Fantasy Overview - Week 7

This week I look at which quarterbacks are HOT over the last three weeks (FanDuel scoring). I researched their expected outcomes based on schedule strength and defensive efficiency rankings for the rest of the season including the playoffs. I'll let you know which quarterbacks will get you where you want to be and which ones may face a tougher road ahead.

The Top 20 quarterback rankings are taking form after six weeks of action. Do you see any surprises over the last three games? DeShaun Watson is #1 and Carson Wentz is surprisingly #4. Staying the course is Kyler Murray, Josh Allen, Tom Brady, and Ryan Fitzpatrick. If you're wondering why Russell Wilson is #17, keep in mind he had his bye last week. Ryan Tannehill is also raising eyebrows coming in #10 despite only playing two games. There aren't many notable declines comparing season to date stats and the last three weeks, but Aaron Rodgers' tough outing against Tampa Bay in Week 6 is clearly visible in his #25 ranking (not pictured).

What else stands out?

1. Lamar Jackson is still a rushing threat, which isn't exactly news, but look at Kyler Murray with 185 yards rushing in this three-week span. Carson Wentz, Patrick Mahomes II, and Teddy Bridgewater are also accumulating rushing yards at a noticeable pace.
2. Gardner Minshew has 83 completions on 133 pass attempts, both highs during this period.
3. Everyone in the top 10 has at least 40 yards rushing with the exception of Tom Brady who has -3 yards rushing.
4. Deshaun Watson and Justin Herbert lead the way with 9.47 and 9.39 yards per attempt respectively. Easily tops during this span.

Quarterbacks with strong SOS based on opponent's defensive pass efficiency

bold = opponent has pass defense efficiency ranking in the top 16. (based on data obtained on sharpfootballstats.com)

Josh Allen, BUF
remaining schedule: at NYJ, vs NE, vs SEA, at ARI, vs LAC, at SF, vs PIT, at DEN, at NE, vs MIA

Carson Wentz, PHI
remaining schedule: vs NYG, vs DAL, at NYG, at CLE, vs SEA, at GB, vs NO, at ARI, at DAL, vs WAS

Justin Herbert, LAC
remaining schedule: vs JAX, at DEN, vs LV, at MIA, vs NYJ, at BUF, vs NE, vs ATL, at LV, vs DEN, at KC

Russell Wilson, SEA
remaining schedule: at ARI, vs SF, at BUF, at LAR, vs ARI, at PHI, vs NYG, vs NYJ, at WAS, vs LAR, at SF

Jared Goff, LAR
remaining schedule: vs CHI, at MIA, vs SEA, at TB, vs SF, at ARI, vs NE, vs NYJ, at SEA, vs ARI

Baker Mayfield, CLE
remaining schedule: at CIN, vs LV, vs HOU, vs PHI, at JAX, at TEN, vs BAL, at NYG, at NYJ, vs PIT

Kyler Murray, ARI
remaining schedule: vs SEA, vs MIA, vs BUF, at SEA, at NE, vs LAR, at NYG, vs PHI, vs SF, at LAR

Kyle Allen, WAS
remaining schedule: vs DAL, vs NYG, at DET, vs CIN, at DAL, at PIT, at SF, vs SEA, vs CAR, at PHI

Quarterbacks with weak SOS based on opponent's defensive pass efficiency

Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
remaining schedule: at TEN, at BAL, at DAL, vs CIN, at JAX, vs BAL, vs WAS, at BUF, at CIN, vs IND, at CLE

Ryan Tannehill, TEN
remaining schedule: vs PIT, at CIN, vs CHI, vs IND, at BAL, at IND, vs CLE, at JAX, vs DET, at GB, at HOU

Matt Ryan, ATL
remaining schedule: vs DET, at CAR, vs DEN, at NO, vs LV, vs NO, at LAC, vs TB, at KC, at TB

Teddy Bridgewater, CAR
remaining schedule: at NO, vs ATL, at KC, vs TB, vs DET, at MIN, vs DEN, at GB, at WAS, vs NO

Matthew Stafford, DET
remaining schedule: at ATL, vs IND, at MIN, vs WAS, at CAR, vs HOU, at CHI, vs GB, at TEN, vs TB, vs MIN

Gardner Minshew, JAC
remaining schedule: at LAC, vs HOU, at GB, vs PIT, vs CLE, at MIN, vs TEN, at BAL, vs CHI, at IND

Drew Lock, DEN
remaining schedule: vs KC, vs LAC, at ATL, at LV, vs MIA, vs NO, at KC, at CAR, vs BUF, at LAC, vs LV

Helpful quarterback stats

300-yard passing games

4 times

• Joe Burrow, CIN

3 times

• Josh Allen, BUF
• Ryan Fitzpatrick, MIA
• Patrick Mahomes II, KC
• Gardner Minshew, JAC
• Dak Prescott, DAL
• Deshaun Watson, HOU
• Russell Wilson, SEA

2 times

• Drew Brees, NO
• Teddy Bridgewater, CAR
• Derek Carr, LSV
• Jared Goff, LAR
• Justin Herbert, LAC
• Philip Rivers, IND
• Aaron Rodgers, GB
• Matt Ryan, ATL
• Ryan Tannehill, TEN

1 time

• Tom Brady, TB
• Kirk Cousins, MIN
• Dwayne Haskins, WAS
• Nick Mullens, SF
• Kyler Murray, ARI
• Cam Newton, NE
• Ben Roethlisberger, PIT

300-yard passing games allowed

5 times

• Atlanta

4 times

• Minnesota
• Seattle

3 times

• Buffalo
• Jacksonville
• LA Chargers

2 times

• Baltimore
• Cincinnati
• Cleveland
• Houston
• Kansas City
• Las Vegas
• Miami
• NY Jets
• Tennessee

1 time

• Carolina
• Dallas
• Denver
• Indianapolis
• LA Rams
• NY Giants
• Philadelphia
• San Francisco
• Tampa Bay
• Washington

0 times

• Arizona
• Chicago
• Detroit
• Green Bay
• New England
• New Orleans
• Pittsburgh

Fantasy weekly top 12 finishes - Quarterback

Five times

• Kyler Murray, ARI

Four times

• Josh Allen, BUF
• Russell Wilson, SEA

Three times