Favorite Fantasy Game Environments
- Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills - Over/Under 52.5
- San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants - Over/Under 48.5
- Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions - Over/Under 47.5
- Chicago Bears at Cincinnati Bengals - Over/Under 51.5
- Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots - Over/Under 45.5
Favorite Additional Fantasy Spots
- Green Bay Packers at home vs. Carolina Panthers - Implied Team Total 28.5
- Indianapolis Colts on the road against Pittsburgh Steelers - Implied Team Total 26.8
- Los Angeles Rams at home vs. New Orleans Saints - Implied Team Total 29
- Los Angeles Chargers on the road against Tennessee Titans - Implied Team Total 27
Cash Games
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Player | Opponent | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick Mahomes II | at Bills | $7,100 |
| 2 | Josh Allen | vs Chiefs | $7,300 |
| 3 | Drake Maye | vs Falcons | $6,500 |
| 4 | Justin Herbert | at Titans | $6,800 |
| 5 | Jordan Love | vs Panthers | $6,100 |
| 6 | Matthew Stafford | vs Saints | $6,300 |
| 7 | Jaxson Dart | vs 49ers | $5,200 |
Chiefs at Bills has the highest Over/Under (52.5) on the main slate as Patrick Mahomes II and Josh Allen will go at it. Both quarterbacks are fantastic plays in all formats this week. Mahomes leads a Chiefs offense that leads the NFL in both Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE) and Early Down Pass Frequency (EDPF) and ranks second in EPA/Play. Mahomes ranks fifth in both passing yards per game (262.4) and pass touchdowns per game (2.1) and leads all quarterbacks in DraftKings points per game (25.4). Mahomes is shredding, and the average at best Bills defense will not slow him down.
Josh Allen ranks third at the quarterback position in DraftKings points per game (23.5). He's a dual-threat who has amassed rushing production for years, and this season has been no different. Allen has run for 261 yards and 5 touchdowns so far. He's at home in this incredible fantasy environment against a Chiefs defense that ranks just 21st in EPA/Play Allowed and 16th in Dropback EPA Allowed.
The Falcons' defense has been good for the majority of the season, but as we saw last week, they can be had. Atlanta gave up 205 passing yards and 4 pass touchdowns on a 76.9% completion percentage to Tua Tagovialoa. Drake Maye is playing at home, and he's a legit MVP contender right now. Maye leads a Patriots offense that ranks sixth in PROE and eighth in EPA/Play, and he ranks tenth in both passing yards per game (253.3) and pass touchdowns per game (1.9). Maye is in play in all formats.
Justin Herbert is in an incredible spot against a bad Titans team whose defense ranks 30th in EPA/Play Allowed and 26th in Dropback EPA Allowed. Herbert leads a Chargers offense that ranks second in both PROE and EDPF, and he ranks second in passing yards per game (267.5) and seventh in pass touchdowns per game (2). Herbert has a plethora of receiving weapons at his disposal and just got his Left Tackle, Joe Alt, back from injury last week. Herbert has QB1 upside this week and is a good play in all formats.
The Green Bay Packers are currently the #1 seed in the NFC, and their offense leads the NFL in EPA/Play. This is a juggernaut led by Jordan Love, who ranks ninth in passing yards per game (256.9) and tenth in pass touchdowns per game (1.9). He's playing at home against an average Panthers defense that ranks 18th in EPA/Play Allowed and 16th in Dropback EPA Allowed. This really comes down to how Matt LaFleur decides to beat this defense. If they take to the air, Love has QB1 within his range of outcomes this week. He's a good play in all formats.
Matthew Stafford leads a Rams offense that ranks second in PROE, third in EDPF, and 11th in EPA/Play, and he ranks third in passing yards per game (266.6) and second in pass touchdowns per game (2.4). He's at home in a great matchup against a Saints defense that ranks just 22nd in EPA/Play Allowed and 29th in Dropback EPA Allowed. Stafford is a solid play in all formats.
Jaxson Dart is the salary saver option at $5,200 at home against a banged-up 49ers defense that ranks just 22nd in EPA/Play Allowed and 24th in Dropback EPA Allowed. Dart is a dual-threat who has four rushing touchdowns in five starts.
Running Backs
| Rank | Player | Opponent | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Taylor | at Steelers | $9,800 |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | at Giants | $8,800 |
| 3 | James Cook | vs Chiefs | $7,200 |
| 4 | Kimani Vidal | at Titans | $6,300 |
| 5 | Kyle Monangai | at Bengals | $4,600 |
| 6 | Jahmyr Gibbs | vs Vikings | $8,000 |
| 7 | Josh Jacobs | vs Panthers | $7,700 |
| 8 | Tyrone Tracy Jr. | vs 49ers | $5,100 |
| 9 | Kareem Hunt | at Bills | $4,700 |
The Colts are three-point favorites, and Jonathan Taylor gets to attack a Steelers defense that ranks 24th in EPA/Play Allowed and middle of the pack (16th) in Rush EPA Allowed. Taylor is dominating. He leads the NFL in touchdowns (14) and ranks third in opportunities per game (21.3) and second in total yards per game (132). Taylor is a damn near cash game lock.
Christian McCaffrey gets a Giants defense that ranks just 26th in EPA/Play Allowed and dead last in Rush EPA Allowed. He leads the NFL in opportunities per game (26.8) and ranks third in total yards per game (131.1) and tenth in touchdowns (6).
James Cook is a dynamic athletic playmaker in one of the league's best rushing offenses. He ranks sixth in opportunities per game (20), fourth in total yards per game (120.3), and fourth in touchdowns (7). Chiefs at Bills has the highest Over/Under (52.5) on the main slate, and Cook has a good matchup against a Chiefs defense that ranks just 21st in EPA/Play Allowed and 25th in Rush EPA Allowed. Cook is a good play in both cash and GPPs.
Omarion Hampton has missed the past three games due to injury. Over that span, Kimani Vidal is averaging 20.3 opportunities (Would rank sixth if over the full season) and 100 total yards (Would rank ninth if over the full season). He's scored two touchdowns over that span as well. Vidal has performed very well and is in a fantastic spot this week. The Chargers are 10.5-point favorites, and he gets a bad Titans defense that ranks just 30th in both EPA/Play Allowed and Rush EPA Allowed.
D'Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson are both out this week with injuries. It's Kyle Monangai time. Monangai is a tough tone setter who provides reliability to the backfield. He never fumbled in his four-year collegiate career on 669 career carries, and he has yet to put the ball on the ground on 48 touches this season as well. Last season at Rutgers, Monangai ranked 18th in Yards After Contact (862) and 19th in Missed Tackles Forced (66). At 211 pounds, Monangai is a bowling ball capable of moving defenders out of his way. He's priced at just $4,600 in an awesome matcup against a Bengals defense that ranks just 28th in EPA/Play Allowed and 27th in Rush EPA Allowed. His salary essentially makes him a cash game lock.
The Lions are 8.5-point home favorites, and Jahmyr Gibbs gets to attack a Vikings defense that is vulnerable on the ground. Minnesota's defense ranks ninth best in Dropback EPA Allowed, but just 21st in Rush EPA Allowed. Gibbs ranks 12th in opportunities per game 18.9), eighth in total yards per game (102.9), and fourth in total touchdowns (7). He's a great play in all formats.
The Packers are 12.5-point home favorites, and Josh Jacobs gets a Panthers defense that ranks just 18th in EPA/Play Allowed and 23rd in Rush EPA Allowed. Jacobs ranks fifth in opportunities per game (21), 13th in total yards per game (91.1), and second in touchdowns (9). Jacobs could go turbo nuclear if Matt LaFleur decides to keep feeding him in the red zone.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. is an elite athlete. He ran a 4.48 40-yard dash and posted elite numbers of a 40" vertical and 6.81 3-cone. His athleticism and ability immediately translated last season as Tracy accumulated 1,123 total yards as a rookie. With Cam Skattebo now out for the season, Tracy immediately steps right back into the starting role he performed well in last season. He's at home and has a decent matchup against a 49ers defense that ranks 22nd in EPA/Play Allowed. He makes a lot of sense in cash thanks to his cheap $5,100 price tag.
In eight games without Isiah Pacheco last season, Kareem Hunt averaged 22.1 opportunities per game and 89 total yards per game. Pacheco is out once again due to a knee injury, thrusting Hunt right back into the starting role. Chiefs at Bills has the highest Over/Under (52.5) on the main slate, and Hunt gets to attack a Bills defense that ranks 31st in Rush EPA Allowed. Ed Oliver is out due to injury as well. Hunt makes sense in both cash and GPPs thanks to his affordable $4,700 salary, the favorable fantasy game environment, and the favorable matchup against a struggling Bills defense.