March saw elite players change teams at an unprecedented rate. Franchise quarterbacks and some of the top wide receivers in the game landed in new spots, dramatically changing the fantasy landscape. With the sheer volume of trades and free agency movement over the past 31 days, we are going to experiment with a new feature here in the April 2022 dynasty trade value article. You may have noticed that player values in the dynasty trade value app are now being updated in real time. This month’s article will begin with a log of every single change in player value throughout March with a very short explanation of the reasoning for those changes.
In addition to the log of all value changes that occurred during March, this month’s article will also include an update on the value of 2022 rookie picks. Plus, we will take a first look at the 2023 rookie class and the debut of 2023 rookie pick trade values.
The dynasty trade value chart is tailored to 12-team PPR leagues with a starting lineup of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, and one flex. It now also includes trade values for Superflex leagues in a separate column. The chart is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but can also be a great resource during startup drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade would be considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, the offer is worth strongly considering. Each league is different, so pay close attention to the scoring and starting roster requirements specific to your league.
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March player value changelog
Dynasty trade values are now being updated in real time (instead of monthly) in the dynasty trade value app. Soon, the app will also include a changelog so that you will be able to see what changes have been made when and some quick reasoning as to why the changes were made. The change log in the app will be in chronological order. As a preview of what that will look like and a way to briefly touch on all of the news from an incredibly busy month, the March changelog can be seen below in table form tracking all player value movement between March 1st and April 1st.
Please note that the log has been ordered by how much the player’s value changed over the past month.
| Player | From | To | Change | Why? |
| Calvin Ridley | 17 | 9 | -8 | What a mess. Does it stretch beyond one year? |
| Deshaun Watson | 9 | 16 | 7 | He is going to be back on the field soon. Young fantasy star. |
| Jaylen Waddle | 35 | 28 | -7 | Hill is a similar talent who will siphon touches. |
| Tyreek Hill | 34 | 27 | -7 | Going from Mahomes to Tagovailoa is a significant downgrade. |
| Treylon Burks | 25 | 18 | -7 | Not the freak athlete some believed. |
| Isaiah Spiller | 24 | 18 | -6 | Disappointing athleticism. |
| Skyy Moore | 6 | 12 | 6 | Faster than expected. Glowing tape reviews from Daniel Jeremiah and others taken into account. |
| Mike Williams | 14 | 20 | 6 | Locked in for some prime Herbert years. |
| Leonard Fournette | 10 | 16 | 6 | Lands three-year deal and gets at least one more year with Brady. |
| Christian Watson | 5 | 11 | 6 | Blew up the combine. |
| Breece Hall | 27 | 32 | 5 | Rookie fever setting in and elite testing numbers. |
| Kyren Williams | 10 | 5 | -5 | Small and slow is not a great combo. |
| Christian Kirk | 11 | 16 | 5 | The landing spot with Lawrence and clear WR1 expecation is great FA outcome. |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 3 | 8 | 5 | Big deal signed with Chiefs. |
| Brian Robinson | 5 | 9 | 4 | Waldman is a fan and makes a good case. Would want to see Day 2 draft capital. |
| Desmond Ridder | 3 | 7 | 4 | Has fantasy upside if he can win starting job, which is more realistic as his projected draft capital ticks up. |
| Derek Carr | 5 | 9 | 4 | The addition of Adams is big on the field and for what it says about Raiders commitment to Carr. |
| CeeDee Lamb | 35 | 39 | 4 | Decreased competition for targets. |
| Chris Godwin | 26 | 30 | 4 | Gets at least one more year with Brady. |
| Mike Evans | 21 | 25 | 4 | Gets at least one more year with Brady. |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 0 | 4 | 4 | Great landing spot with minimal competition. For now. |
| Tom Brady | 0 | 4 | 4 | Added back to player pool. |
| Hayden Hurst | 0 | 4 | 4 | Goes from forgotten man behind Pitts to starter in one of league's top offenses. |
| Allen Robinson | 8 | 12 | 4 | Stafford is easily best QB of his career. |
| Chris Olave | 15 | 19 | 4 | So many attractive landing spots in mid-to-late first round. |
| Russell Gage | 5 | 9 | 4 | Should perform well with Brady, especially if Godwin takes some time to get to 100%. |
| James Cook | 5 | 9 | 4 | Weak RB class opens possibility of him landing as a top five back in the class. |
| Robert Tonyan Jr | 3 | 7 | 4 | Back in GB and moves up pecking order for targets. |
| Tyler Allgeier | 9 | 6 | -3 | Did not test as well as I expected. |
| Matthew Stafford | 8 | 11 | 3 | Robinson signing and talk of bringing back Odell too? Weapons galore. |
| Kirk Cousins | 2 | 5 | 3 | He landed another big-money extension for 2023. |
| James Conner | 9 | 12 | 3 | The richest free-agent running back this offseason. |
| Jerry Jeudy | 17 | 20 | 3 | Wilson is big upgrade. |
| Amari Cooper | 16 | 19 | 3 | Clear top target in Cleveland. |
| Jameson Williams | 15 | 18 | 3 | So many attractive landing spots in mid-to-late first round. |
| Courtland Sutton | 12 | 15 | 3 | Big upgrade with arrival of Wilson. |
| Michael Gallup | 9 | 12 | 3 | Moves up to WR2 in Dallas. |
| Pierre Strong | 2 | 5 | 3 | Can't ignore the size-speed combination. |
| Jahan Dotson | 11 | 9 | -2 | Not quite as fast as expected despite fast track. |
| Rachaad White | 9 | 7 | -2 | Have not watched him much so paying extra attention to some mediocre reviews of his film. |
| David Bell | 10 | 8 | -2 | Concerns about speed borne out. Can he be Cooper Kupp or is upside more in Tyler Boyd range? |
| John Metchie | 7 | 5 | -2 | Smaller than I thought he was. |
| Greg Dulcch | 2 | 4 | 2 | Was surprised to hear he was Daniel Jeremiah's TE1. |
| Russell Wilson | 8 | 10 | 2 | Not a real upgrade in supporting cast but different coaching could help. |
| Carson Wentz | 1 | 3 | 2 | Lands on his feet after flaming out of Indy. |
| Javonte Williams | 38 | 40 | 2 | No Melvin Gordon III return yet and big QB upgrade. |
| Chuba Hubbard | 4 | 2 | -2 | Buried deeper on the depth chart. |
| DK Metcalf | 32 | 30 | -2 | Can Seattle upgrade from Drew Lock? |
| Hunter Renfrow | 15 | 13 | -2 | Adams will open some things up but also command a lot of targets. |
| Chase Claypool | 15 | 13 | -2 | Trubisky could be a winner in Pittsburgh but still hurt fantasy WRs. |
| Marcus Mariota | 0 | 2 | 2 | Chance to start, unless Atlanta drafts a QB who develops quickly |
| Gerald Everett | 2 | 4 | 2 | Close to a best-case landing spot |
| Antonio Gibson | 32 | 30 | -2 | McKissic returns to handle passing-down work. |
| Drake London | 21 | 23 | 2 | Continuing Top 10 Overall buzz. |
| Justin Herbert | 20 | 22 | 2 | Williams retained. Gap between him and Mahomes (minus Hill) shrinks. |
| Joe Burrow | 20 | 22 | 2 | Massive offensive line upgrades. |
| Michael Pittman Jr | 19 | 21 | 2 | Solid QB upgrade. |
| Aaron Jones | 18 | 20 | 2 | Expect a few more targets his way. |
| Darren Waller | 18 | 16 | -2 | Could be Raider hurt the most by arrival of Adams. |
| Damien Harris | 14 | 12 | -2 | Dodged a bullet with reported Fournette interest butWhite back limits receiving upside. |
| Trey Lance | 12 | 10 | -2 | Massive upside but major risk involved with 49ers seeming hesitancy to trust him. |
| Tyler Lockett | 11 | 13 | 2 | Rumors of potential summer trade intriguing with GB and KC needing upgrades. |
| Rashaad Penny | 9 | 11 | 2 | Should get a chance to show what he can do as a starter. |
| Laviska Shenault Jr | 5 | 7 | 2 | Could he get traded out of Jacksonville to better situation? |
| Zach Ertz | 4 | 6 | 2 | Multi-year extension and less competition for targets. |
| Trey McBride | 4 | 6 | 2 | Looks like top TE in class. |
| Ryan Tannehill | 3 | 5 | 2 | Not going anywhere and Woods is a WR2 upgrade. |
| Davis Mills | 2 | 4 | 2 | Looks more and more likely to remain starter |
| Jameis Winston | 2 | 4 | 2 | Lands solid deal to start in NO. |
| Raheem Mostert | 1 | 3 | 2 | Solid landing spot with Dolphins. |
| D'Vonte Price | 3 | 2 | -1 | Like him but still no buzz on him so moving him down. |
| Jerome Ford | 8 | 7 | -1 | Not as big or fast as some predicted. |
| Dak Prescott | 12 | 11 | -1 | Who is he throwing to if Gallup doesn't heal quickly? |
| Jameis Winston | 3 | 2 | -1 | No team has made him a priority in a bad free-agent class. |
| Matt Ryan | 1 | 2 | 1 | Improved OL. |
| CJ Uzomah | 3 | 2 | -1 | Burrow to Wilson downgrade hurts value. |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 11 | 12 | 1 | Pairing with Mahomes nice but KC made small financial commitment on cheap one-year deal. |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 6 | 7 | 1 | Upgraded weapons. |
| Mecole Hardman | 5 | 4 | -1 | KC does not trust him. |
Dynasty Web Apps
We have introduced a customizable dynasty trade value chart that adjusts the player values to fit your league size, starting lineup requirements, and scoring. Thank you to all who provided feedback. The newest version is available here:
https://www.footballguys.com/article/2022-dynasty-trade-value-app
It has been updated to reflect the updated dynasty values you see below and also has adjusted 2022 player values based upon redraft ADP as of April 1.
2022 Rookie Picks
| Pick | One QB | Superflex |
| 1.01 | 32 | 32 |
| 1.02 | 24 | 24 |
| 1.03 | 23 | 24 |
| 1.04 | 21 | 23 |
| 1.05 | 19 | 21 |
| 1.06 | 18 | 19 |
| 1.07 | 18 | 18 |
| 1.08 | 18 | 18 |
| 1.09 | 13 | 18 |
| 1.10 | 12 | 16 |
| 1.11 | 11 | 15 |
| 1.12 | 9 | 13 |
| 2.01 | 9 | 13 |
| 2.02 | 9 | 12 |
| 2.03 | 8 | 11 |
| 2.04 | 8 | 10 |
| 2.05 | 8 | 9 |
| 2.06 | 7 | 9 |
| 2.07 | 7 | 9 |
| 2.08 | 7 | 8 |
| 2.09 | 7 | 8 |
| 2.10 | 7 | 7 |
| 2.11 | 6 | 7 |
| 2.12 | 6 | 7 |
| 3rd | 5 | 6 |
| 4th | 4 | 5 |
2022 Rookie Players
| Rank | Player | Position | Dynasty Value | Superflex |
| 1 | Breece Hall | RB | 32 | 32 |
| 2 | Garrett Wilson | WR | 24 | 24 |
| 3 | Drake London | WR | 23 | 23 |
| 4 | Kenneth Walker | RB | 21 | 21 |
| 5 | Chris Olave | WR | 19 | 19 |
| 6 | Treylon Burks | WR | 18 | 18 |
| 7 | Isaiah Spiller | RB | 18 | 18 |
| 8 | Jameson Williams | WR | 18 | 18 |
| 9 | George Pickens | WR | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Skyy Moore | WR | 12 | 12 |
| 11 | Christian Watson | WR | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | Jahan Dotson | WR | 9 | 9 |
| 13 | James Cook | RB | 9 | 9 |
| 14 | Brian Robinson | RB | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | Malik Willis | QB | 8 | 24 |
| 16 | David Bell | WR | 8 | 8 |
| 17 | Alec Pierce | WR | 8 | 8 |
| 18 | Kenny Pickett | QB | 7 | 16 |
| 19 | Matt Corral | QB | 7 | 15 |
| 20 | Rachaad White | RB | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Jerome Ford | RB | 7 | 7 |
| 22 | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | 7 | 7 |
| 23 | Desmond Ridder | QB | 6 | 13 |
| 24 | Tyler Allegeier | RB | 6 | 6 |
| 25 | Trey McBride | TE | 6 | 6 |
| 26 | Dameon Pierce | RB | 6 | 6 |
| 27 | Justyn Ross | WR | 6 | 6 |
| 28 | Kyren Williams | RB | 5 | 5 |
| 29 | John Metchie | WR | 5 | 5 |
| 30 | Jalen Tolbert | WR | 5 | 5 |
| 31 | Pierre Strong | RB | 5 | 5 |
| 32 | Zonovan Knight | RB | 4 | 4 |
| 33 | Jeremy Ruckert | TE | 4 | 4 |
| 34 | Hassan Haskins | RB | 4 | 4 |
| 35 | Khalil Shakir | WR | 4 | 4 |
| 36 | Calvin Austin | WR | 4 | 4 |
| 37 | Greg Dulcich | TE | 4 | 4 |
| 38 | Ty Chandler | RB | 4 | 4 |
| 39 | Sam Howell | QB | 3 | 10 |
| 40 | Jerion Ealy | RB | 3 | 3 |
| 41 | Zamir White | RB | 3 | 3 |
| 42 | D'Vonte Price | RB | 2 | 2 |
| 43 | Romeo Doubs | WR | 2 | 2 |
| 44 | Cade Otton | TE | 2 | 2 |
| 45 | Charlie Kolar | TE | 2 | 2 |
| 46 | Abram Smith | RB | 2 | 2 |
| 47 | Tyrion Davis-Price | RB | 2 | 2 |
| 48 | Carson Strong | QB | 2 | 2 |
| 49 | Jelani Woods | TE | 2 | 2 |
| 50 | Tyler Goodson | RB | 2 | 2 |
Quick QB Thoughts
There are some passers in this class with intriguing upside but the bust risk seems higher than usual for the top prospects. Malik Willis has aced the pre-draft process and is emerging as the QB1. If he is drafted somewhere in the Top 10, we should see him emerge as the consensus 1.02 in Superflex given his rushing upside. Kenny Pickett, Matt Corral, Desmond Ridder, and Sam Howell each have a wide range of realistic outcomes in terms of both where they are drafted and how their NFL careers will play out.
Quick RB Thoughts
Aside from Breece Hall (who is looking more and more like an elite prospect), it is getting harder to generate excitement about this running back class. It is a subpar group overall and there are very few landing spots that would really move the needle after Tampa Bay, Arizona, and Miami added or retained starters in free agency.
Quick WR Thoughts
On the other hand, it is easy to get excited about this crop of rookie wide receivers. NFL teams are thirsty for talent at the position (as evidenced by some of these FA contracts) and we have another strong incoming class with some potential stars. Adding the intrigue, we now have some elite quarterbacks (Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes II) who are badly in need of new WR1s and both Green Bay and Kansas City have multiple first-round picks after the trades. This could set up some very difficult talent versus situation debates later this month. We could be weighing some top prospects who go in the Top 10 overall but to lesser offenses versus players drafted in the late 20s or early 30s who have landed in prime situations.
Quick TE Thoughts
This class lacks any elite options but there are plenty of solid mid-round options with long-term upside. We have seen mid-rounders like George Kittle and Mark Andrews emerge as elite fantasy producers in recent years, so it is good business to stockpile mid-round tight ends late in your rookie drafts. We will have plenty of candidates this year.
2023 Rookie Picks
| Pick | One QB | Superflex |
| Early 1st | 26 | 28 |
| Mid 1st | 20 | 22 |
| Late 1st | 14 | 15 |
| Early 2nd | 8 | 9 |
| Mid 2nd | 7 | 8 |
| Late 2nd | 6 | 7 |
| 3rd | 5 | 6 |
| 4th | 4 | 5 |
With future picks coming more and more into play in dynasty trades, let’s take a first look at the potential 2023 class both in general and position-by-position.
Quarterback
Bryce Young and C.J. Stroud lead the way as likely early first-round picks. The class is deeper than normal in terms of players with the potential to move into the first-round mix with a big season. Grayson McCall, Tyler Van Dyke, Phil Jurkovec, and others are worth watching and it is safe to assume at least a couple of passers emerge as first-round picks alongside Young and Stroud.
Running Back
After a pair of below-average running back classes in 2021 and 2022, 2023 looks strong on paper. This is a group that could land plenty of guys in the second round, as we saw in 2020 (Jonathan Taylor, D'Andre Swift, Cam Akers, etc.). Bijan Robinson is the lone surefire early-round guy but Tank Bigsby, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Zach Evans have a great shot to land on Day 2, also. There is also an interesting assortment of skillsets in the next tier. You have smaller guys like Devon Achane and Jaylan Knighton who can fly. Then you have some bigger-bodied between-the-tackles types like Kendall Milton, Sean Tucker, and Zach Charbonnet. Overall, this is a strong group and we should assume that at least three or four emerge as top draft prospects. We should also see more mid-to-late Day 2 guys as we did in 2020.
Wide Receiver
Jaxson Smith-Njigba and Kayshon Boutte compare favorably to the top wide receivers this year. Both look like future first-round locks. The depth looks a bit lacking compared to the excellent classes we have been seeing, however. We will see if any players like Jermaine Burton, Adonai Mitchell, Josh Downs, or others can emerge alongside the top two as first-rounders.
Tight End
Michael Mayer looks like he could be one of the top prospects at the position in the past decade and is a likely first-rounder.
Quarterback
| Pos Rank | Player | Value | SF |
| 1 | Josh Allen | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Patrick Mahomes II | 24 | 58 |
| 3 | Joe Burrow | 22 | 53 |
| 4 | Justin Herbert | 22 | 53 |
| 5 | Lamar Jackson | 17 | 44 |
| 6 | Kyler Murray | 16 | 42 |
| 7 | Deshaun Watson | 16 | 42 |
| 8 | Dak Prescott | 11 | 35 |
| 9 | Matthew Stafford | 11 | 32 |
| 10 | Trey Lance | 10 | 32 |
| 11 | Russell Wilson | 10 | 31 |
| 12 | Justin Fields | 9 | 30 |
| 13 | Trevor Lawrence | 9 | 30 |
| 14 | Derek Carr | 9 | 30 |
| 15 | Tua Tagovailoa | 7 | 28 |
| 16 | Jalen Hurts | 7 | 26 |
| 17 | Mac Jones | 6 | 27 |
| 18 | Zach Wilson | 6 | 23 |
| 19 | Aaron Rodgers | 6 | 18 |
| 20 | Ryan Tannehill | 5 | 20 |
| 21 | Kirk Cousins | 5 | 20 |
| 22 | Jameis Winston | 4 | 15 |
| 23 | Tom Brady | 4 | 9 |
| 24 | Davis Mills | 3 | 12 |
| 25 | Carson Wentz | 3 | 9 |
| 26 | Mitchell Trubisky | 3 | 8 |
| 27 | Daniel Jones | 2 | 9 |
| 28 | Matt Ryan | 2 | 9 |
| 29 | Baker Mayfield | 2 | 8 |
| 30 | Marcus Mariota | 2 | 7 |
| 31 | Jimmy Garoppolo | 1 | 7 |
| 32 | Jared Goff | 1 | 7 |
| 33 | Jordan Love | 1 | 5 |
| 34 | Kyle Trask | 0 | 4 |
| 35 | Tyler Huntley | 0 | 4 |
| 36 | Teddy Bridgewater | 0 | 4 |
| 37 | Kellen Mond | 0 | 3 |
| 38 | Sam Darnold | 0 | 3 |
Running Back
Wide Receiver
Tight End
| Pos Rank | Player | Value |
| 1 | Kyle Pitts | 42 |
| 2 | Mark Andrews | 34 |
| 3 | George Kittle | 25 |
| 4 | T.J. Hockenson | 20 |
| 5 | Travis Kelce | 19 |
| 6 | Darren Waller | 18 |
| 7 | Pat Freiermuth | 14 |
| 8 | Dallas Goedert | 13 |
| 9 | Dawson Knox | 11 |
| 10 | Noah Fant | 10 |
| 11 | Mike Gesicki | 9 |
| 12 | Dalton Schultz | 8 |
| 13 | Cole Kmet | 7 |
| 14 | Robert Tonyan Jr | 7 |
| 15 | Irv Smith | 6 |
| 16 | Zach Ertz | 6 |
| 17 | Hunter Henry | 4 |
| 18 | Tyler Higbee | 4 |
| 19 | Gerald Everett | 4 |
| 20 | Hayden Hurst | 4 |
| 21 | Logan Thomas | 3 |
| 22 | Dan Arnold | 3 |
| 23 | Adam Trautman | 3 |
| 24 | Brevin Jordan | 3 |
| 25 | Evan Engram | 3 |
| 26 | C.J. Uzomah | 2 |
| 27 | Rob Gronkowski | 2 |
| 28 | Jonnu Smith | 2 |
| 29 | Austin Hooper | 2 |
| 30 | Tyler Conklin | 2 |
2022 EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT IS HERE!
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