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Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites and offers a unique product that is a lot of fun. There are no salary caps and you do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) is playing in the same game, we can use correlation to our advantage. For example, if we know that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback is more likely to throw for more yards also.
In this weekly article, we will count down the five best props of the week.
Week 2 Review
Last Week: -3
Season Total: (-2) Each week, we will start with a quick review of how things went the previous week. We split all three of our two-part player props, hitting on one half but not the other. Aaron Jones made our touchdown prop an easy winner, though.
- 5, Rooting for Touchdowns: (-1) We got the shootout we were hoping for between Washington and the Giants but the touchdown luck didn’t go our way in terms of which players got into the end zone.
- 4, Star Quarterbacks: (-1) We split this one. Justin Herbert (338 yards) easily had more yards than we needed but it was a down day for Dak Prescott as the Cowboys got the run game going.
- 3, Hurts for Real?: (-1) The half of this prop we loved, Jalen Hurts outscoring Jimmy Garoppolo easily came through but we picked wrong on the other half, with Deebo Samuel outproducing George Kittle.
- 2, Betting on Burrow and Fields: (-1) Our third split of the week. Andy Dalton had way less than his 17.5 fantasy points. However, Joe Burrow did not have as much success as we expected against the Bears defense.
- 1, Touchdown Value: (+1) We needed more than 1.5 combined touchdowns from Aaron Jones, Davante Adams, and D'Andre Swift. Jones handled this one on his own, scoring four times.
5: Ground Game
Christian McCaffrey MORE than 85.5 rushing yards
Mark Ingram II MORE than 36.5 rushing yards
- In his career, Christian McCaffrey has averaged 4.6 yards per carry. At that level of per-carry productivity, he would need 19 carries tonight to notch more than 85.5 rushing yards.
- Through two games, Christian McCaffrey has 45 carries and topped 21 carries in both games. With Carolina a heavy favorite on Thursday night, he should again see 20+ carries.
"Watch Christian McCaffrey tonight. Just drink it in. Enjoy him for all he is worth... he comes back and he's instantly brilliant and maybe even better."@KyleBrandt is excited to see @CMC_22 tonight ðŸ’ª pic.twitter.com/4MlmbgLC5K— GMFB (@gmfb) September 23, 2021
- Mark Ingram II has 40 carries through two games. With a rookie quarterback making his first start, expect Houston to try to lean on the running game.
- If the carries are there again, we do not need too much efficiency from Ingram because this 36.5-yard number is so low. Houston has not been afraid to run him even if the defense seemingly knows what is coming, as Ingram has run into more stacked boxes than any back this season.
Runners who have seen 8+ defenders in box most often early on— Michael F. Florio (@MichaelFFlorio) September 21, 2021
- Mark Ingram II, 50%
- Derrick Henry, 48%
- Austin Ekeler, 42% ðŸ‘€
- Ty’Son Williams, 41%
- Christian McCaffrey, 38%
- Kareem Hunt, 37%
- Elijah Mitchell, 36%
Everyone else below 35%
4: Star Wide Receivers
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