Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy, and each week this offseason, I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania IV tournament a few months ago, excitement has been growing each day. Each week I want to break down what has changed from the previous week when it comes to NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. It's useful to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks, we are looking at NFL players, specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week I will look at the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com to examine the top 10 risers and the top 10 fallers at ADP. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news we have coming in that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
TOP 10 ADP RISERS
| RANK | PLAYER | POSITION | TEAM | SEPT 5 ADP | ADP CHANGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deon Jackson | RB | IND | 164.3 | 33.3 |
| 2 | Raheem Mostert | RB | MIA | 118.4 | 21.7 |
| 3 | Joshua Palmer | WR | LAC | 195.8 | 13.2 |
| 4 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 203.1 | 11.2 |
| 5 | Adam Thielen | WR | CAR | 139.0 | 10.8 |
| 6 | Zack Moss | RB | IND | 203.6 | 10.8 |
| 7 | Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | DEN | 119.6 | 10.1 |
| 8 | Van Jefferson | WR | LAR | 136.3 | 9.0 |
| 9 | Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 182.2 | 8.3 |
| 10 | Ty Chandler | RB | MIN | 192.2 | 7.8 |
***These ten ADP risers are based on the dates 08/29/2023-09/05/23***
This week is all about the wide receivers and running backs, as we have five of each rounding out the top 10. At the wide receiver position, we have Puka Nacua and Marvin Mims as the rookies who are looking at a bigger role with the players ahead of them dinged up and with them showing out during training camp. Joshua Palmer and Van Jefferson are two other names that are younger and that are also getting bumps because of the depth chart and how it is shaking out heading into Week 1. I have been big on Palmer all offseason, thinking he had the WR3 role locked down for the Chargers. The last wide receiver in the risers is Adam Thielen, and early on in the process, drafters were scared off by his age and the Panthers' lack of talent on offense. He has silenced the doubters with a very strong training camp and preseason, as he has shown to be a team leader and a favorite of Bryce Young early on.
The five running backs that are risers this week are Deon Jackson because of the uncertainty of the running back room for the Colts now, with Jonathan Taylor starting the season on the PUP list. Raheem Mostert is the second-highest riser, and this comes as the Jonathan Taylor rumors faded and Jeff Wilson was placed on the IR. Zack Moss, Chuba Hubbard, and Ty Chandler are all risers this week as well, and that has more to do with their roles on the team and the team's depth chart as they are secured into more of a role to start the season.
TOP 10 ADP FALLERS
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