Vegas Value Chart: Week 3

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 3 John Lee Published 09/18/2018

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

UPDATED SUNDAY 9/23 @ 7:00 AM (EST)

TeamOpponentOddsTeam TotalGame TotalPassingRunningTeam Defense
Kansas City San Francisco -6.5 30.75 55 +++ +++
New England Detroit -7 30.75 54.5 +++ +++
Minnesota Buffalo -16.5 28.75 41 +++ +++ +++
Atlanta New Orleans -2 27.75 53.5 ++ ++
Pittsburgh Tampa Bay -1 27.75 54.5 ++ ++
LA Rams LA Chargers -7 27.75 48.5 ++ ++
Tampa Bay Pittsburgh 1 26.75 54.5 ++ ++
Philadelphia Indianapolis -7 26.5 46 ++ +++ +
Baltimore Denver -5.5 26 46.5 ++ ++
New Orleans Atlanta 2 25.75 53.5 + +
Houston NY Giants -6 24.75 43.5 + + +
Jacksonville Tennessee -9.5 24.75 40 + ++ +++
San Francisco Kansas City 6.5 24.25 55 ++ +
Green Bay Washington -2.5 23.75 45
Miami Oakland -3 23.75 44.5
Detroit New England 7 23.75 54.5
Carolina Cincinnati -3 23.75 44.5
Chicago Arizona -6 22.25 38.5 ++
Cleveland NY Jets -3 22 41 +
Washington Green Bay 2.5 21.25 45
Seattle Dallas -1.5 21 40.5 +
Oakland Miami 3 20.75 44.5
LA Chargers LA Rams 7 20.75 48.5
Cincinnati Carolina 3 20.75 44.5
Denver Baltimore 5.5 20.5 46.5
Indianapolis Philadelphia 7 19.5 46
Dallas Seattle 1.5 19.5 40.5
NY Jets Cleveland 3 19 41
NY Giants Houston 6 18.75 43.5
Arizona Chicago 6 16.25 38.5
Tennessee Jacksonville 9.5 15.25 40
Buffalo Minnesota 16.5 12.25 41

SUMMARY

3-STARS

2-STARS

1-STAR

Photos provided by Imagn Images
Share This Article

Featured Articles

 

Unlocking Fields By Grounding Jets; Hall Losing Ground? The Fantasy Notebook 

Bob Harris

Bob Harris brings you a big-picture look at fantasy-specific news and notes from around the NFL with the Fantasy Notebook.

07/12/25 Read More
 
 
 
Drafters Best Ball Report 2.0
James Brimacombe
07/11/25 Read More
 

More by John Lee

 

Vegas Value Chart: Conference Championships

John Lee

Examining Vegas NFL odds to pinpoint weekly DFS targets

01/20/25 Read More
 

Vegas Value Chart: Divisional Round

John Lee

Examining Vegas NFL odds to pinpoint weekly DFS targets

01/14/25 Read More
 

Vegas Value Chart: Wild Card Weekend

John Lee

Examining Vegas NFL odds to pinpoint weekly DFS targets

01/07/25 Read More
 

Vegas Value Chart: Week 18

John Lee

Examining Vegas NFL odds to pinpoint weekly DFS targets

12/30/24 Read More
 

DraftKings Thursday Showdown: Week 17

John Lee

Our John Lee with DraftKings Thursday Showdown Analysis: Seahawks vs. Bears

12/26/24 Read More
 

Vegas Value Chart: Week 17

John Lee

Examining Vegas NFL odds to pinpoint weekly DFS targets

12/24/24 Read More