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Sunday Morning Update
Check back each Sunday Morning around 11:45 EST for any updates based on the actives/inactives and Sunday news. Note, we will always put something on here even if it is as simple as “no update”.
Update #1 10:44 AM EST
A lot of key injury news has broke since the release of this article.
Ben Roethlisberger is out with Covid. Mason Rudolph will get the start this week. How this is going to impact the offense is difficult to tell. It likely limits the passing upside of most of the Steelers players, but may really impact Pat Freiermuth as Mason Rudolph has not targeted the tight ends much in his starting history. No tight end has topped 34 yards in games Rudolph has started. Najee Harris should see a few extra carries, but at $9,400 the price is tough to build around. Detroit's defense becomes interesting with Mason Rudolph starting as Rudolph has thrown 10 interceptions in his short time as a starting quarterback in the NFL.
Both Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are looking doubtful per Adam Schefter. This likely will cause the Cardinals to look heavily at James Conner once again this week, but the matchup is not as strong as it was last week as Carolina is allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points to running backs this season. Conner is a very good play, but not a must play this week.
Julio Jones was placed on IR with a hamstring injury. A.J. Brown is the last man standing in Tennessee with no Derrick Henry and Julio Jones. While A.J. Brown is going to be popular, but New Orleans is a concerning matchup. As bad as the Saints have been against wide receivers (3rd most fantasy points in the NFL), they have done a great job of shutting down top-end receivers as Marshon Lattimore is still an elite corner. So what do we do here? This is a scenario where I'm gritting my teeth and playing A.J. Brown as much as I don't love it. He's had 11 targets in each of his last two games and should be in line to potentially see slightly more than that this week.
|DK Metcalf||2||96||1||Defender slipped/non-call offensive pass interference for an 84-yard touchdown|
Chris Godwin is going to play this week. While it may hurt Mike Evans a little bit, it likely won't be that significant of a downgrade for Evans. With Godwin in the lineup, it adds another player for the Washington Football Team to have to worry about and could help Evans avoid as many double teams as he otherwise may have seen (which is the problem with A.J. Brown). If the Buccaneers are going to throw for ~300 yards a high percentage of that is going to go to Evans and Godwin. With Evans being the cheaper of the two, he's the preferred target in this game.
Week 10 Lineup- Footballguys Projected 133.9
- QB Josh Allen, BUF, $8,700
- RB D'Ernest Johnson, CLE, $5,400
- RB Mark Ingram II, NO, $5,500
- WR Davante Adams, GB $8,700
- WR Mike Evans, TB, $7,400
- WR A.J. Brown, TEN, $7,600
- TE Dan Arnold, JAC, $5,100
- Flex RB Dalvin Cook, MIN $8,500
- TD Detroit Lions, $3,100
SITUATIONS THAT STAND OUT TO THIS WEEK ON THE MAIN SLATE.
- Dallas (vs Atlanta) 31.75 points
- Tampa Bay (at Washington) 30.5 points
- Buffalo (at NY Jets) 29.75 points
- Indianapolis (vs Jacksonville) 29 points
- LA Chargers (vs Minnesota) 28.25 points
Week 9 Recap
Week 9 was a bit of a lucky week with unintended positive consequences, but it was another fairly easy week in terms of cash games. For cash game quarterbacks we liked both Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson, but preferred Josh Allen all week. However, on the Sunday Morning Lineup, I needed to get Tyreek Hill into the lineup which forced me to switch from Allen to Lamar. Tyreek Hill ended up being terrible, but Lamar Jackson ended up being the positive end of the trade as he was outstanding while Josh Allen had his worst game of the year. The rest of the lineup outside of the Chiefs, Chubb, and Jackson was not great, but it was a low scoring week all around and easily made the cut and should have won most of your contests.
What went right:
- Nick Chubb was incredibly popular, but he was the must-play guy last week if you had any chance of cashing. Chubb had 137 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground last week in a dominant performance at just $7,600.
- The Chiefs defense were unbelievable last week. They took an approach of blitzing seemingly every play
- Taking Cooper Kupp out of the lineup and replacing him with Chris Godwin ended up paying off even though the extra money we saved to upgrade Chuba Hubbard to Dandre Swift didn’t work out. Godwin was excellent as he had 140 yards and a touchdown this week.
What went wrong:
- All the wide receivers. Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill, and Jarvis Landry combined for a total of 19.4 points.
A significant amount of injuries this week, which will make the Sunday Morning Update critical.
- Chris Godwin is questionable this week. If Godwin is out, Mike Evans becomes the top play on this slate as the Buccaneers are taking on one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL in Washington this week.
- Alvin Kamara is out this week with a foot injury. Mark Ingram II should be firmly in play this week as the Saints do not have much depth at the running back position. The only other active running back that they will likely has is Dwayne Washington who has just 17 carries over the last three seasons. Expect Ingram to get 17-20 carries this week and is a tremendous value.
- D’Ernest Johnson appears that he will be the only running back in Cleveland this week as Nick Chubb and Demetric Felton are out this week with Covid.
- Kyler Murray is once again a game-time decision with his ankle injury. Even if he plays, he’s likely not in consideration this week as so much of his value comes from his rushing upside which even if he plays he likely will not be running as he has ran for 38 total yards over his last four games.
- Aaron Rodgers appears like he will return this week from Covid, he will need to be activated by 4PM EST, but all signs are pointing towards being available.
- Chase Edmonds is out this week has been placed on IR with an ankle injury. James Conner should see a vast majority of the snaps this week while Eno Benjamin should see a little bit here.
- T.Y. Hilton is active. This is crushing news to Michael Pittman Jr who looked to be a top play heading into this week. With Pittman at $7,200 he’s likely not playable in cash games with Hilton active.
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