Underdog Pick 'Em Week 4

Dan Hindery's Underdog Pick 'Em Week 4 Dan Hindery Published 09/29/2023

Underdog's Fantasy Pick ‘Em is a fun way to test our powers of prediction against the market. The two keys to success are picking the best players to target and taking advantage of correlations where we can to increase our odds. You play Pick ‘Em by simply choosing “Higher” or “Lower” on at least two player props. If you choose successfully, this is the payout structure:

  • Two picks = 3X
  • Three picks = 6X
  • Four picks = 10X
  • Five picks = 20X

In this weekly article, we will list our favorite plays of the week and the reasoning behind them.

Week 3 Review

Overall Picks (5-7 on the week, 21-17 on the season)

Overall Units (-3, +1 on the season)

  • Lamar Jackson was the free square and Zay Flowers went way higher than his receptions total (4.0) with eight catches. But Jahan Dotson (3.5) came in under with just two catches and Mark Andrews (4.5) came in 0.5 under.
  • Pats-Jets Under. Zach Wilson (29.5) cost us a win on this one by passing 36 times. The other two hit. Mac Jones (32.5) went under with just 29 attempts and Breece Hall (57.5 total yards) went well under with just 27 yards.
  • The long shot Texans-Jags over did not come through. The Texans did their part and C.J. Stroud (14.45 fantasy points) easily went higher. On the other side, it wasn't Trevor Lawrence's day.

Lessons learned: The Jets-Pats unders were a good play but didn't quite hit. The Jaguars offense has bigger problems than I thought and it probably comes down to the offensive line. All the skill position talent in the world doesn't matter if the line is struggling.

Running Back Receiving Overs 20X

Already a subscriber?

Continue reading this content with a HALL OF FAME subscription.

Photos provided by Imagn Images
Share This Article

More by Dan Hindery

 

NFFC High-Stakes Drafting

Dan Hindery

Everything you need to know to try to win $250,000 in the $350 Online Championship and an introduction to our new NFFC tools

08/03/25 Read More
 

Superflex Draft Strategy, by the Numbers

Dan Hindery

How to Attack 2025 Superflex Drafts to Maximize Value

08/21/25 Read More
 

FanDuel GPP Guide: Week 2

Dan Hindery

Dan Hindery Analyzes the Top Tournament Plays for the Week 2 FanDuel Main Slate

09/13/25 Read More
 

Underdog Pick Em: Week 2

Dan Hindery

Dan Hindery looks at the top Week 2 Underdog Player Props to target

09/12/25 Read More
 

DFS First Look: Week 2

Dan Hindery

An early look at the DraftKings and FanDuel main slates

09/10/25 Read More
 

FanDuel GPP Guide: Week 1

Dan Hindery

Dan Hindery Analyzes the Top Tournament Plays for the Week 1 FanDuel Main Slate

09/06/25 Read More