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πŸ† Clayton Gray Tracks Best-Ball ADP Movement
10 MONTHS AGOΒ β€’Β 10 MIN READ

πŸ† Clayton Gray Tracks Best-Ball ADP Movement

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,03/12/26

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Welcome in!

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Big thanks for all the love on our Mother's Day Card Generator. We're cooking up something just as fun for Father's Day, so stay tuned.

Now, let's talk football:

It's Best Ball Season, and Clayton Gray has the strategy scoop you've been waiting for.
Plus Cecil Lammey is bringing the latest News and Notes straight to your inbox.

Let's Go,

J

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The NFL Draft is in the books, and our Rookie Draft Guide is ready. Version 3.0 includes new team fits, depth chart projections, refined scouting intel, and β€” for the first time β€” the Post-Draft Bloom 100. It’s your complete blueprint for dominating dynasty rookie drafts.

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πŸ“£ Voice Of The Footballguy 🎀

πŸ“Š POLL RESULTS: In our last issue of the Daily Update, we asked you Footballguys:

Which rookie RB takes control of his backfield first?

And the Footballguy says: I trust TreVeyon Henderson more than the Patriots do.

TODAY: Clayton Gray’s deep dive into how player values are shifting in high-stakes NFFC drafts reveals one clear trend β€” quarterbacks are climbing.

Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?

So today, we ask you Footballguys:

πŸ—³οΈ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?

When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.

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1. JAX: Rookie WR/CB Hunter will 'start to roll' on defense soon

Source: ProFootballTalk.com – Josh Alper

Josh Alper, from ProFootballTalk.com, reports Jacksonville Jaguars HC Liam Coen says no.2 overall pick WR/CB Travis Hunter will 'start to roll' on defense next week.

Our view: Hunter is an amazing player with a ton of upside as a receiver in the Jaguars offense. He began his rookie minicamp primarily on the offensive side of the ball, and Coen has previously said that the two-way Colorado superstar is going to mostly be on offense while getting some defensive work too. Hunter will play as large of a role as he possibly can on defense, and the preparation begins this week.

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2. DEN: RJ Harvey praised by head coach

Source: ESPN.com – Jeff Legwold

Denver Broncos RB RJ Harvey saw a lot of work in the passing game during rookie minicamp Saturday, May 10, and head coach Sean Payton said he liked what he saw out of Harvey. "Well, he's going to play on third down," Payton said. "There's a lot we can do to suit his strengths."

Our view: Harvey was a standout during rookie minicamp over the weekend. His speed is apparent from the jump, and he can be dangerous in space. Harvey dances a bit too much at times on outside runs, but he shows discipline on inside carries where he can hide behind the line and then burst at the second level. The Broncos backfield is wide open, and Harvey is primed to be the lead back for Sean Payton...that alone should get Fantasy GMs’ attention come draft season.

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Underdog ADP Movement: How Best-Ball ADP Is Changing

By Clayton Gray - Exclusive to Footballguys

The following feature is a free preview of our content. If you like it, click here to sign up for access to our Footballguys Premium Subscriptions, and you'll get all of our content. We're so sure you'll love it that we have an industry-leading 30-day MoneyBack Guarantee, so there's zero risk.


​Underdog hosts multiple huge Best Ball contests - in one of them, you can turn $25 into $2 million - and hosts very active leagues at various price points. You can draft right now for as little as $3 or as much as $500.

You should check them out. But before you do, take a minute to see the latest ADP.

We have seen changes in some players' ADP since the NFL Draft happened. See it all below.

Key

  • Rank - The player's current ADP.
  • PreDraft - The player's ADP just before the NFL Draft
  • Dif - The change in ADP since the NFL Draft
  • PosRnk - The positional rank for each player.

Underdog ADP

CONTINUED...

3. HOU: Rookie WRs can carve out role early?

Source: Houston Chronicle – Jonathan M. Alexander

Jonathan M. Alexander, from the Houston Chronicle, reports Houston Texans rookie WRs Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel will have opportunities β€œto carve out roles early on behind Nico Collins and Christian Kirk.”

Our view: We love the upside of both Higgins and Noel in dynasty formats, but there could be some more fantasy value mined this year with these college (and now pro) teammates. Higgins has the upside to be an outside threat, and his ball-tracking ability makes him a potential favorite deep target for QB CJ Stroud. Noel is likely directly behind Kirk, and he's kind of the slot-receiver-of-the-future. Kirk is not going to just be swept out of the way by this rookie duo, and the veteran has value as a potential PPR flex play in the Texans' offense.

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4. CLE: Dillon Gabriel fine with Shedeur Sanders pick

Source: ProFootballTalk.com – Mike Florio

Cleveland Browns QB Dillon Gabriel said he loves that the Browns selected QB Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft because they can learn from each other.

Our view: What else is he supposed to say? The Browns have an unsettled quarterback situation, with Gabriel, Sanders, Joe Flacco, and Kenny Pickett all set to establish a pecking order. The Sanders pick was much later than expected, and he may not get much of a chance to impress when all four quarterbacks are at minicamp later this spring. One or both of the rookies may be bound for third-string duties or a practice squad spot.

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5. PIT: Veteran RB Sermon Signed

Source: Fox Sports – Jordan Schultz

Jordan Schultz, from Fox Sports, reports the Pittsburgh Steelers have signed RB Trey Sermon to a one-year contract. The veteran back was trying out with the Steelers this weekend during rookie minicamp.

Our view: The Steelers add more talent to an already crowded backfield. Last year for the Colts, Sermon started three games and finished the 2024 season with just 159 yards rushing on 56 carries with two touchdowns. The Steelers selected Kaleb Johnson (Iowa) in the third round of the 2025 NFL Draft, and he's going to work in tandem with Jaylen Warren to hammer defenses. Behind those two, Cordarrelle Patterson and Kenneth Gainwell should get some looks. Sermon is a longshot to make the 53-man roster.

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6. CHI: Luther Burden on field Sunday

Source: ESPN.com – Courtney Cronin

Chicago Bears WR Luther Burden III (undisclosed) participated in practice Sunday, May 11, after suffering what appeared to be an undisclosed injury during practice Saturday, May 10.

Our view: Good news for the Bears here. The undisclosed injury was not considered serious on Saturday, and he was back on the field Sunday. Burden is going to play the big slot role for Ben Johnson, something Amon-Ra St. Brown did to perfection under Johnson in the Lions' offense.

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7. CHI: Luther Burden leaves early Saturday

Source: 670 The Score

Chicago Bears WR Luther Burden III (undisclosed) left practice early Saturday, May 10, after suffering a possible injury.

Our view: It's early, and this doesn't sound serious. Fantasy GMs and Bears fans are super excited because Burden should play the big slot role that Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown starred in under Ben Johnson. The former Lions OC and new Bears HC is going to have quite the group of weapons around QB Caleb Williams.

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8. NFL: Jadeveon Clowney not retiring

Source: The Athletic – Joseph Person

Free-agent DE Jadeveon Clowney (Panthers) said that he wants to continue his playing career, several days after being released by the Carolina Panthers. General manager Dan Morgan had tried to gauge trade interest in Clowney from other teams before and after the 2025 NFL Draft but was unable to finalize a deal. The Panthers had offered him a chance to remain with the organization if he agreed to take a pay cut but he declined. According to OverTheCap.com, Clowney's release frees up $7.8 million of salary cap space for Carolina, with $6 million of dead money.

Our view: The Panthers released Clowney a few days ago. He can still make plays as a reserve rusher. Clowney compiled 5.5 sacks and knocked down four passes with the Panthers in 2024. At some point this offseason, and perhaps closer to training camp, Clowney should find a new team β€” perhaps on a contender this time.

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9. LVR: Cam Miller signs rookie deal

Source: Raiders.com

Las Vegas Raiders sixth-round draft choice QB Cam Miller signed a four-year contract with the Raiders Thursday, May 8. Financial terms were not disclosed.

Our view: Cam Miller is a player with a ton of moxie to his game. Like most North Dakota State quarterbacks, Miller has experience running a pro scheme and is known as a leader on the field. He's a mobile pocket passer who has a bit of Sam Howell (Vikings) to his game. Miller can read the defense quickly, and he can efficiently work the ball on short-to-intermediate routes. He doesn't have a big arm, and NFL EDGE rushers could feast on him if he's slow to react to the rush. We'll monitor Miller in crazy deep dynasty formats.

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10. GB: Tyler Davis will not return

Source: SI.com – Bill Huber

Free-agent TE Tyler Davis (Packers) will not return to the team for the 2025 season, according to SI.com's Bill Huber. He missed the 2023 season with a torn anterior cruciate ligament and the 2024 season with a shoulder injury.

Our view: A sixth-round pick of the Jaguars in the 2020 NFL Draft, Davis has spent the past few seasons with the Packers. At one point, Packers GM Brian Gutekunst said of Davis β€œwe might have something here,” but injuries have likely ended his pro career. Davis started one game during his career, and he has just eight catches for 61 yards.

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That's a wrap for today, folks

Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of the Footballguys crew. We don't take it for granted.

Let's go have an awesome week. Big moves ahead.

We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace, Love, and Fantasy Football.
​

J

Joe Bryant

Guide

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Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom, Bob Harris, and Cecil Lammey

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