🏆 7 High-Priced Sleepers With League-Winning Upside
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11 MONTHS AGO • 9 MIN READ
🏆 7 High-Priced Sleepers With League-Winning Upside
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4 Free-Agent Movers with the Most Sleeper Appeal – Gary Davenport identifies undervalued fantasy assets among this year's free-agent class, including Sam Darnold, Javonte Williams, Joshua Palmer, and Tyler Conklin as players who could easily outperform their current ADP.
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Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?
So today, we ask you Footballguys:
🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?
When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.
Which of these players is most likely to be traded during the 2025 NFL Draft?
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Traditionally, a sleeper was a player most people didn't know about. These days, everyone who puts in enough time can learn about every single player in the NFL.
That means a "sleeper" has to be defined differently. Let's say a sleeper is simply a player who will outperform expectations.
That means there can be high-priced sleepers. They are a bit pricy (a pick in your first six rounds), but they can also outperform that high pick and be every-week stars.
We asked our staff to name their favorite high-priced sleepers. Here are their answers.
Andy Hicks: I am usually loathe to put too much faith in the stats from the last few games of the season. With rookies, it makes some sense. With rookies who survived a bullet wound to the chest on the eve of the season opener, any numbers should be judged accordingly. After a good few weeks to start his career, with his debut against the Chiefs in Week 7, Pearsall struggled until Week 16 with only two receptions in the five previous weeks. The final two games had 14 receptions for 210 yards and two touchdowns.
Deebo Samuel Sr. has been traded. Brandon Aiyuk is unlikely to be available in the early part of the season. George Kittle will turn 32 this year. The stage is set for Pearsall to be the number one receiver sooner than expected. Julia makes a nice call of Jauan Jennings, but one round later, Pearsall will be available, and he has a much higher upside.
Julia Papworth: It seems like everyone has forgotten about Jauan Jennings. Currently the WR35 in Underdog ADP, Jennings could find himself the WR1 for the San Francisco 49ers when the season starts. Remember, the Niners sent Deebo Samuel Sr. to Washington, and Brandon Aiyuk tore his ACL and MCL last year and is hopeful for a midseason return. Sure, Ricky Pearsall looks promising, but Jennings will be the veteran on a team struggling to find their new identity. Jennings finished as the WR25 last season, even missing two games, and had almost 1000 yards receiving. I expect some positive touchdown regression from Brock Purdy this year, with his touchdown percentage dropping from 6.9% (2022) and 6.2% (2023) to 4.4% in 2024. Throw in the questionable bounce-back ability of Christian McCaffrey, and Jennings could play a massive part in the Niners’ offense in 2025 - he could significantly outperform his current ADP.
David Zacharias: Saints head coach Kellen Moore recently called Alvin Kamara a "premier player" and "a big part of our offense". Kamara parlayed 228 carries and 68 receptions into 106.7 yards/game in 2024, good enough for overall RB5 in PPR scoring. Underdog isn't buying that Kamara, who turns 30 this summer, can sustain those numbers into the 2025 season. Kamara comes in at RB19 (60th player overall) in Underdog's latest ADP, implying Kamara will run into the proverbial wall. Footballguys 2025 Projections rank Kamara as PPR RB6 (12th player overall). Even if the Saints draft a rookie running back to compete with Kendre Miller for backup running back touches, a healthy Kamara's redraft ADP certainly shouldn't slide into the fifth round.
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