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It is hard to believe the NFL regular season is here, but Week 1 gets underway shortly. If you are like me, you still have several key drafts to complete over the next few days. As many of you know, I published my first set of full projections in early February, meaning I have been forecasting this season for over six months. A lot can change in six months; that is practically a decade in NFL parlance.
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So, as we close out draft season and turn our attention to Week 1, I want to highlight the players who have shifted my perspective and explain why. Unlike prior years' versions of this article, I am also examining the biggest movers across the industry to see where consensus trends overlap with my own board.
Tight End: Biggest ADP Risers (April 26 to August 31)
| Player | Positional Rank | ADP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April | August | Change | April | August | Change | |
| Charlie Kolar | TE58 | TE30 | ↑28 | 216.0 | 208.9 | ↑7.1 |
| Darren Waller | TE58 | TE31 | ↑27 | 216.0 | 209.7 | ↑6.3 |
| Terrance Ferguson | TE30 | TE20 | ↑10 | 208.3 | 156.0 | ↑52.3 |
| Michael Mayer | TE44 | TE35 | ↑9 | 215.8 | 214.0 | ↑1.8 |
| Greg Dulcich | TE32 | TE25 | ↑7 | 212.7 | 188.4 | ↑24.3 |
| Chig Okonkwo | TE21 | TE17 | ↑4 | 156.9 | 149.0 | ↑7.9 |
| Evan Engram | TE38 | TE34 | ↑4 | 215.4 | 213.7 | ↑1.7 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE13 | TE10 | ↑3 | 132.5 | 119.6 | ↑12.9 |
| Isaiah Likely | TE15 | TE12 | ↑3 | 136.7 | 126.5 | ↑10.2 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE19 | TE16 | ↑3 | 154.1 | 140.5 | ↑13.6 |
| Dalton Schultz | TE24 | TE21 | ↑3 | 173.9 | 160.4 | ↑13.5 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE8 | TE6 | ↑2 | 102.3 | 89.8 | ↑12.5 |
| Mark Andrews | TE16 | TE14 | ↑2 | 137.2 | 134.8 | ↑2.4 |
| Brock Bowers | TE2 | TE1 | ↑1 | 22.6 | 20.0 | ↑2.6 |
| George Kittle | TE10 | TE9 | ↑1 | 117.8 | 112.1 | ↑5.7 |
| Travis Kelce | TE12 | TE11 | ↑1 | 127.6 | 124.0 | ↑3.6 |
| Dallas Goedert | TE14 | TE13 | ↑1 | 135.4 | 132.4 | ↑3.0 |
| Hunter Henry | TE20 | TE19 | ↑1 | 155.6 | 155.3 | ↑0.3 |
| Cade Otton | TE27 | TE26 | ↑1 | 189.0 | 192.1 | ↓3.1 |
| Pat Freiermuth | TE28 | TE27 | ↑1 | 197.6 | 197.7 | ↓0.1 |
| Colby Parkinson | TE34 | TE33 | ↑1 | 214.6 | 212.9 | ↑1.7 |
Tight End: Biggest ADP Fallers (April 26 to August 31)
| Player | Positional Rank | ADP | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April | August | Change | April | August | Change | |
| Oronde Gadsden | TE9 | TE28 | ↓19 | 116.0 | 198.7 | ↓82.7 |
| Eli Stowers | TE25 | TE42 | ↓17 | 182.5 | 215.7 | ↓33.2 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE17 | TE24 | ↓7 | 143.7 | 180.3 | ↓36.6 |
| Jake Tonges | TE33 | TE40 | ↓7 | 213.6 | 215.7 | ↓2.1 |
| Mike Gesicki | TE31 | TE36 | ↓5 | 210.9 | 214.8 | ↓3.9 |
| Mason Taylor | TE34 | TE39 | ↓5 | 214.6 | 215.5 | ↓0.9 |
| Jake Ferguson | TE11 | TE15 | ↓4 | 125.4 | 136.1 | ↓10.7 |
| Gunnar Helm | TE26 | TE29 | ↓3 | 184.4 | 199.1 | ↓14.7 |
| David Njoku | TE29 | TE32 | ↓3 | 201.5 | 210.6 | ↓9.1 |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE6 | TE8 | ↓2 | 87.1 | 105.1 | ↓18.0 |
| Trey McBride | TE1 | TE2 | ↓1 | 22.4 | 29.6 | ↓7.2 |