Vegas Value Chart: Week 3

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 3 John Lee Published 09/16/2019

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Dallas Miami -21 47.5 34.25 ««« ««« «««
New England NY Jets -18.5 46.5 32.5 ««« ««« «««
Kansas City Baltimore -6.5 55.5 31 ««« «««
Philadelphia Detroit -7 48 27.5 «« ««
Tampa Bay NY Giants -6.5 48 27.25 «« ««
LA Rams Cleveland -3 51 27 «« ««
Green Bay Denver -8 43.5 25.75 « « ««
San Francisco Pittsburgh -7 44.5 25.75 « « «
Minnesota Oakland -8.5 42.5 25.5 « « ««
LA Chargers Houston -3.5 47.5 25.5 « «
Indianapolis Atlanta -2.5 47.5 25 « «
Seattle New Orleans -4.5 45.5 25 « «
Buffalo Cincinatti -6 43.5 24.75 « « «
Baltimore Kansas City 6.5 55.5 24.5 « «
Carolina Arizona -2.5 46.5 24.5 « «
Cleveland LA Rams 3 51 24 « «
Chicago Washington -4 42 23 «
Atlanta Indianapolis 2.5 47.5 22.5
Houston LA Chargers 3.5 47.5 22
Arizona Carolina 2.5 46.5 22 Photos provided by Imagn Images
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