.8 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 5 | |
7 | MIN | 6.7 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 10 | |
8 | TB | 8.6 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 7 | |
9 | DET | 9.3 | 6 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 16 | |
10 | GB | 11.1 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 12 | |
11 | NO | 11.5 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 6 | |
12 | ARI | 13.1 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 13 | |
13 | NYG | 13.4 | 9 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 20 | |
14 | CLE | 14.2 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 9 | |
15 | DEN | 14.4 | 8 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
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Jonathan Taylor
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Taylor still has untapped receiving upside and Matt Ryan's addition is poised to increase the efficiency of the offense to move the chains, sustain drives, and provide Taylor with red zone opportunities. While not on Christian McCaffrey's level to lap the position in fantasy scoring, Taylor is in the next tier of running backs.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: One of the few workhorses in the NFL, and returns to the same situation that made him elite in 2021, save for an upgrade at quarterback. The easy choice as the first overall pick in most leagues.
Andy Hicks on Jun 14: Jonathan Taylor is exactly who you want from your elite running back. Youth, durability, touchdowns, rushing yardage, receptions and receiving yardage. As safe as you can get at running back. Perfect in any format, PPR, Best Ball and Dynasty.
Jeff Bell on May 31: Taylor blends youth, home run ability, reliance within the team's offensive structure, and a dominant run-blocking line to stand as the clear top back. Taylor saw nearly double the red zone rush attempts (85) as the second-place finisher (Austin Ekeler, 46), and 51 receiving targets in his second season is in range with a back like Dalvin Cook.
Ryan Weisse on May 23: Taylor was the best running back in fantasy in 2021 and the team got better this offseason. With Matt Ryan running the offense, Taylor can probably expect better usage in the passing game and not take the presumed large step back in touchdowns. He may not find the endzone 20 times again but he won't have to in order to remain the RB1 in fantasy. There is no safer first round pick
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Jonathan Taylor is one of the safest running back picks in the first round of drafts, let alone the best. He has 32 touchdowns in his first two years and he is coming off 1,800 yards rushing. At age 23 he is still young to be concerned with overuse. The Colts have tailored their offense to fit Taylor's game. He is as safe as they come regarding fantasy picks.
Christian McCaffrey
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Injuries have marred McCaffrey for two seasons, but his per-game dominance when healthy is still a fantasy trump card. A player is injury prone until they are not. If McCaffrey is healthy, he has starting-two-players-in-your-lineup upside.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: McCaffrey's injury history and the Panthers' dismal offensive outlook should be enough to keep McCaffrey off first-round draft boards. But when he plays, he's capable of more than almost anyone else in the league. I love the risk/reward of him as a second-round pick, but someone in your league probably takes him in the first.
Andy Hicks on Jun 14: Christian McCaffrey cannot continue to be one of the high draft picks in all formats in fantasy leagues. In the last two years he has finished just over a handful of games fit and healthy. The last time he played in and completed four games in a row was in 2019. Running Back is one position where time moves on quickly. The Panthers wanted to trade him, but other teams baulked at his injuries and price tag. At his best, sure he deserves to be considered as the first running back off the board. In 2022, you risk losing your draft at a higher chance than winning it if he is on your roster.
Jeff Bell on May 31: Since 2018 McCaffrey has been a force in fantasy when available. That is the rub; he has only played 10 of a possible 33 games in the past two seasons. The team added D'Onta Foreman, an early-down bruiser, and how much of McCaffrey's workload he takes is an open question. Redzone could be the real question; in his dominant 2019, McCaffrey led the league with 17 attempts inside the five; if Foreman can chip into that role, the ceiling may not be what we have come to expect.
Ryan Weisse on May 23: It has been a wild ride for managers drafting McCaffrey over the last two seasons. When he plays, no one is close to him in fantasy. He puts up quarterback numbers from the running back slot. He lets you play Super Flex in a single quarterback league. Unfortunately, he's played just 10 games in that span. He's still worth the gamble in every draft, because injuries are a risk for every one, but not every one can win you your week in a single game.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: It's difficult to believe Christian McCaffrey was snake-bitten with injuries in each of the last two years. He conditions himself extremely well and is hellbent on returning to form. He'll be running behind an improved offensive line which should help his rushing game. If he can stay healthy he has the ability to lead all running backs in fantasy points.
Austin Ekeler
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The Chargers added Isaiah Spiller in the NFL Draft, but that is more of a statement about the rest of the Chargers running backs than discounting Austin Ekeler's upside. There are easy decisions in fantasy football and targeting the starting running back with big receiving upside for the Chargers offense is one of the easy buttons.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Ekeler has no holes in his game, even his durability has improved after a few seasons of spotty availability.
Andy Hicks on Jun 14: Career highs, by a long way, in rushing attempts, rushing yardage and most importantly touchdowns for Austin Ekeler . Any doubts about his ability to be the lead back were clearly dispelled. The Chargers add another later round running back in Isaiah Spiller, but he poses no threat. A safe proposition in all formats, although in dynasty he is already 27. His light use should prolong him safely with good health
Jeff Bell on May 31: Ekeler's breakout 2021 was buoyed by touchdowns (20 total, nine more than his previous high). In 2020 the red zone opportunities were split between three backs (Ekeler, Kallen Ballage, and Joshua Kelley, all 24-27). That usage shifted to 65 Ekeler, 25 Justin Jackson, a ratio that mirrored OC Joe Lombardi's time in New Orleans, splitting work between Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram. There is reason to believe Ekeler's role can keep up with the addition of Isaiah Spiller.
Ryan Weisse on May 23: The Chargers offense is one of my favorites for fantasy football this year and that translates to another great season for Austin Ekeler. No back in the league outside of Christian McCaffrey does what Ekeler can in the passing game and his rushing numbers caught up to that production in 2021. Remember that yardage is your goal in non-PPR leagues, and don't let Ekeler's perceived role as a receiving-back scare you off.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Austin Eleker is a two-way weapon as a rusher and receiver. He's on a strong offense and has shown that he can be relied upon as a scorer, topping 20 touchdowns last year (12 rushing, 8 receiving). He's a top 3 fantasy pick this year.
Derrick Henry
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Tennessee did not aggressively address the position in the NFL Draft and A.J. Brown is gone in a draft day trade. The Titans offense will run through Henry again in 2022. The biggest question is when the wheels like fall off of the power back at his escalating age and workload.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Henry finally succumbed to a meaningful injury last year, and that may signal the end of his 350+ touch annual workload. But the Titans didn't add anyone credible to spell him for more than a few series. Buy the bounceback.
Andy Hicks on Jun 14: With the departure of A.J. Brown and Ryan Tannehill under pressure, expect the Titans to continue working Derrick Henry into the dirt. Missing eight games last year was the first setback in his career recently and given hi advancing age and toll the position takes, those in Dynasty leagues may seek to reap maximum benefit. For redraft and best ball leagues he will be the anchor of your lineup.
Jeff Bell on May 31: Henry's usage puts him in the same tier as Taylor in standard leagues, though passing game involvement lowers him in PPR formats. There is little concern about rebounding from the injury that cost most of the 2021 season. The most significant question mark is a passing game that loses A.J. Brown and saw Ryan Tannehill with his lowest passer rating since 2015 and 14 interceptions, the second-highest in his career.
Jeff Haseley on May 27: Derrick Henry was Mr. Unstoppable for several years. Then, a foot injury slowed his progress. What if the foot injury is the beginning of the end of his elite career? If anyone can bulldoze his way through an injury and come out the other side, it's Henry. However, I can also see him being less of a dominant force as a result of his injury and the wear and tear his body is accumulating.
Ryan Weisse on May 23: The biggest concern we all must bake into drafting Henry is what the workload will look like in 2022. After 303 carries in 2019 and 378 in 2020, he was on pace for 418 in 2021. An injury cut that workload in half but it is clear that the Titans have no issue feeding him the ball over and over again. With the loss of AJ Brown and no threat added at running back, it is clear that philosophy shouldn't change much, but can his body handle it?
Najee Harris
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Harris is one of the few foundation back profiles and the Steelers offense cannot be much worse through the air than the 2021 version with an eyeing-retirement Ben Roethlisberger. Harris' floor is within the top-15 of the position with top-five a strong possibility.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Harris wasn't particularly efficient on a per-touch basis, but that doesn't matter to fantasy managers if he's going to get 20+ touches per game. Monitor training camp as Harris allegedly put on significant weight this offseason. But if he rounds into shape, draft in the first round with confidence.
Andy Hicks on Jun 14: Najee Harris had a fantastic rookie season with 300 rushing attempts, 10 touchdown and even 74 receptions. The departure of Ben Roethlisberger means he should be even more potent and key to the Steelers success. Greater mobility at quarterback can only help further. Safe near the top in all formats.
Jeff Bell on May 31: Harris's 94 receiving targets led all NFL RBs. No back has a firmer grip on a bellcow role in his team's offense. The only thing holding Harris back is questions about his offensive line and quarterback, two significant concerns. Harris's opportunity share gives him a chance at finishing as the overall RB1.
Ryan Weisse on May 23: Pittsburgh's offensive line was as bad as advertised in 2021 and Harris still got the job done for fantasy managers. While his 3.9 yards per carry were not pretty, volume made up for it. A rookie year of 381 touches is what fantasy managers dream of and his 10 touchdowns were icing on the cake. However, expectations of massive improvement may be overblown. While Ben Roethlisberger was bad, are we sure Mitch Trubisky is better? And the Steelers did not do a lot to improve their offensive line. Harris is sure to see the bulk of the carries but if Trubisky doesn't throw to the running back the way that Roethlisberger did, a step back is not out of the question.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Najee Harris was effective as a rookie, making a splash as a rusher and receiver despite a sub-par Steelers offensive line. At worst he will receive a ton of volume and will contribute on every possession. At best, he continues to develop, the Steelers offense thrives, and Harris is one of the top 3 fantasy running backs in the league.
Joe Mixon
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Joe Mixon enjoys a depth chart without a strong RB2 presence and leading a high-powered Bengals offense. Mixon hit a career-high in fantasy production in 2021, fueled by 16 total touchdowns. Still, the lone missing piece from an elite finish is improving on his 42 receptions from a year ago.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: The Bengals' improbable run to the Super Bowl came thanks to the Burrow/Chase/Higgins passing breakthrough, but Joe Mixon's value didn't take a hit in the process; it improved. Expect another dynamic RB1 season in 2022.
Andy Hicks on Jun 14: With the Cincinnati Bengals having their best season in generations, Joe Mixon welcomed the improvement in the passing game by having a career year. Double digit touchdowns, career highs in receiving and rushing yardage all suggest he may be in for another peak season in 2022. The Bengals offense is young and still improving. One of the safer elite running backs out there.
Jeff Bell on May 31: Mixon saw career highs in rushing yards (1,205) and touchdowns (13). The most considerable improvement may have been in the passing game; he posted an 88% catch rate, ten percentage points higher than his average over the previous three seasons. Through week 14, he saw 2.4 targets per game; from week 15 to the Super Bowl, that increased to 5.33. That usage would add ~35 receptions and ~270 yards to his rec totals. His clear top-back status in an explosive offense primes him for his best fantasy season.
Jeff Haseley on May 27: Joe Mixon quietly finished as the #3 running back in 2021 thanks to 16 touchdowns, 1,205 yards rushing, and 42 receptions. The Bengals offense has arrived and Mixon is gaining steam. I can see him finishing in the top 5 if he stays healthy and the Bengals offense remains one of the best in the AFC.
Ryan Weisse on May 23: The Bengals offense was already good in 2021 and got better where it matters most in the 2022 offseason: the offensive line. Last year marked the first top-5 finish of his career but there is no reason to expect a big step back. The lack of elite receiving numbers caps his chance to hit the top spot but another trip to the Top 5 is certainly within his grasp.
Dalvin Cook
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: One of the few elite two-way running backs in the NFL, tied to a quality quarterback and two wide receivers to boot. Cook is one of the easy Round 1 picks for 2022
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Cook has never played more than 14 games and is coming off a 13-game campaign that saw his touchdown tally drop from double digits to just six scores. He needs the touchdown tally to rebound to justify his mid-first round ADP.
Andy Hicks on Jun 17: Dalvin Cook had a down year and missed his usual few games in 2021. The biggest concern was the significant drop in touchdowns. A new coaching staff is a concern, especially as his salary cap number rises and getting cheap at the position is relatively easy. At his best he is an elite fantasy back. I would still rate him highly, but maybe drop him back in dynasty leagues for future worth,
Jeff Bell on Jun 16: Cook had his most disappointing fantasy season in 2018 though it's easy to point to environmental factors. The Vikings offense was down as a whole and the primary driver behind Cook’s drop was 16 touchdowns down to 6. New coach Kevin O’Connell should revive the offense and Cook is one of the few backs who are not in some level of a timeshare.
Jeff Haseley on May 27: I am a bit concerned with Dalvin Cook's lack of reliability when it comes to playing a full season. He has played 11, 14, 14, and 13 games in each of the last four years. He is still a top 15 running back, but top 5 may be a stretch.
Ryan Weisse on May 23: Cook is in a weird spot for perceived fantasy value. He has rushed for over 1000 yards for three straight seasons, added healthy receiving numbers in that same span, and scores plenty of touchdowns. However, he has also missed multiple games in every season of his career and is reaching the point where fantasy managers are waiting for the other shoe to drop. You draft Cook knowing that he is likely to miss games and that you probably need to add Alexander Mattison a full round ahead of his current ADP.
Leonard Fournette
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Few running backs project as double-digit touchdown and 50 or more reception upside while on a strong offense. Leonard Fournette checks each of those boxes with top-five overall upside at the position.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Fournette was nothing short of spectacular last season, and the Buccaneers are bringing the gang back for one more Super Bowl push.
Andy Hicks on Jun 22: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers let Ronald Jones go in the off-season. The last two third-round draft picks in Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Rachaad White are backups only. It’s an excellent situation for Leonard Fournette to turn patchy moments of excellence into a season of elite production. Ever since the run to the Superbowl win in the 2020 season, Fournette has been a fantasy monster. With elite production as a receiver as well, Double-digit touchdowns are his baseline for 2022, elevating him into one of the better fantasy options.. His reasonable three year contract extension extends life into his dynasty career and I would consider double digit touchdowns his baseline for 2022, elevating him into one of the better fantasy options.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 7: Fournette is being drafted at his floor and presents massive upside. Last year, the 27-year-old running back had his best season since his rookie year, with over 1200 total yards and ten touchdowns. The best part of his game for fantasy purposes was his usage in the passing game. Reeling in 69 catches on 84 targets was the type of volume that makes a good back great for fantasy. While Fournette will lose occasional snaps to Rachaad White, Giovani Bernard, and Ke'Shawn Vaughn, it is not likely to be enough to knock him out of the fantasy Top 10.
Jeff Bell on May 31: Fournette seized the RB1 job in Tampa Bay and used 84 targets to finish as RB4 in PPR PPG. It's worth noting that Fournette only saw 64% of the rushing load but returned his most efficient season with 4.5. With Ronald Jones gone and a rookie in Rachaad White splitting the backfield, Fournette is in a position to exceed his strong 2021.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Leonard Fournette is coming off a top 12 finish, his highest rank since his rookie season with Jacksonville. Fournette nearly doubled Ronald Jones in carries last season and he was an often-used target from Tom Brady catching 69 passes. Tampa Bay drafted Rachaad White to be an understudy to Fournette but also be a contributor as a pass-catching back. How much will relegated to White in 2022 is unknown. Will White see the field often as a rookie in Brady's offense? The answer to that may give a clue as to how effective Fournette will be as a fantasy back. Either way, Fournette is still the team's top rushing threat, especially on the goal line. Look for White to equal Ronald Jones' 2021 carry share with an increase in targets.
DAndre Swift
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The biggest pause with Swift is if he will be used like a feature back or a complimentary one. If optimized like an Alvin Kamara or Christian McCaffrey type in the passing game, then 150 rushes are enough to get him into the strong RB1 conversation.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: We're giving Swift a lot of credit considering he's been unable to stay on the field in either of his first two seasons. 1,069 yards and 7 touchdowns last year hardly justify his current ADP, so if you draft him realize it's because you think he can significantly build off what we've already seen.
Ryan Weisse on May 25: His per game numbers make him a top-5 fantasy running back if he can play the full season. Receptions are a big part of his production but their wide receiver corps is improved and healthy, so that could dip a little. However, he can handle a lot more carries than we saw last year and the competition behind him is not nearly as talented.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: D'Andre Swift is one of few dominant dual-threat running backs in the league. He has proven that he can be a weapon as a receiver but his rushing prowess hasn't reached its full potential. If he can routinely top 100 total yards per contest he will be one of the best fantasy running backs in the league.
Aaron Jones
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Jones found himself in a firm committee with rising AJ Dillon in 2021. Jones relied more on the receiving game to be a vibrant fantasy option with 52-391-6 through the air. The six touchdowns mark a regression-worthy scoring rate as an area to monitor for 2022. The good news is if Dillon misses time, Jones projects as an elite RB1 play.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Jones can do it all, but the Packers had success splitting snaps between Jones and Dillon last year. Given Jones' contract and the Packers need to replace Davante Adams, expect Jones to remain a must-start fantasy asset in 2022, but understand his ceiling is capped as a low-end RB1.
Andy Hicks on Jun 17: Aaron Jones had his worst season in quite some time, getting nowhere near 1000 rushing yards and with A.J. Dillon recording more carries than his teammate, Jones may only have value if his role as a receiver out of the backfield increases. The departure of Davante Adams opens this door and coming off his best season in this role, more can be expected this year. He maybe only is a bottom end RB1 these days, but skilled pass catching backs can remain a force as fantasy options giving him still some dynasty value
Jeff Haseley on Jun 1: No Davante Adams means Aaron Rodgers will target who he knows. He knows Aaron Jones well. Expect a rather high reception season from Jones in 2022, and he's not giving up the role to A.J. Dillon anytime soon. He's the better side of the two-man platoon.
Alvin Kamara
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Kamara has an off-the-field cloud of legal issues over him, but those project as more 2023 reasons for concern than 2022. Kamara leads a Saints backfield who led the NFL in designed run plays per game last season and did not notably add to the depth chart. Mark Ingram is a solid backup but will not siphon notable work from Kamara, one of the elite receivers at the position in the NFL. Kamara's 67 targets over 13 games in 2021 marked a notable downturn without Drew Brees under center.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Have we already seen Alvin Kamara's best? With the departures of Sean Payton and Drew Brees, it's time to start thinking of Kamara as a quality RB2 and not your fantasy cornerstone.
Andy Hicks on Jun 14: Alvin Kamara had his most disappointing fantasy season last year. His receptions dropped from the usual 80s to under 50. His rushing touchdowns were a career low, as was his yards per carry. On the bright side he had a career high in carries and shouldnt have to shoulder the burden of the offense with a much improved receiving corp. He is at the stage of his career where dynasty managers should consider their options, but he has demonstrated enough in his career to be given the benefit of the doubt for 2021
Ryan Weisse on Jun 1: There are still legal questions surrounding Kamara and that has to be considered when projecting him for 2022. Even if you set those aside, the Saints' quarterback situation is far from stable and they now have a lot of talent in the WR corps. Kamara is one of the most electric players in the league but volume could be an issue in 2022.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Alvin Kamara saw drop-offs in touchdowns, receptions, and rushing yards in 2021, despite seeing 53 more carries than the year prior. With Sean Payton out as the Saints head coach, there are more questions about how the team will function offensively. Have we seen the best of Kamara already? I wouldn't disagree.
James Conner
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Conner pushed aside Chase Edmonds as 2021 progressed and the Arizona backfield has question marks at RB2+ with Eno Benjamin and Keaontay Ingram as the current residents. Conner is a sneaky bet to crash the elite tier of the position for a non-elite cost.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Conner only averaged 3.7 yards per carry and barely eclipsed 1,100 yards from scrimmage. But he scored 18 touchdowns making him a fantasy star. While he'll remain the Cardinals' No. 1 tailback, he's likely to see major touchdown regression, which puts him at risk if drafted as an RB1.
Jeff Haseley on Jun 17: What concerns me about Conner is his extensive injury history. He was lucky last year in a career-year. While it could still happen for him in consecutive years, I am a bit wary.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 10: Conner scored touchdowns last season and that propelled him to a top-5 fantasy season. It is unlikely that he repeats that number but it may not regress too far. This offense provides a ton of redzone opportunities and there is no better back to capitalize on this roster. He will be given as much work as he can handle and that will keep his floor very safe.
Saquon Barkley
Andy Hicks on Jun 30: The year was 2019 and Saquon Barkley finishes the last three weeks with 63 carries for 393 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Add in 11 receptions for 146 yards and a touchdown and Barkley had fantasy managers excited for his future. Now, he averages 3.46 yards a carry over the last two years and has to be looking to escape for a fresh start on a much better team. We have to get through 2022 first though and it is with very little confidence. There is always hope, but we need more than that with our second to third-round selections.
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Barkley is one of the highest variance plays at the position for 2022. Barkley has elite RB1 upside but has not shown it (or health) in recent seasons. A healthy Barkley is a lock top-12 producer considering his big-play ability and receiving game floor.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Everyone is counting on a Barkley bounceback. I'm not so sure we should expect a return to elite status after back-to-back disappointing seasons.
Jeff Haseley on Jun 1: Saquon Barkley is now coming up on two years removed from his ACL injury. A bounce-back season is in the cards, but because he hasn't proven his return to form yet, people will be wary, as they should.
Nick Chubb
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Deshaun Watson is poised to aid the entire Browns offense, including the already-efficient Nick Chubb on the ground. Kareem Hunt is a thorn in the passing game upside for Chubb, but with a strong depth chart, it would not be a surprise to see Hunt moved before the season. Chubb is outside the top-10 due to his lack of receiving alone, needing a Derrick Henry-like rushing stat line to break into the top-half of RB1 territory.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Chubb averages 1,400 yards and 10 touchdowns per season, yet always seems to be cast as a consolation prize on draft day. Assuming Deshaun Watson plays a majority of the season, the Browns offense should be explosive and Chubb will have even more opportunities to score.
Andy Hicks on Jun 14: Nick Chubb is not getting the fantasy stats his talent deserves. He is a rare talent at the position and just needs touchdowns or more work as a receiver to be a fantasy stud. His yards per carry for running backs with over 500 career carries is third all time behind Bo Jackson and Jamaal Charles. Yes he is ahead of Jim Brown. He seems to miss a couple of games every year, but at some stage he is going to be a fantasy monster. Invest now.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 1: Chubb is one of a few backs that is far more valuable in non-PPR formats. The Browns just do not throw him the ball and his value is dependent on rushing yards and touchdowns. The good news is that he averages over five yards per carry even with high volume. Chubb has one of the safest floors in fantasy football, but his ceiling is capped, especially in PPR.
Jeff Haseley on May 27: Nick Chubb has three consecutive top 10 seasons and he has never had less than 9 touchdowns in his four-year career. Will the Browns remain a run-first offense with Deshaun Watson under center? If not, will Chubb's rushing volume taper off?
Javonte Williams
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: With Melvin Gordon back in Denver, Williams is set to simmer for his strong predictable upside outside of a Gordon injury. Williams might be the 1A as opposed to a full split or 1B role a year ago in the tandem. Williams is a higher RB1 any week Gordon is out.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Melvin Gordon re-signing is a bummer, for sure, because he was highly effective last year in the offense. But with a new coaching staff comes new loyalties, and Javonte should still be in line to emerge as the team's No. 1 while Gordon takes a step back to a high-floor No. 2.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Javonte Williams is a tackle-breaking force and should be the Broncos top rushing threat in 2022. He won't have full control of the reins though due to the offseason re-signing of veteran Melvin Gordon. One fact to point out, only one running back in Russell Wilson's offense has topped 40 receptions. Williams had 43 last year. that total may go down in 2022.
Ryan Weisse on May 23: I am higher than most on Williams heading into 2022. He played very well as a rookie with a perfect 50/50 split with Melvin Gordon. While Gordon resigned with the Broncos, he is also 29 years old with his best days behind him. Williams led the duo in receiving numbers in 2021 and that gap should widen this season. Gordon will vulture some touchdowns, this offense as a whole will be far better with Russell Wilson at quarterback. Williams has the skill, the draft capital, and far fresher legs than Gordon. He will be the feature back in this offense.
Ezekiel Elliott
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Elliott is the starting back, unquestioningly so despite Tony Pollard being a quality secondary option, on one of the strong NFL offenses. That alone is reason for optimism and upside with a vice grip on goal line opportunities and his long-standing profile of quality production.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Elliott has fallen out of favor, with most of the industry ranking him outside the Top 20. Yet, he's coming off another RB1 season. While his per-touch value is on a four-year decline, the Cowboys still need to rely on him as a high volume contributor.
Andy Hicks on Jun 22: Ezekiel Elliott finished as the 6th-ranked fantasy back in 2021. This was considered disappointing. One of the few big-name backs to play all 17 games, Elliott played through niggling injuries and had five games with ten or fewer carries. Tony Pollard is likely to play more receiver routes. With improvement in the offensive line expected, a fully fit Elliott could, for once in his career, be viewed as undervalued. . For Dynasty leagues he could fall rapidly in value, but as I suspect he has two prime years left I would hold fast.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 10: You wouldn't think that 1000 yards, 10 touchdowns, and a top-7 fantasy finish would be a disappointment, but drafters are certainly treating Elliott like he was a letdown. While he is unlikely to ever receive 300 carries again, he is still a high-volume back With Amari Cooper gone, Elliott might even be more involved in the passing game. His touchdowns keep his floor safe and there is top-12 upside.
Jeff Haseley on Jun 1: The running back many think will hit the wall is becoming a value with RB1 potential as a low-end RB2 draft selection.
Breece Hall
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Hall was the first running back off the board in the NFL Draft as expected. The Jets offer a tempered outlook for Hall initially with Michael Carter a nice RB2 and offensive upside questions with Zach Wilson posting a poor first season. Hall is more of an RB2/3 projection than RB1 in his first season.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: The Jets have a lot of questions, and Hall's success hinges on Wilson making a massive improvement under center. But if the Jets do show offensive growth, Hall will likely be the new engine.
Jeff Haseley on Jun 1: Breece Hall has the skill set to be one of the next best fantasy running backs in the league. He can be a three-down back from gun but it may take him a few weeks to get acclimated and for the Jets to see what they have in him. The future is bright for Hall, who is only 21 years old.
Ryan Weisse on May 25: Breece Hall has the talent to be an immediate three-down back in the NFL. While the Jets weren't seen has the perfect landing spot for that to happen, it is still very possible. Michael Carter had a few good games last year but was far from impressive. He is far better suited to be a solid backup than a starter or even a B option. The Jets are an improving team and if they choose to give the keys to Hall, he has a top-20 floor and an incredibly high ceiling.
David Montgomery
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Montgomery is one of the underrated three-down running backs for 2022. The key question is if Justin Fields will supply enough in the passing game to maintain a lighter box for Montgomery. Khalil Herbert is a solid RB2 but no threat to Montgomery's workload even after a promising rookie season.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: The Bears' offense doesn't appear well-positioned for success in 2022, so avoiding David Montgomery may be the smart play. BUt I've always valued his skill set more than most, and will happily target him as an RB2.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 9: Montgomery was the RB21 last season in just 13 games played. From a points per game basis, he was a top-15 running back. The Bears offense is not going to be great in 2022, but Montgomery's ADP eliminates some of his risk. He is not the most exciting prospect but his floor is safe.
Antonio Gibson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Gibson's two deficiencies have been fumbling and durability. Washington added Day 2 Brian Robinson in the draft, who had zero career fumbles at Alabama and is a power runner. Gibson was already squeezed by J.D. McKissic on the receiving end and now Robinson adds a layer of downside for goal line and early-down work.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Gibson has handled a much larger workload than I thought possible in two seasons, but Washington appears set to reduce his touches in order to keep him healthy and optimal for the stretch run.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 7: Gibson was a top-10 running back last season and didn't do anything particularly unrepeatable. The concern around him stems from the return of J.D. McKissic and the drafting of Brian Robinson. McKissic has been a thorn in Gibson's side since 2020, siphoning 163 targets that could have gone to Gibson. Then, the Commanders drafted Robinson in the 3rd Round of the 2022 draft. The coaches have already said Gibson's workload will vary weekly but it did in 2021 as well. If he makes up for the carries lost to Robinson with more work in the passing game, he still has top-10 upside.
Travis Etienne
Andy Hicks on Jun 30: A first-round pick for the Jaguars last year, Travis Etienne missed his entire rookie season. Not only is he unproven Etienne has a new coaching staff and competition from James Robinson. You normally do not like your inexperienced or rookie backs to attract a fourth-round draft price. Even the prize rookie from this year’s draft in Breece Hall has a lower ADP. Etienne also is likely to be touchdown and rushing attempt deprived on a struggling Jacksonville offense. The upside is there, but compared to the risk a wiser choice needs to be made with a pick this early.
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Etienne is coming off an injury before his 2021 rookie season even got started, but so is James Robinson. Etienne has Round 1 pedigree and the Urban Meyer stink is gone from the hoping-to-rebound Jaguars. Etienne has the profile of a breakout candidate especially if James Robinson has a diminished role or is slow on his recovery.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Etienne is one of the better values on draft boards currently, but he'll shoot up rankings with a healthy preseason. He's going to be the centerpiece of Doug Pederson's offense, yet people are treating him like an unproven committee back. Enjoy that arbitrage window for the short time it stays open.
Ryan Weisse on May 24: I am confident that Travis Etienne is going to live up to the hype that surrounded him last season. I'm betting he is healthy and James Robinson is not, and that he is going to see around 250 touches, with a decent portion coming in the passing game. He was a great passing outlet for Trevor Lawrence in college, and I think that continues to their first professional season together. The biggest question will be: Will he score enough touchdowns?
Josh Jacobs
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Plenty among the fantasy community will wring their hands with the Raiders not picking up Jacobs' fifth-year option for 2023 and drafting Zamir White. However, White was a Day 3 selection and the franchise tag is marginally more than the fifth-year option for Jacobs next offseason, plus provides the Raiders flexibility. Jacobs will lead a Raiders offense now boosted by Davante Adams. Jacobs is one of the back in the NFL with 10+ touchdowns and 50+ receptions within his sights.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Josh Jacobs is following the Cadillac Williams career trajectory to a tee. He's been run into the ground by Jon Gruden and it'll likely mean a stiff falloff to irrelevance. Josh McDaniels has always fielded top-tier rushing offenses, but it's almost always come from a three or four-person committee. If you're expecting Jacobs to be a workhorse, you're setting up for disappointment.
Jeff Haseley on Jun 17: There is a lot of uncertainty regarding how Josh McDaniels will operate the Raiders offense in 2022. Will it be similar to his time in New England that was run-heavy with timely passing, or will the addition of Davante Adams boost the passing game? How will Jacobs be used? Will he be the primary weapon out of the backfield or will Kenyan Drake and perhaps rookie Zamir White see increased action? Jacobs quietly topped 50 receptions last year and figures to see more of the same duties in 2022, but will he be a consistent force or will we see the Patriots offense in Vegas with multiple contributors. Jacobs is a decent RB2 option especially if he falls outside of the top 20 running backs selected in drafts.
J.K. Dobbins
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The health and recovery status of J.K. Dobbins and/or Gus Edwards is in the crosshairs with Baltimore's signing of Mike Davis this offseason. Dobbins is a strong talent, but Baltimore already had tempered receiving upside for the backfield and now Dobbins might be a slow start to the season or in a committee.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Dobbins' season-ending injury last year provides us with a small window to draft Dobbins at value. As training camp gets underway and the world is reminded of his explosiveness, his ADP will move up to where it should be, as a fringe RB1, high-end RB2.
Jeff Haseley on Jun 1: J.K. Dobbins is almost one year away from his ACL injury. Will he be fully recovered or at least recovered enough to warrant reliable fantasy production? My best guess says no.
Cam Akers
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Akers was a feel-good story to even play in 2021 after a summer Achilles injury. Akers did not look good, however, and Darrell Henderson is another quality option on the depth chart. The Rams have not thrown to running backs enough to see two-way production of note. At least Akers has double-digit touchdown upside in a best case.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Cam Akers is forcing us to redefine what a torn Achilles means for future performance. His ADP suggests most think he'll be back to a full-time workhorse, and maybe he will. But I'm still reluctant to pay for pre-Achilles value.
Jeff Haseley on Jun 1: I have more pause than excitement for Akers despite his return from an Achilles injury late last season with decent results. The list of running backs who have done anything worthwhile after an Achilles tear is incredibly small, if not absent completely.
Elijah Mitchell
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Mitchell's knee surgery in the offseason plus the drafting of another Day 2 running back in Tyrion Davis-Price makes one of the most fantasy frustrating running back depth charts in the running again for 2022. Mitchell is the penciled-in starter for Week 1, but that pencil is light with the eraser handy.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Excitement for Trey Sermon gave way to Elijah Mitchell after a stellar preseason, and he ended up the most productive part of Kyle Shanahan's reliable committee. Expect more of the same, if he can stay healthy.
A.J. Dillon
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: At worst, Dillon is a flex play with RB1 upside on a weekly basis. Any game Aaron Jones misses Dillon vaults to a must-start.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: If Aaron Jones misses significant time, A.J. Dillon becomes a fantasy stud. In the meantime, he'll be a viable RB3/flex option even in suboptimal game scripts.
Cordarrelle Patterson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Atlanta added Damien Williams and Tyler Allgeier to the running back depth chart this offseason but subtracted Mike Davis. Patterson is their most dynamic running back option and plays all over the offense, scoring multiple ways.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Patterson is more of a receiver, but the Falcons did next to nothing to bolster the running back roster, leaving the veteran with another viable fantasy season ahead.
Miles Sanders
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Sanders has yet to see a foundation back workload through three seasons and his receiving work saw a pronounced cut in 2021 with the addition of Kenny Gainwell to the depth chart. Sanders is the starter on paper, but one of the lower upside NFL starting options.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Sanders is far and away the most talented tailback on the Eagles roster, but his durability clearly soured him in the coaches' eyes. If anyone is going to become a reliable fantasy star, it's Sanders. But the baseline expectation should be as a middling committee contributor.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire
Andy Hicks on Jun 30: It’s not like the Chiefs have given up on former first-round pick, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, but he hasn’t exactly given the team confidence in his ability to take the lead role. He has missed a third of his games to date and he had a massive drop in big carry games, from five in 2020 to only one last year. As a receiver, he had four games with at least four catches in 2020. Last year there were none. The presence of former high draft pick, Ronald Jones and Jerick McKinnon coming back do not bode well for Edwards-Helaire outplaying his ADP.
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Edwards-Helaire had troubling separating from Darrel Williams for feature back usage at times last season. Williams is gone, but Ronald Jones a notable signing and Isaih Pacecho on offers strong athleticism from Day 3 in this year's draft. Edwards-Helaire is one of the shakier starters in the NFL outside of a strong opening stretch of the season.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: 10 games played. 646 total yards. 6 touchdowns. Those numbers aren't going to justify his draft ADP, and now Ronald Jones is on the roster ready to compete for snaps.
Damien Harris
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The Patriots are back to playing the hits with their running back collecting. Pierre Strong and Kevin Harris were both notable Day 3 selections with their quality profiles, added to Rhamondre Stevenson, James White, and Damien Harris. It is tough to trust the most expensive Patriots running back and that is Damien Harris for 2022.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Harris emerged as the best back in New England, but the Patriots aren't going to give anyone an every week, workhorse role as long as Bill Belichick is running the show.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 7: Harris scored 15 touchdowns last season and still finished as just the 14th best fantasy running back. If that number were to regress too far, Harris' current ADP could quickly go from moderate value to an all-out bust. The team drafted Pierre Strong Jr in the 4th Round of the 2022 draft, and James White is set to return. That means Harris is unlikely to see an uptick in the passing game and could even lose more carries to Rhamondre Stevenson as he grows into this offense.
Tony Pollard
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Pollard is in the small subset of must-start running backs if the starter is out. Ezekiel Elliott has provided zero such games for Pollard to-date despite playing dinged up on numerous occasions. Pollard has flex appeal at times even with a healthy Elliott.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Tony Pollard didn't show much growth last year despite many calling for a more equal footing with Ezekiel Elliott. If Elliott is healthy, Pollard is overvalued.
Devin Singletary
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Singletary is coming off his best NFL season and more touchdowns (8) than his previous two seasons combined (5). Singletary projects as the lead back for Buffalo to start the season, but taking James Cook in Round 2 is an ominous sign for any job security of strong touches for Singletary.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: When the Bills give Singletary a starter's workload, he thrives. But the coaches seem reluctant to use him that way and are constantly searching for a complementary back.
Ken Walker
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Walker secured No.41 overall pedigree out of the draft and a Seattle depth chart ripe with uncertainty. Chris Carson has a murky outlook with his neck and Rashaad Penny has sparsely strung together a healthy stretch in his NFL career. Walker's range of outcomes ventures from strong injury-away option to clear-cut starter with a lack of health around him.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Walker landed on a team committed to a power running game, but right now Seattle has no answer at quarterback and several veteran tailbacks vying for snaps.
Ryan Weisse on May 25: Walker was pretty firmly the rookie RB2 behind Breece Hall entering the draft but may have ended up in a better landing spot. The Seahawks offense wants to run the ball a lot and the running backs ahead of Walker, Rashaad Penny and Chris Carson, both have injury concerns. With Carson's future still up in the air, Walker will be the 1B to Penny from Day 1 and may claim the primary job, through talent or injury, by season's end.
Kareem Hunt
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Hunt is a running back to watch with no guaranteed money and a quality depth chart (D'Ernest Johnson, Jerome Ford) behind him. Hunt's elite upside if Nick Chubb misses time is in some doubt with Johnson's strong showing as a spot starter last year. Hunt being moved by Week 1 would not be a surprise.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Hunt has only played 8 games in two of the last three seasons, which masks how effective he can be in the Browns system when healthy.
Melvin Gordon
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Gordon returning to Denver limits his weekly appeal beyond a flex play but also puts him in play for strong upside any week Javonte Williams is out.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Melvin Gordon tested free agency and then re-signed with Denver. Expect another 1a/1b season alongside Javonte Williams.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 10: I'm as excited as anyone for Javonte Williams in 2022, but we should not be burying Melvin Gordon. The new coaching staff is known for 2-back systems, and Gordon's role is very defined. The new scheme and quarterback should significantly improve this offense, and Gordon will be the primary redzone back. He was a top-20 fantasy back last year in a 50/50 split. There is no way he does not perform his current ADP.
Chase Edmonds
Andy Hicks on Jun 30: Miami has a crowded backfield with Chase Edmonds joined by Sony Michel and Raheem Mostert in free agency, with Myles Gaskin and Salvon Ahmed already there. The new coaching staff made it a priority to upgrade the moribund offense. The key to this was adding Tyreek Hill in a blockbuster trade. Hill creates opportunities for all others. If we follow the money at running back, Edmonds has the biggest paycheck and should be given the first opportunity to start. At his current draft price, grabbing Edmonds is high-reward, low-risk.
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Edmonds was in line for the 1A role in Miami until Sony Michel was added to the depth chart, now one of the more ambiguous pecking orders in the NFL with Edmonds, Michel, and Raheem Mostert populating the three top spots.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel wants to run the ball as effectively in Miami as they have in San Francisco, and Chase Edmonds was brought aboard in free agency to be the 1a of a multi-back committee.
Rashaad Penny
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Penny showed his elite upside with (finally) a healthy stretch to close the 2021 fantasy season, carrying teams to titles. Penny's return to Seattle is clouded by the drafting of Kenneth Walker and the possibility of Chris Carson returning from a career-threatening neck injury. The perfect storm for Penny is an impact player, but he has sparsely been healthy for long in the NFL as a high-variance play.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: After three and a half forgettable seasons, Penny finally got a shot at the starting role and rattled off four 100-yard games in the final five, along with six touchdowns. But with Russell Wilson gone and rookie Kenneth Walker added to the RB room, we may have seen the best Penny has to offer.
James Cook
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Cook secured Round 2 pedigree, but a murky depth chart in Buffalo with Devin Singletary coming off his best season to-date and Round 3 Zack Moss also still looming. Cook is a better bet later in the season rather than early.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Expectations for Cook vary from forgettable rookie backup to the Bills' new lead slot receiver. Neither is likely to prove true. He'll be a complementary piece and have a few eye-popping games, but will be maddeningly irrelevant in others.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 7: All preseason rumblings are that Cook will be heavily involved in this offense immediately. I'm a notorious hater of Buffalo running backs with Josh Allen. Allen is the best redzone back on the team and it caps all other's value. However, if the rumors are true that Allen is going to run less, then there could be a double-digit touchdown season out there for Cook, even splitting time with Devin Singletary.
Rhamondre Stevenson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Stevenson showed well as a 2021 rookie, but the Patriots splashed the depth chart with Pierre Strong and Kevin Harris, both notable profiles now with Day 3 pedigree. Stevenson's clarity as an injury-away option to Damien Harris is no longer there.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Stevenson only played 12 games but amassed 729 yards and five touchdowns. Like most Patriots backs, he looks capable of fantasy stardom in those rare game scripts when he gets a full workload. But will he earn more than a smattering of snaps?
Michael Carter
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Carter pulled a Tre Mason as the Jets drafted Breece Hall as the RB1 off the board. Carter also saw Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson play a decent amount last year amidst Carter's moments of prominence. Carter ultimately projects as an injury-away option in 2022 with Breece Hall being the starter in short order, even if Carter sees the most touches in Week 1.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Carter had 964 yards and 4 touchdowns as a rookie on an otherwise ineffective Jets offense. Unfortunately, the Jets added Breece Hall which relegates Carter to the minority portion of a committee, at best.
Ronald Jones
Andy Hicks on Jun 30: Ronald Jones II is a young back with four years of experience in the NFL. After breaking out in 2020, he was overtaken by Leonard Fournette in Tampa Bay. Kansas City is the perfect team to get the best out of Jones. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been disappointing to date and the Chiefs backfield projects as a share situation. Given the injury issues for Edwards-Helaire, Jones will have his moments. Darrel Williams ranked as a bottom-end RB2 in 2021. Jones is a much better back. Highly underrated this year
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: In a best case, Jones challenges Clyde Edwards-Helaire and eventually wins the lead role in Kansas City. Neither has shown particular acumen in pass protection with Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady in recent seasons, hence seeing Leonard Fournette and Darrel Williams dominate in those situations.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Ronald Jones has a limited skill set, but the Chiefs prioritized him in the offseason. There's no reason he can't put up better numbers than Damien Williams did as a starter, particularly if Edwards-Helaire struggles early.
Nyheim Hines
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Hines is the J.D. McKissic of the Colts depth chart - a PPR hindrance to others on the depth chart more than a standalone fantasy starter.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Hines doesn't get the volume to factor into every-week fantasy lineups, but there will be a handful of games when he breaks a big play, particularly as a receiver.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Hines' strength is as a receiving back and change of pace rusher who keeps his game-day carries to a minimum. Hines will still play a role on the Colts offense, but in the event that Taylor misses time, he will share duties with newly signed veteran Phillip Lindsay. Hines has at least 40 receptions in each of his three seasons in the league.
Darrell Henderson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The Rams has an upside-capping lack of usage for running backs in the passing game, but Henderson is a sneaky bet considering Cam Akers did not look good with his early return from an Achilles injury last summer. Henderson has limited competition from lower on the depth chart and Akers is a massive question mark entering 2022 health-wise.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Cam Akers' Achilles injury opened the door for Darrell Henderson until Sony Michel was acquired. Henderson had a career year with 864 yards and 8 touchdowns, but Akers is healthy and ready to resume the top role.
Alexander Mattison
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Mattison has been one of the most clarified and highest upside injury-away running backs in the NFL since his drafting in 2019. That continues in 2022 behind Dalvin Cook. Any game Cook misses, Mattison is an auto-start player.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Mattison set career-highs in touches (166), yards (719), and touchdowns (4) last year but his efficiency plummeted and no longer looked like a fantasy star in those few games each season when Dalvin Cook sits.
James Robinson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Jacksonville, like Baltimore, has health as the major watch list item for the respective backfields. Robinson and Travis Etienne are both returning from season-ending injury. If both are healthy, expect Robinson to lose out to the Round 1 pedigree of Etienne. Robinson has top-12 upside on a likely-better-than-2021 Jacksonville offense if Etienne is still on the mend.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: James Robinson provided a story for the ages, but last year's injury, a new coaching staff, and the return of Travis Etienne as the No. 1 option likely mean Robinson's days as a fantasy star came and went in the blink of an eye.
Ryan Weisse on May 24: You'll typically find my ranking of Robinson lower than most for one simple reason: I don't think he bounces back well from his Achilles Tear. Last season, we saw Cam Akers return after 4-5 months out, and gift us with 2.4 YPC when he came back on just 75 carries. Marlon Mack missed the entire 2020 season, then only played six games in 2021 with just 3.6 YPC on 28 carries. If Robinson does play, I think he misses at least six games, and won't be able to handle the workload or provide the efficiency that endeared him to us the last two years.
Isaiah Spiller
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Spiller slipped to Day 3 of the draft but landed behind Austin Ekeler with an open opportunity to win the RB2 job to start his rookie season. Spiller has quality injury-away upside if he wins the role.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Given Austin Ekeler's consensus ADP (top-3 overall), Spiller has to be drafted in every league particularly if he cements the No. 2 role with a strong training camp.
Ryan Weisse on Jun 10: Spiller was my third favorite running back coming into the draft but dropping to Day 3 dropped him to 4th in my rankings. I still like the landing spot. There should be plenty of work behind Austin Ekeler and Spiller is better than any back on the current roster.
J.D. McKissic
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: McKissic shifted from Buffalo back to Washington in free agency. McKissic is more of a PPR thorn in the side of Antonio Gibson (and Brian Robinson) than a standalone strong PPR play. McKissic's role largely stays the same whether Gibson is healthy or Robinson is the early-down option.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: McKissic agreed to leave Washington to join the Bills but reconsidered and re-signed with the Commanders instead. Pencil him in for a heavy receiving role and an insignificant rushing output.
Kenneth Gainwell
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Gainwell is more of a thorn in the PPR side of Miles Sanders (and Boston Scott) than a standalone fantasy viable running back.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: The coaches quickly gave up on Gainwell in favor of several veterans on the practice squad. He'll need a stunning preseason to re-gain momentum and fantasy relevance.
Jamaal Williams
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Williams is one of the underrated primary backup running backs, capable of carrying the load if needed. Williams is unstartable as long as D'Andre Swift is healthy.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Five seasons into his career, and Jamaal Williams is consistently counted on for approximately 700 yards and 3-to-4 touchdowns. That's not enough to move the fantasy needle.
Dameon Pierce
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Pierce slipped to Day 3 in the draft and Houston has Marlon Mack and Rex Burkhead as sturdy veterans on the depth chart. Pierce was a relative non-producer in college and assuming he will outright win the starting job is a stretch.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Rex Burkhead and Marlon Mack aren't daunting roadblocks, but they're roadblocks nonetheless. Pierce doesn't have the draft pedigree to assume he'll be a star if he wins the job. But his ADP could skyrocket if he turns heads early in camp. Caveat emptor.
Ryan Weisse on May 25: Pierce was solid runner in college but never a high volume guy. That is why I caution against a stance that he will become a full-time starter right away in Houston. I doubt the Texans move away from the committee approach from last year and that limits his upside. As long as his ADP stays low, he's worth the risk, but if he creeps up, don't overpay.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Dameon Pierce at 5'10, 218 pounds fits the role of a typical NFL running back. He has the tools to perform well despite not taking flight at Florida due to him occupying a part-time role with the team. He has good vision and the size to move forward after contact. He is a physical back with adequate receiving skills, but he is not going to accelerate out of trouble or be an elusive type of back who can easily evade tacklers. He will battle Rex Burkhead and Marlon Mack for carries but it may take a few weeks before his role increases. Any running back with draft capital potential is one to watch for fantasy purposes and Pierce fits that category well as we head into the 2022 season.
Rachaad White
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: White secured Day 2 pedigree and has a Matt Forte-light profile as a prospect. Ke'Shawn Vaughn has shown little through two seasons and the RB2 job in Tampa Bay is wide open behind Leonard Fournette. The trust of Tom Brady with pass protection assignments will be key for White and Vaughn.
Khalil Herbert
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Herbert projects as a David Montgomery injury-away option in Chicago. Darrynton Evans is a wildcard addition to the depth chart but has struggled to stay healthy and Tennessee swiftly moved on from the former Round 3 pick.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Herbert was effective in David Montgomery's stead last year and should be viewed as one of the more compelling handcuffs at the position.
Raheem Mostert
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Mostert was a non-factor in 2021 after a Week 1 injury and is on the wrong side of the age curve. The good news is an unsettled Miami depth chart gives Mostert a puncher's chance at clarified starts in 2022.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Raheem Mostert is already 30 years old and is three seasons removed from his one relevant campaign. With Chase Edmonds and Sony Michel added to the roster, as well, Mostert is probably more like an on-field coach-in-waiting than a regular contributor.
Sony Michel
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Michel joins a Miami depth where any of Michel, Chase Edmonds, or Raheem Mostert could be the Week 1 starter or start multiple games this season.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Michel was added to the new Dolphins committee, but it's hard to envision him as anything more than the No. 2 or No. 3 option.
Gus Edwards
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Edwards' healthy is the primary watchword heading into the season. J.K. Dobbins is also working back from a season-ending injury. Edwards, if the healthier option, could be the Week 1 starter. On the downside, Edwards could be slower back to health than Dobbins to siphon any clarified opportunity. Plus, Baltimore has eluded to concerns with Mike Davis signed.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Edwards and J.K. Dobbins both missed 2021, and both should be back to form a powerhouse committee in 2022.
Kenyan Drake
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Drake lost clarity as an injury-away back in 2021 when Peyton Barber had moments of clarity. The Raiders added Zamir White to the depth chart, further clouding Drake's chances for streaming starts in 2022.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Drake's role in Las Vegas paled in comparison to his usage in Arizona, and with a new coaching staff aboard that's not likely to change given Drake's age and injury history.
Rex Burkhead
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Burkhead showed well late in 2021 but has typically had the underrated backup role more than starter or true injury-away status in his career. Marlon Mack and Dameon Pierce added to the depth cloud Burkhead's status, at least to start the season.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: For now, I have Burkhead and Marlon Mack on relatively even footing. But the Texans likely want Mack to win the job outright in camp, in which case Burkhead could be a late summer release.
Mark Ingram
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Ingram is still in the catbird seat as an injury-away back to Alvin Kamara. Ingram is largely being overlooked within the backup running back landscape.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Ingram is 32 years old, and it's hard to imagine a fantasy-relevant role even if Alvin Kamara is limited to start the season.
Tyler Allgeier
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Algeier has starter potential for the Falcons with Mike Davis gone, Cordarrelle Patterson rumored to have more of a wide receiver role this season, and Damien Williams on the wrong side of the age curve. The perfect storm of Allgeier being this year's Elijah Mitchell as an early-season starter from Day 3 exists even if requiring a leap of faith.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Last year we all overdrafted Mike Davis because he was the only credible option as the Falcons' starter. That ended poorly, and veteran receiver Cordarrelle Patterson shocked the world by morphing into a lead back. Patterson returns to that role, and Allgeier isn't talented enough to displace him.
Brian Robinson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Robinson enters a Washington depth chart where Antonio Gibson has struggled to stay healthy and avoid fumbles. Robinson had zero fumbles in college and has a lead-back profile. J.D. McKissic hurts the PPR upside of either, but Robinson is, at worst, an injury-away option.
Marlon Mack
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: While many are anointing Dameon Pierce as the earmarked starter in Houston, it is Mack with the best production profile, and it is not particularly close, on the depth chart. Mack is still a bit of a wildcard health-wise after his Achilles injury but is the probability bet over Rex Burkhead and a Day 3 Pierce, especially for the cost.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: An Achilles tear is hard to recover from even for elite talent, and Mack isn't elite. But the Texans are taking a flier on him and seemingly want him to disprove the doubters and earn the starting role.
DOnta Foreman
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Foreman joins the Carolina depth chart where Chuba Hubbard had and largely lost the injury-away role in 2021. Foreman showed well in Tennessee and projects as the leading rusher if Christian McCaffrey were to miss time.
Jeff Haseley on May 23: Foreman helped fill the void for Tennessee which included three 100-yard efforts and touchdowns in three of the last five games. Foreman gives the Panthers a power-back option at running back and a decent replacement if the need arises.
Darrel Williams
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Williams is still looking for work, but showed well in Kansas City and was the preferred option over Clyde Edwards-Helaire at times. Monitor Williams to crash a depth chart by Week 1.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
James White
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: White is returning from injury and the Patriots splashed the depth chart with multiple Day 3 running backs with quality profiles (Pierre Strong, Kevin Harris). The five-back depth chart could have a tough cut by Week 1.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: White is an all-time Belichick favorite, and he re-signed again. But the days of marginal fantasy value are long gone.
Damien Williams
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Mike Davis' release aids Williams' chances to be the RB2, or even the starter if Cordarrelle Patterson transitions back to wide receiver, for the Falcons.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Damien Williams has the opportunity to step into the role vacated by Mike Davis.
Samaje Perine
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Perine has avoided additional competition for the RB2 role in Cincinnati this offseason. Chris Evans could steal receiving work if Joe Mixon is out and Perine projects as a lower upside fantasy streamer.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Boston Scott
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Scott has limited upside with Kenneth Gainwell a receiving-centric option also behind Miles Sanders in Philadelphia.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Tyrion Davis-Price
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The 49ers are one of the tougher to project depth charts in the NFL. Upside abounds if getting it right any particular week. Davis-Price is the latest Day 2 investment in the position after Trey Sermon showed little in 2021.
Dontrell Hilliard
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Hilliard is the veteran of note behind Derrick Henry. Holding off rookie Hassan Haskins will be key to being an injury away from a prominent role.
Matt Breida
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Breida is one of the underrated injury-away situations post-NFL Draft. Breida lacks ideal size but is the leader in the clubhouse behind Saquon Barkley.
Zamir White
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: White will be in competition with Kenyan Drake for the primary backup role behind Josh Jacobs in Las Vegas. Health is a major question mark with White after multiple significant knee injuries in college.
Hassan Haskins
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Haskins has an opportunity to win the RB2 job in Tennessee as a Day 3 rookie.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Haskins is not a younger version of Derrick Henry, but he is a hard-nosed, smart, power runner. If Henry gets hurt again, Haskins is the best bet to be the 1a in a multi-back committee.
Chuba Hubbard
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Hubbard was the clear RB2 early in Christian McCaffrey's extended absence last season. However, Ameer Abdullah siphoned plenty of touches and eroded Hubbard's viability. This offseason D'Onta Foreman has been added to cloud Hubbard yet again.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: D'Onta Foreman signed this offseason, and stands a good shot at displacing Hubbard as Christian McCaffrey's backup.
Trey Sermon
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The 49ers splashed the depth chart again in 2022 with a Day 2 draft pick on Tyrion Davis-Price. Sermon was a Day 2 selection as well in 2021, but landed in the doghouse early and often as Elijah Mitchell surged to the starting role. Investing the backfield requires a risk-taking attitude and, ideally, seeking the cheaper options.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
KeShawn Vaughn
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Vaughn has the upside to be the RB2 in Tampa Bay, but Rachaad White's drafting throws a wrench into those plans. Vaughn has shown little through two seasons and remains a project as to his fantasy upside.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
DErnest Johnson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Johnson showed well in 2021 with spot duty as the Browns starter. This year is more ambiguous with Kareem Hunt still on the roster (for now) and Jerome Ford a notable Day 3 draft addition.
Myles Gaskin
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The former Dolphins starter has been buried in an avalanche of additions by Miami in Chase Edmonds, Sony Michel, and Raheem Mostert. Gaskin is now yet another Day 3 running back searching for a clarified opportunity.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Chris Evans
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Evans is more of a PPR thorn in the side of Samaje Perine should Joe Mixon miss time rather than a standalone upside value.
Pierre Strong
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: The Patriots' depth chart is cloudy with five quality options to begin training camp. Strong is on the older side but has a good combination of size and two-way producer from college should the early Day 3 rookie see an opportunity.
Phillip Lindsay
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Signing with the Colts in mid-May, Lindsay offers a veteran presence for carries instead of the rookie competition for carries behind Jonathan Taylor outside of change-of-pace Nyheim Hines.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Mike Davis
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Davis left an RB2 (or better) role in Atlanta as a surprise post-NFL Draft release to find the Baltimore depth chart dealing with returns from injury with J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards. Davis' addition points to some level of concern for Dobbins and/or Edwards. There's a non-zero chance Davis is the Week 1 starter for Baltimore.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Chris Carson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Carson has one of the highest range of outcomes of NFL backs. Carson may not play again with his neck injury and recovery process. Also in play is Carson being Seattle's starter if healthy as Rashaad Penny has rarely been healthy in his career and Kenneth Walker is an incoming rookie with pass protection work to do.
Jason Wood on Jun 28: It's uncertain we'll ever see Carson on an NFL field again.
Jeff Wilson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Wilson is the lost name in the 49ers backfield where Elijah Mitchell is returning from knee surgery, Trey Sermon was in the doghouse last year, and Tyrion Davis-Price is an incoming rookie. Wilson is worth a dart throw who has shown well in the past.
Giovani Bernard
Jason Wood on Jun 28: Bernard's role as a third-down specialist is on the downslope, which leaves him with almost no fantasy value.
Eno Benjamin
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Benjamin did not separate himself as the clear RB3 last season in Arizona and the only competition for the injury-away role behind James Conner is Day 3 rookie Keaontay Ingram.
Zack Moss
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Moss has faded from relevance on the Bills depth chart with Devin Singletary's usage dwarfing Moss' in 2021. Add in Round 2 rookie James Cook and Moss is multiple injuries from being fantasy viable.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Keaontay Ingram
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Ingram has prototypical size, good enough athleticism, and a quality receiving profile. Securing Day 3 pedigree, Ingram will compete with Eno Benjamin for the RB2 role in Arizona.
Snoop Conner
Ryan Weisse on May 24: I believe that James Robinson will miss at least six games in 2022 and won't be as effective a runner when he does return. If I'm right, Conner could be the back up for 6-8 weeks and handle more work than you'd expect from a 5th-Round pick. I like Travis Etienne a lot this season, but he can't take every carry. Conner finished college with 5.2 YPC and 26 touchdowns on 300 total carries at Ole Miss. He hasn't shown much in passing game but they don't need him there. At 5'10" 220 lbs, he can be a goal-line guy and steal some touchdowns.
Jerick McKinnon
Benny Snell
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Snell is the projected RB2 for the Steelers, one of the least inspiring injury-away running backs for fantasy upside.
Kyren Williams
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Williams started the NFL Draft process with some discussion of being a Day 2 prospect. Ultimately Williams slipped to mid-Day 3 and landed on a blocked Rams depth chart. Williams will compete with previous Day 3 selection Jake Funk for the RB3 role.
Duke Johnson
Brandon Bolden
Kene Nwangwu
Ty Johnson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Johnson has athleticism and receiving upside, but is buried on the Jets depth chart with the addition of Breece Hall plus Tevin Coleman returning in 2022.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
JaMycal Hasty
Darrynton Evans
Jaret Patterson
Joshua Kelley
Kylin Hill
Kyle Juszczyk
Derrick Gore
Tony Jones
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Craig Reynolds
Tevin Coleman
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: At best Coleman would be in a committee with Michael Carter should Breece Hall miss time and clarify the Jets' packed depth chart.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
DeeJay Dallas
Devonta Freeman
Mike Boone
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Boone was in line to be the RB2 in Denver, but Melvin Gordon's return pushes Boone back to needing multiple injuries for a prominent role.
Royce Freeman
Dare Ogunbowale
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Justin Jackson
Jermar Jefferson
Jerome Ford
Gary Brightwell
Travis Homer
Alec Ingold
C.J. Ham
Demetric Felton
Isaih Pacheco
Kennedy Brooks
Ameer Abdullah
Justice Hill
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Jonathan Ward
Godwin Igwebuike
Anthony McFarland
Tyler Badie
Carlos Hyde
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Hyde is one of the intriguing veteran running backs lurking in free agency to sign with a needy team should injury or young players not instill confidence through camp and the preseason.
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Ryquell Armstead
Zander Horvath
Patrick Taylor
Qadree Ollison
Abram Smith
Salvon Ahmed
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Latavius Murray
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Keith Smith
Trayveon Williams
Jordan Wilkins
David Johnson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Johnson is one of the intriguing veteran running backs lurking in free agency to sign with a needy team should injury or young players not instill confidence through camp and the preseason.
Larry Rountree
Jason Huntley
Derek Watt
Tarik Cohen
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Michael Burton
TySon Williams
Jason Wood on Jun 28:
Antonio Williams
Jakob Johnson
Devontae Booker
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Booker is one of the intriguing veteran running backs lurking in free agency to sign with a needy team should injury or young players not instill confidence through camp and the preseason.
Damarea Crockett
Patrick Ricard
JaQuan Hardy
Rico Dowdle
Jake Funk
Kevin Harris
Adam Prentice
Jason Cabinda
Ty Chandler
Dwayne Washington
Giovanni Ricci
Deon Jackson
Chad Parsons on Jun 29: Phillip Lindsay signing with the Colts hurts Jackson's chances for the RB3 role, or the most carries if Jonathan Taylor misses time, at the outset of 2022.
Khari Blasingame
Johnny Stanton
Andrew Beck
Tory Carter
Reggie Gilliam
Jeremy McNichols
Alex Armah
Sandro Platzgummer
Ryan Nall
Darius Bradwell
Spencer Brown
Greg Bell
Darwin Thompson
Nick Bawden
Alex Collins
John Kelly
Devine Ozigbo
Ben Mason
Josh Johnson
Ronnie Rivers
T.J. Pledger
Caleb Huntley
Andy Janovich
LeVeon Bell
Malcolm Brown
Ricky Person
Jalen Richard
Nate McCrary
Raheem Blackshear
Taiwan Jones
Trestan Ebner
John Lovett
Tyler Goodson
Jashaun Corbin
Wayne Gallman
DeMontre Tuggle
Shermari Jones
Xavier Jones
Jason Wood on Jun 28: