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It is hard to believe the NFL regular season is here, but Week 1 gets underway shortly. If you are like me, you still have several key drafts to complete over the next few days. As many of you know, I published my first set of full projections in early February, meaning I have been forecasting this season for over six months. A lot can change in six months; that is practically a decade in NFL parlance.
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So, as we close out draft season and turn our attention to Week 1, I want to highlight the players who have shifted my perspective and explain why. Unlike prior years' versions of this article, I am also examining the biggest movers across the industry to see where consensus trends overlap with my own board.
Quarterback: Biggest ADP Risers (April 26 to August 31)
| Player | Positional Rank | ADP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April | August | Change | April | August | Change | |
| Drake Maye | QB7 | QB3 | ↑4 | 70.9 | 67.2 | ↑3.7 |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB30 | QB27 | ↑3 | 198.2 | 183.7 | ↑14.5 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | QB34 | QB31 | ↑3 | 213.8 | 210.1 | ↑3.7 |
| Brock Purdy | QB14 | QB12 | ↑2 | 98.0 | 103.1 | ↓5.1 |
| Daniel Jones | QB25 | QB23 | ↑2 | 143.9 | 144.6 | ↓0.7 |
| Justin Herbert | QB10 | QB9 | ↑1 | 87.1 | 83.5 | ↑3.6 |
| Patrick Mahomes II | QB12 | QB11 | ↑1 | 93.8 | 97.7 | ↓3.9 |
| Jared Goff | QB16 | QB15 | ↑1 | 104.2 | 111.8 | ↓7.6 |
| Geno Smith | QB29 | QB28 | ↑1 | 172.3 | 191.0 | ↓18.7 |
| Kirk Cousins | QB35 | QB34 | ↑1 | 214.8 | 215.2 | ↓0.4 |
Quarterback: Biggest ADP Fallers (April 26 to August 31)
| Player | Positional Rank | ADP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April | August | Change | April | August | Change | |
| Tua Tagovailoa | QB31 | QB35 | ↓4 | 207.5 | 215.4 | ↓7.9 |
| Jaxson Dart | QB11 | QB13 | ↓2 | 88.4 | 104.6 | ↓16.2 |
| Fernando Mendoza | QB27 | QB29 | ↓2 | 166.0 | 191.7 | ↓25.7 |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB28 | QB30 | ↓2 | 166.8 | 200.9 | ↓34.1 |
| Joe Burrow | QB3 | QB4 | ↓1 | 62.9 | 68.7 | ↓5.8 |
| Jayden Daniels | QB4 | QB5 | ↓1 | 64.4 | 70.6 | ↓6.2 |
| Jalen Hurts | QB5 | QB6 | ↓1 | 68.9 | 72.7 | ↓3.8 |
| Caleb Williams | QB6 | QB7 | ↓1 | 70.6 | 73.8 | ↓3.2 |
| Trevor Lawrence | QB9 | QB10 | ↓1 | 83.9 | 87.0 | ↓3.1 |
| Bo Nix | QB13 | QB14 | ↓1 | 97.9 | 106.6 | ↓8.7 |
