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Can you believe we are a quarter of the way through the season already? In fantasy terms we're even further, considering most league's playoffs start in Week 15. For those of you with a 4-0 record, Congratulations! All the power to you.
This week's edition is more for those that are 0-4, 1-3, or 2-2. I'll take a look at some struggling players from each position and let you know how you should proceed with those players. These do not include any players who have missed multiple games with an injury.
Aaron Rodgers, GB
- Current rank:18th, 81.25 FP
- Drafted as: QB1
- Opponents played: at NO, DET, at SF, PIT
- Record: 3-1
- Upcoming schedule: at CIN, at CHI, WAS, at ARI, at KC
2021 fantasy points through Week 4 81.25 QB18 - Finished ???
2020 fantasy points through Week 4 115.20 QB 6 - Finished QB3 (434.25)
2019 fantasy points through Week 4 81.75 QB17 - Finished QB11 (324.40)
All of the top 8 fantasy quarterbacks heading into Week 5 have at least one rushing touchdown. Seven have at least 50 yards rushing. Aaron Rodgers may have a run or two per game to evade pressure but he is by no stretch a mobile quarterback, so he's already behind the others in that regard. For him to surpass the dual-threat quarterbacks, he will need to do so with yardage and/or passing touchdowns. So far, in four games, Rodgers has zero 300-yard outings and only one game over two touchdown passes, and one zero-score game. This is why he is stuck at QB18 after Week 4. Can this improve? Absolutely, but for him to finish in the top 5, he may need 45+ touchdown passes. He had 48 last season and finished QB3.
Result: Rodgers should be able to climb into the top 12, but it's no guarantee that he will be a top 5 quarterback, especially if the yardage and touchdown passes continue to be a slight disappointment.
Dak Prescott, DAL
- Current rank: QB11
- Drafted as: QB1 - top 5-8
- Opponents played: at TB, at LAC, PHI, CAR
- Record: 3-1
- Upcoming schedule: NYG, at NE, at MIN, vs DEN, vs ATL
2021 fantasy points through Week 4 96.70 QB11 - Finished ???
2020 fantasy points through Week 4 144.10 QB1 - Finished QB32 (159.20) inj
2019 fantasy points through Week 4 105.65 QB4 - FInished QB2 (399.75)
There are a few reasons why Dak Prescott is on the outside of the top 10 currently - One, he is still getting used to his surgically repaired ankle, or at least building his confidence. As a result, he is not running much. That may be a directive from the coaching staff, but the long and short of it is, he is not running the ball like he did at this point last year and he does not have any rushing touchdowns to date. Last season after four games he had 3 rushing touchdowns. The other reason for Prescott's absence in the top 10 is the strength and success of the running game. Both Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard have had success this season, leading Dallas to the #2 rushing offense in the league behind only Cleveland. If the ground game is working, there is less of a need to pass downfield and we're seeing it in Prescott's yardage totals with three games under 240 yards passing. New England and Denver (upcoming schedule) have decent pass defenses, so we may not completely see him explode in terms of the passing offense.
Result: The success of the ground game, the slow return to normalcy with his rushing, and the decrease in passing yardage is a slight concern for the near future -- if concern means he may not be a top-five quarterback this season. Plan on him having a rank in the range of 8-12 this season if all factors remain at their status quo.
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