Underdog Pick 'Em Week 4

Dan Hindery's Underdog Pick 'Em Week 4 Dan Hindery Published 09/29/2023

Underdog's Fantasy Pick ‘Em is a fun way to test our powers of prediction against the market. The two keys to success are picking the best players to target and taking advantage of correlations where we can to increase our odds. You play Pick ‘Em by simply choosing “Higher” or “Lower” on at least two player props. If you choose successfully, this is the payout structure:

  • Two picks = 3X
  • Three picks = 6X
  • Four picks = 10X
  • Five picks = 20X

In this weekly article, we will list our favorite plays of the week and the reasoning behind them.

Week 3 Review

Overall Picks (5-7 on the week, 21-17 on the season)

Overall Units (-3, +1 on the season)

  • Lamar Jackson was the free square and Zay Flowers went way higher than his receptions total (4.0) with eight catches. But Jahan Dotson (3.5) came in under with just two catches and Mark Andrews (4.5) came in 0.5 under.
  • Pats-Jets Under. Zach Wilson (29.5) cost us a win on this one by passing 36 times. The other two hit. Mac Jones (32.5) went under with just 29 attempts and Breece Hall (57.5 total yards) went well under with just 27 yards.
  • The long shot Texans-Jags over did not come through. The Texans did their part and C.J. Stroud (14.45 fantasy points) easily went higher. On the other side, it wasn't Trevor Lawrence's day.

Lessons learned: The Jets-Pats unders were a good play but didn't quite hit. The Jaguars offense has bigger problems than I thought and it probably comes down to the offensive line. All the skill position talent in the world doesn't matter if the line is struggling.

Running Back Receiving Overs 20X

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