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Howdy Reader,
Welcome in, and happy weekend.
While most folks are firing up the grill or arguing over NBA Finals takes, you’re here getting the edge on your fantasy league. That’s why we love this community: always thinking a step ahead.
Whether you're deep in dynasty mode or just peeking at sleepers between errands and iced coffee runs, we’ve got plenty of good stuff for you today.
And make sure to check out the NFFC Average Draft Position (ADP) feature. It's a fantastic insight into how high-stakes leagues are drafting and how you can get an edge.
Let’s dive in,
J
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What's New At Footballguys
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Footballguys 2025 Rookie Draft Guide
The NFL Draft is in the books, and our Rookie Draft Guide is ready. Version 3.0 includes new team fits, depth chart projections, refined scouting intel, and — for the first time — the Post-Draft Bloom 100. It’s your complete blueprint for dominating dynasty rookie drafts.
You’re on the clock. Make the right call.
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📣 Voice Of The Footballguy 🎤
📊 POLL RESULTS: In our last issue of the Daily Update, we asked you Footballguys:
Which rookie RB takes control of his backfield first?
And the Footballguy says: I trust TreVeyon Henderson more than the Patriots do.
TODAY: Clayton Gray’s deep dive into how player values are shifting in high-stakes NFFC drafts reveals one clear trend — quarterbacks are climbing.
Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?
So today, we ask you Footballguys:
🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?
When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.
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| 🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge? |
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Kansas City Chiefs WR Rashee Rice will not face the possibility of a suspension until his off-field legal issues are resolved.
Our view: Rice's legal issues have been looming for over a year now. But with no clear end in sight, he's trending toward dodging a suspension in 2025. With recent news that he's on track to be a full-go in training camp after last year's season-ending LCL tear, expect him to be a quick riser in drafts, likely settling in as a Round 2 pick.
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Pittsburgh Steelers WR DK Metcalf could run more slant routes this year to help protect QB Aaron Rodgers, in the opinion of Mike DeFabo of The Athletic.
Our view: Metcalf has never been in an offense that's fed him easy targets. He's ranked well above the league average in target depth every year of his career. But game-breaking speed and after-the-catch tenacity could help him benefit from routes that get him the ball in stride across the middle of the field. Assuming Aaron Rodgers can keep the ship afloat, the lack of competition for Metcalf's touches makes a career year seem well within reach.
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NFFC ADP Movement: How High-Stakes ADP Is Changing
By Clayton Gray - Exclusive to Footballguys
The following feature is a free preview of our content. If you like it, click here to sign up for access to our Footballguys Premium Subscriptions, and you'll get all of our content. We're so sure you'll love it that we have an industry-leading 30-day MoneyBack Guarantee, so there's zero risk.
The National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) hosts multiple high-stakes contests and is home to the Rotowire Online Championship. With entry fees ranging from $25 up to $2500, you'll find something right up your alley.
And they also use the team kicker (TK) concept, which is uncommon in the fantasy community. You won't find TK ADP anywhere else.
You should check them out now. But before you do, take a minute to see the latest ADP.
We have seen changes in some players' ADP recently. See it all below.
Key
- Rank - The player's current NFFC ADP.
- LW - The player's NFFC ADP from last week.
- Dif - The change in ADP since last week.
- PosRnk - The positional rank for each player.
CONTINUED...
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3. LAC: Mike Williams expected to start
Source: ChargersWire - Alex Katson
Los Angeles Chargers WR Mike Williams is expected to be one of the starting receivers this season because of his experience with QB Justin Herbert in the past.
Our view: Aside from Ladd McConkey, there's a lot of overlap among the potential WR2s in Los Angeles. Williams, Quentin Johnston, and Tre Harris are all big-bodied receivers with above-average speed. It makes sense that a familiar veteran would get the early nod as a starter. But he's far from the player he was early in his career, now four years removed from his last 1,000-yard season. The Chargers will likely hope that Harris, their second-round rookie, can climb the depth chart ahead of Williams throughout camp.
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4. JAX: OC heaps praise on Brenton Strange
Source: JaguarsWire - Paul Bretl
Jacksonville Jaguars TE Brenton Strange has 'a lot of physical traits that can be a balanced tight end and do a lot of different things that this offense will ask him to do,' according to recent comments from offensive coordinator Grant Udinski.'His work ethic, first and foremost, is hopefully a leadership attribute that the guys can model and see what he does on a day-to-day basis. But from a leadership standpoint and just from a player standpoint, you see a guy with a lot of potential to just continue to grow, whether it's in the pass game or the run game. ... A guy with a lot of physical traits that can be that balanced tight end and do a lot of different things that this offense will ask him to do,' Udinski said.
Our view: Strange, a former second-round pick, spent the first two years of his career buried on the depth chart behind Evan Engram. Engram missed eight games last year. Strange flashed a bit in his absence, especially in his 11-reception outing in Week 15. Despite expectations of being the Week 1 starter, he's being drafted as the TE23, leaving a lot of room to exceed his ADP. He'll likely struggle to find consistent production behind Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter. But like Cade Otton last year, he's just an injury away from what could be a significant role.
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5. DAL: Jake Ferguson eyeing rebound season
Source: Forth Worth Star-Telegram - Nick Harris
Dallas Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson's physical condition and determination have been 'noticeably different in a good way this offseason, according to recent comments from head coach Brian Schottenheimer.'I think last year was a fluke (for Ferguson). He definitely dealt with some stuff that was hard for him. Jake's always motivated. Jake is one of those tone setters who just plays the right way. But the look in his eyes and the way his body looks, in terms of physique, and the way he's moving has been noticeably different in a good way,' head coach Brian Schottenheimer told the Fort Worth Star-Telegram.
Our view: Ferguson landed a volume-rich role in 2023, pulling 102 targets. Despite missing a few games last year, he actually averaged more targets per game. With Dak Prescott presumably healthy to start the year, the entire Cowboys offense should get back on track. The addition of George Pickens could be a detriment to Ferguson's previously lucrative role. But he's being drafted as the TE16, making him a worthy late-round target with much more upside than risk.
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6. PIT: Opportunity for Roman Wilson
Source: The Athletic - Mike DeFabo
Pittsburgh Steelers WR Roman Wilson will have a chance to prove he deserves a role in the offense during training camp and the preseason, according to Mike DeFabo of The Athletic.
Our view: Wilson got injured early in training camp last year and only logged five offensive snaps for the entire season. He was a third-rounder in 2024 after being a key piece of Michigan's championship-winning team. There's reason to believe a healthy offseason can get him back on track, but he'll fight an uphill battle. The upside in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense is obvious. His ADP of WR88 makes him worth the minimal investment, especially in deeper leagues.
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7. ARI: Michael Wilson in line to start?
Source: AZCardinals.com - Darren Urban
Arizona Cardinals WR Michael Wilson appears likely to be one of the starting wide receivers this upcoming season, in the opinion of AZCardinals.com's Darren Urban.
Our view: Behind Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride, the corps of pass-catchers in Arizona leaves a lot to be desired. But Wilson, a former third-round pick, has had a pretty quiet start to his career despite being a full-time player. He's got the size and physicality to be a threat in the red zone. But in fantasy, he's little more than a touchdown-depedant WR5 unless Kyler Murray takes a huge step forward.
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8. LAR: Coach excited about Tutu Atwell
Source: RamsWire - Cameron DaSilva
Los Angeles Rams head coach Sean McVay said he believes WR Tutu Atwell is ready to take his play to another level this upcoming season.
Our view: The Rams made a surprising investment in Atwell this offseason, bringing him back on a $10M deal. With Puka Nacua and Davante Adams expected to draw the defensive gravity, Atwell can theoretically use his speed to get behind defenses for big plays. But with a career high of 562 yards in a season, it's ok for fantasy drafters to take a wait-and-see approach.
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9. BAL: DeAndre Hopkins helping teammates
Source: RavensWire - Glenn Erby
Baltimore Ravens WR DeAndre Hopkins has been helping the other receivers with advice this offseason, according to WR Rashod Bateman.
Our view: Despite a midseason trade to a receiver-needy Kansas City team last year, Hopkins struggled to find a productive role for himself. The Ravens ranked 31st in pass attempts last year. And with Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Mark Andrews, and Isaiah Likely all projected ahead of him in the pecking order, it's hard to expect much from a 33-year-old Hopkins. After playing with the Chiefs last year and the Ravens this year, Hopkins' primary goal appears to be getting a ring before he retires.
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10. NYG: Cam Skattebo missed time this offseason
Source: GiantsWire - Dan Benton
New York Giants RB Cam Skattebo (undisclosed) missed a good amount of time this offseason because of an undisclosed injury but is not believed to be dealing with anything serious.
Our view: While it's good that it's believed to be nothing serious, missing valuable offseason reps can often be a tough hurdle for rookies to clear. We'll monitor Skattebo's situation when rookies report to Giants' training camp on July 15th.
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11. LVR: Raheem Mostert next in line
Source: Sports Illustrated - Hondo Carpenter
Las Vegas Raiders RB Raheem Mostert will be the RB2 for the team and will spell RB Ashton Jeanty, in the opinion of SI.com's Hondo Carpenter.
Our view: The incumbent running backs, Sincere McCormick and Zamir White, didn't do much last year. Pete Carroll and Chip Kelly were quick to address the positional weakness by signing Mostert in free agency. And they made an even bigger splash by drafting Jeanty sixth overall. It was expected that Mostert would be the team's RB2, even before this official report. But the staff's history of leaning on one back, coupled with Jeanty's flawless profile, likely means that Mostert would need an injury ahead of him to see meaningful snaps.
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That’s a wrap for today, Folks.
Thanks for spending part of your weekend with us. Whether you’re mock drafting in secret or just here to stay one step ahead of that guy in your league who still drafts based on vibes and vintage highlight reels.
We’ll be back tomorrow with more updates, more insights, and probably more reasons to rethink your tight end strategy.
Peace, Love and Fantasy Football,
J
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Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom, Bob Harris, and Cecil Lammey
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