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What does it mean for a player to “make your draft” ? It means providing such a surplus return on value that the player makes other issues with team building easy. An unfair advantage, which includes Until recently I would have said a player who can “make your draft” can’t come from the first 2-3 rounds because those picks are supposed to be your cornerstones, but Travis Kelce and Davante Adams absolutely made your draft last year as early round picks. So even if you are picking second or third overall, you can take someone that makes your draft. Who can make your draft this year?
Kyler Murray, ARI - Murray was the clear #1 fantasy quarterback before hurting his shoulder in Week 11. He was back in top fantasy form by Week 15, but the temporary lull in scoring brought him back to the pack. If he can stay healthy this year and benefit from the addition of Rodney Hudson to the line and A.J. Green + Rondale Moore to the passing game, he could set new highs for himself on the momentum of his first full uninterrupted offseason in the NFL. Remember, he only started concentrating on football two years ago.
Dak Prescott, DAL - Prescott was the clear #1 fantasy quarterback before hurting his ankle in Week 5. It’s a smaller sample size than Murray, but Prescott was also playing behind a duct tape and bailing wire offensive line instead of the elite unit he’ll get to line up behind this year as long as Tyron Smith and La’el Collins stay healthy. Prescott’s shoulder injury is worrisome and probably should result in him falling in drafts, but his upside will be intact if he can put this behind him before the season starts.
Russell Wilson, SEA - Wilson was just a smidge off of Murray’s scoring through Week 9, even though he doesn’t pull the ball down and run nearly as often as Murray. The Seahawks offense went into a prolonged slump and Wilson wasn’t even a trustworthy fantasy starter. They rectified this by hiring Shane Waldron to run the offense. The team is excited by Waldron’s offense because it has upped the tempo and disguised the run vs. pass intentions, unlike the previous offense. Was Wilson being held back by uninspired offenses this whole time? He’s going outside of the top five quarterbacks, so it’s not that expensive to find out with him on your roster.
Trey Lance, SF - If you forgo quarterback for the first half of your draft and depend on a later pick to make up the difference, Lance should be your focus. Every single item out of San Francisco training camp has indicated that the longer this quarterback battle goes (the team didn’t even acknowledge the competition at the beginning of camp), the more it moves in Lance’s favor. He will get goal line rushing attempts, take advantage of stressed defenses as a runner, and take deep shots against units compressed towards the line of scrimmage to stop the souped up 11 on 11 running game. The only real risk to Lance beyond Jimmy Garoppolo finding a new level in his game is the possibility of the 49ers winning games with minimal pass attempts because their defense is finally healthy up front.
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