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This should be a fun week given that there are not any obvious shootout spots to target. The games and teams with the highest projected totals are mostly expected to be playing in lopsided affairs. You can still roster your Buccaneers, Colts, and Rams but you probably need the opposing offenses to do perform better than they have in recent weeks for any of the players on the big favorites to approach their ceilings. We are starved for potentially high-scoring games that should be close, which makes the Chargers-Bengals and Washington-Las Vegas matchups more attractive than they might otherwise be.
This is an interesting week at the quarterback position. We have most of the high-upside players who we typically want to target for tournaments but most have questions. Jalen Hurts and Kyler Murray are both injured, which is likely to limit their rushing opportunities. Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford may end up being the chalk despite playing in matchups without much shootout potential. Any other week, they would be obvious fades but we do not have many other strong options to push us off of them. One possibility is to target one of the top second-year passers who are facing each other, Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow. Both have some rushing upside and the game has the potential for fireworks. Plus, don’t forget about Lamar Jackson. Sure, he has struggled lately but it only takes one time for him to get loose for a long touchdown run for you to rocket up the leader board in a tournament.
Top QB Plays
Tom Brady ($8,100), Tampa Bay at Atlanta
This is the safest of the quarterback options. Brady is averaging 309.4 passing yards per game and has multiple touchdowns in all but two games. The big question is how much upside there is in this matchup. Atlanta’s offense has been completely punchless for the last month. If Atlanta is held to 17 or fewer points, how much does Brady even have to do through the air? In the first matchup between these two teams, Atlanta scored 25 and Brady torched the Falcons defense for five touchdowns. Since coming to Tampa Bay, Brady has averaged 3.7 passing touchdowns per game in this matchup and also threw for 390-plus yards in both games last season.
Since Rob Gronkowski entered the league:— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) December 1, 2021
Tom Brady averages a passer rating of 102.9 when he's active, and a passer rating of 88.9 when he's out.
For perspective, Ben Roethlisberger has a passer rating of 88.9 this season. pic.twitter.com/eHLqjokrHd
Joe Burrow ($7,400), Cincinnati vs. LA Chargers
The Bengals offense has run through Joe Mixon of late and the Chargers have been better against the pass than the run. These things tend to yo-yo back and forth to some extent. We have seen the Chargers put extra focus on stopping the run to some success in recent weeks. We have also seen their pass defense get picked apart in the short and intermediary zones where Burrow’s accuracy can be deadly. If the Chargers sell out to stop Mixon, there is a path for a very low-owned, inexpensive Burrow to have a big game.
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