It's hard to believe that the NFL regular season is here, but Week 1 gets underway on Thursday. If you're like me, you still have several key drafts to complete in the next few days. This year, I published my first set of full projections at the end of February, which means I've been forecasting this season for over six months. Much can change in six months; that's like a decade in NFL parlance. So, as we finish up draft season and get ready for Week One, I wanted to share with you the players who have changed my mind and why.
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The Wide Receivers Who Changed My Mind (Sorted by Consensus ADP)
- Puka Nacua and Davante Adams (ADPs: WR7 and WR18) should be viewed as equals, despite the ADP disparity.
- A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith (ADPs: WR10 and WR24) are still great, but both could be mild disappointments at ADP.
- Tee Higgins (ADP: WR12) is a fantasy WR2, priced as a WR1.
- Tetairoa McMillan (ADP: WR25) has a clear path to a dominant rookie season.
- George Pickens (ADP: WR27) has a new lease on life, but was over-drafted because of it.
- Rashee Rice (ADP: WR28) will miss six games, making him hard to love in standard-sized leagues.
- Zay Flowers (ADP: WR30) is overrated for upside that probably isn’t realizable.
- Travis Hunter (ADP: WR31) feels like a complementary asset priced as a must-start.
- Jerry Jeudy (ADP: WR32) is the Browns alpha, but that might not mean much.
- Chris Olave (ADP: WR34) will be the ultimate test of talent versus situation.
- Ricky Pearsall (ADP: WR35) is high on the list of potential breakout stars.
- Emeka Egbuka (ADP: WR36) is equally high on the list of potential breakout stars.
- Deebo Samuel Sr. (ADP: WR37) is healthy and was a great value in drafts.
- Jordan Addison, Jalen Nailor, and Adam Thielen (ADPs: WR40, WR99, and WR60) are all fades.
- Matthew Golden (ADP: WR41) could be the least expensive alpha on draft boards this year.
- Khalil Shakir (ADP: WR44) didn’t have the summer to justify my early enthusiasm.
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