Cracking DraftKings Week 11

Photo: Nathan Ray Seebeck, USA Today Sports

Favorite Fantasy Game Environments

• Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans - Over/Under 48.5
• Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams - Over/Under 46.5

Favorite Additional Fantasy Spots

• Dolphins at home vs. Raiders - Implied Team Total 29.5
• Lions at home vs. Bears - Implied Team Total 27.5
• Cowboys on road vs. Panthers - Implied Team Total 26.0
• 49ers at home vs. Buccaneers - Implied Team Total 26.5
• Commanders at home vs. Giants - Implied Team Total 23.0
• Jaguars at home vs. Titans - Implied Team Total 23.8
• Chargers on road vs. Packers - Implied Team Total 23.3
• Bills at home vs. Jets - Implied Team Total 23.5

CASH GAMES

Quarterbacks

Dak Prescott is on an absolute heater right now. He's thrown for 1,082 yards and 11 touchdowns over his past three games. He ranks seventh in passing yards per game (268.3) and fourth in pass touchdowns per game (1.9) and leads a Cowboys offense that ranks fifth in Expected Points Added per Play (EPA/Play), fifth in Dropback EPA, sixth in Early Down Pass Frequency (EDPF), and fifth in Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE). He has a favorable matchup here against a Panthers defense that ranks 27th in EPA/Play Allowed and 15th in Dropback EPA Allowed.

Jared Goff is at home in the dome against a Bears defense that only ranks 29th in both EPA/Play Allowed and Dropback EPA Allowed. And, of course, we know the Lions have one of the best offenses in the NFL. Goff leads a Lions offense that ranks eighth in EPA/Play and seventh in Dropback EPA.

Kyler Murray returned last week and looked like his old self rushing for 33 yards and 1 touchdown. He's in one of the best fantasy games of the week against a Texans defense that only ranks 23rd in Dropback EPA Allowed.

Running Backs

Dameon Pierce is out once again, putting Devin Singletary in line to start at home against a Cardinals defense that only ranks 24th in EPA/Play Allowed and 20th in Rush EPA Allowed. This matchup has the highest Over/Under (48.5) of the week, and Singletary is coming off of a Week 10 performance where he turned 31 touches into 161 total yards and 1 touchdown. Singletary is a very strong cash play priced at just $5,300.

Austin Ekeler ranks sixth in opportunities per game (21.2) and 11th in total yards per game (96.7) and has a juicy matchup on tap against a Packers defense that only ranks 23rd in both EPA/Play Allowed and Dropback EPA Allowed.

Christian McCaffrey has a tough matchup against a Buccaneers defense that leads the NFL in Rush EPA Allowed. But McCaffrey is an elite dual-threat who could dominate in the receiving game, ranking fourth in opportunities per game (22.2) and third in total yards per game (120.7).

Josh Jacobs is the engine of the Raiders' offense under interim head coach Antonio Pierce. Jacobs ranks second in opportunities per game (23.1) and has a favorable matchup against a Dolphins defense that only ranks 25th in EPA/Play Allowed and 29th in Rush EPA Allowed. Expect Jacobs to get a lot of work even if the Raiders get down early.

With Deshaun Watson lost for the season, expect the Browns offense to heavily utilize their running game moving forward. The Browns are 1.5-point home favorites here, which is a spot where they should be able to utilize Jerome Ford the way they'd like to. And Ford has a favorable matchup against a Steelers defense that only ranks 20th in Rush EPA Allowed.

The Bills defense is banged up and struggling and Breece Hall is averaging 19.8 opportunities per game over his past five contests. That workload would rank eighth in the NFL if over the full season. And the Jets just released Michael Carter this week, which could free up even more chances for the mega-talented Hall.