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Introduction

Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites and offers a unique product that is a lot of fun. There are no salary caps and you do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) is playing in the same game, we can use correlation to our advantage. For example, if we know that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback is more likely to throw for more yards also.

In this weekly article, we will count down the five best props of the week.

Week 10 Review

Last Week: -1

Season Total: +6

We tried something by focusing entirely on Touchdown Dance props last week. It was close to being a great week but we came up just short in a couple of spots.

Week 10 Picks

5: Panthers-Cardinals TDs: (-1) We will take the L here, although this one came with a disclaimer to wait until Sunday and see what was going on with injuries. In real life, we would have passed once we saw Kyler Murray ruled out.

4: Vikings-Chargers TDs: (-1) This one probably should have hit. We had touchdowns from Dalvin Cook and Austin Ekeler but nothing from Adam Thielen. Cook getting stoned at the goal line and a touchdown going to Tyler Conklin instead.

3: Rams-49ers TDs: (-1) This one was nowhere close to hitting with the Rams offense struggling and neither Cooper Kupp or Darrell Henderson finding the end zone.

2: Colts-Jaguars TDs: (-1) We got touchdowns from Jonathan Taylor and James Robinson but came up just short of getting the third we needed.

1: Chiefs-Raiders TDs (+3) Darrel Williams found the end zone on one of his 20 touches and Tyreek Hill scored twice.

5: Split Thursday Ticket

Matt Ryan LESS than 251.5 passing yards
Mac Jones MORE than 245.5 passing yards

• Matt Ryan has thrown for less than 150 passing yards twice in the last three weeks, which coincides with the loss of some of his top weapons.
• Calvin Ridley is out indefinitely. Cordarrelle Patterson is highly questionable for tonight. Hayden Hurst is out. We know that Bill Belichick will be able to scheme out the opponent’s top target (Kyle Pitts). Who is Ryan going to throw it to? Russell Gage, Olamide Zaccheaus, Wayne Gallman, and Co. are not going to dominate individual matchups.
• The Patriots pass defense has been dominant in recent weeks, holding the Browns to 154 yards last week, the Panthers to 172 in Week 9, and the Chargers to 223 the week before.
• Mac Jones has quietly been one of the more efficient passers in the NFL over the past six weeks. He has 7.7 or more yards per attempt in five of six games. At that level of efficiency, he would need 32 attempts to throw for more than 245.5 yards.

.@MutWEEI and @JumboHart are joined by @JimNagy_SB and he thinks it is about time national media starts giving Mac Jones some credit for his play pic.twitter.com/DrCLH8Door

— Mut at Night (@MutAtNightWEEI) November 18, 2021

• The Falcons defense has given up more than 245.5 passing yards in seven-of-nine games this season (78%).