Links to similar discussions of other divisions:
Not that much is going to happen around NFL circles for the next month, save for a few trades and some third-wave free agent signings. That means it’s time to build up your drafting chops with best-ball drafts! What does each offense offer? I’ll break it down division by division. Let’s go to the NFC East, which now features Ryan Fitzpatrick.
Note: All ADP courtesy of Underdog
Offensive Outlook: The Cowboys offense will be in the running to be the best in the NFL and you should not leave your draft with at least a lesser piece of this attack. The offensive line was in shambles at the beginning of the year. Let’s pray for better health from La’el Collins, Zack Martin, and Tyron Smith this year. It should support at least three fantasy-relevant wide receivers and a fantasy-relevant tight end in addition to of course Ezekiel Elliott at running back, and Tony Pollard’s combination of big-play and Elliott-injury upside puts him high in the backup running back rankings.
Dak Prescott - 5th-6th round ADP
Prescott was #1 overall at quarterback on a points-per-game basis last year before he got hurt in Week 5 and he’s still usually the fifth quarterback off of the board. His offensive line will be better, but the defense should still throw gasoline on the shootout fire. Sign me up.
Was Elliott’s performance last year a product of a limited offense, or was it the beginning of the decline phase of his career? The answer might be moot as the Cowboys offense should offer enough scoring opportunities to justify Elliott’s pricy ADP, but it’s also not difficult to envision a scenario where Pollard forces his way into more of an RBBC this year. Pollard had more juice and more big-play potential last year, so that justifies paying a premium price for him among backup running backs along with league-winner value if Elliott goes down. Pollard is a must-pick if you go light on running back early.
Cooper and Lamb both have the potential to finish in the top five receivers this year. Cooper will have a higher weekly ceiling but comes with more wear and tear and injury risk. Lamb will have a higher weekly floor, but that is less valuable in best ball. Gallup is a riskier play week-to-week, but he will have his share of ceiling games, and best ball irons out the bumps with a host of other receivers to cover for Gallup’s valleys. Wilson is a name to file away in ultra-deep best ball drafts as the injury upside play if any of the top three go down.
Blake Jarwin - 13th/14th round ADP
Jarwin would have been a shoo-in top 6-8 tight end last year if he hadn’t torn an ACL in Week 1, even with Dak Prescott out for almost three-quarters of the season. He’s the no-brainer TE2 plan no matter who your TE1 is because you want to deny other teams an easy out if they didn’t invest early at tight end.
Bottom Line: Don’t leave home without a Cowboy or two in your wallet.
New York Giants
Offensive Outlook: Was there an offense that underachieved more than the Giants last year? You can blame it on Saquon Barkley’s injury, but Daniel Jones, the offensive line, and Jason Garrett’s playcalling weren’t exactly bright spots either. The team added Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney to boost the wide receiver room but didn’t address the offensive line this offseason.
Daniel Jones - 14th round ADP
Jones has a latent running ability that Garrett tapped into at times last year, and adding Golladay can’t hurt, but we should still be in “believe it when you see it” mode when his ADP is in the same range as Carson Wentz and above Ben Roethlisberger, Derek Carr, and Zach Wilson.
Barkley has been worth a rich ADP once in his three years in the league, and he could start slow coming off a knee surgery that was more complex than a mere ACL tear. He has big-play upside and should have target volume to sustain his floor, but do you want to build your best ball team around a player from this offense that is coming into the season less than 100%? Booker could have a decent start if he’s splitting work with Barkley and Wayne Gallman was solid in Barkley’s stead last year.
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