Favorite Fantasy Game Environments
- Chicago Bears at Las Vegas Raiders - Over/Under 47.5
- Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams - Over/Under 48.5
- Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs - Over/Under 48.5
Favorite Additional Fantasy Spots
- Buffalo Bills at home vs. New Orleans Saints - Implied Team Total 32.5
- Detroit Lions at home vs. Cleveland Browns - Implied Team Total 26.5
- Los Angeles Chargers on the road against New York Giants - Implied Team Total 25.5
- New England Patriots at home vs. Carolina Panthers - Implied Team Total 24.5
- San Francisco 49ers at home vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - Implied Team Total 25
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Player | Opponent | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Maye | vs Panthers | $5,500 |
| 2 | Justin Herbert | at Giants | $6,300 |
| 3 | Daniel Jones | at Rams | $5,600 |
| 4 | Patrick Mahomes II | vs Ravens | $6,000 |
| 5 | Jaxson Dart | vs Chargers | $4,500 |
Drake Maye is at home against a Panthers defense that ranked dead last in EPA/Play Allowed and 31st in Dropback EPA Allowed last season. New England's offense ranks eighth in Early Down Pass Frequency (EDPF) and fourth in Pass Rate Over Expected (PROE) this season. Priced at just $5,500, I'm writing up Maye in both cash and GPPs this week.
The Chargers' offense leads the NFL in both EDPF and PROE, ranking fifth in EPA/Play. Justin Herbert leads the league in passing yards per game (286.7) and ranks fifth in pass touchdowns per game (2). He has a good matchup here against a Giants defense that ranked 28th in EPA/Play Allowed and 29th in Dropback EPA Allowed last season. That same defense ranks 28th in EPA/Play Allowed and 24th in Dropback EPA Allowed so far in 2025.
Daniel Jones leads a Colts offense that ranks third in EPA/Play, and he ranks fifth in passing yards per game (272). He's priced at just $5,600 in a game that is tied for the highest Over/Under of the week (48.5).
There's no doubt Kansas City's weapons are average at best until Xavier Worthy proves he can make it through a game and Rashee Rice returns. However, Patrick Mahomes II is priced at just $6,000, and the Chiefs are at home, fighting to avoid falling to 1-3. The Chiefs' offense leads the NFL in PROE and ranks second in EDPF, and this is a good matchup against a Ravens defense that ranked 20th in Dropback EPA Allowed last season and ranks 23rd in Dropback EPA Allowed so far in 2025.
Jaxson Dart is more of a salary saver than an actual good play against a good defense in his NFL debut, but there is plenty to like about him as a prospect overall. Dart has athleticism and a strong arm. He'll need to adjust to the NFL, but anticipation throws, good footwork, and pocket management on his college film show he can do it.
Running Backs
| Rank | Player | Opponent | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonathan Taylor | at Rams | $7,500 |
| 2 | Christian McCaffrey | vs Jaguars | $8,500 |
| 3 | James Cook | vs Saints | $7,100 |
| 4 | Bijan Robinson | vs Commanders | $8,200 |
| 5 | Omarion Hampton | at Giants | $5,900 |
| 6 | Cam Skattebo | vs Chargers | $5,500 |
| 7 | Kyren Williams | vs Colts | $6,300 |
| 8 | D'Andre Swift | at Raiders | $5,400 |
Jonathan Taylor ranked second in opportunities per game (22.9) and fifth in total yards per game (106.7) last season. This year, he ranks fourth in opportunities per game (23) and leads the league in total yards per game (143.7). Zooming out, Taylor is an amazing athlete at 226 pounds. Here are his rushing yardage totals in three seasons at Wisconsin: 1,977, 2,194, and 2,003. Shockingly, DraftKings has him priced at just $7,500. He's a cash game lock in this game with the highest Over/Under (48.5) of the week.
Christian McCaffrey ranked second in opportunities per game (22.2), first in total yards per game (126.4), and first in total touchdowns (21) in 2023. To begin this season, he leads the NFL in opportunities per game (28), ranks third in total yards per game (129.7), and ranks third in receptions per game (8.3). He's at home against a Jaguars defense that doesn't scare us away.
The Bills are 16.5-point home favorites, and James Cook ranks seventh in opportunities per game (20.7) and fifth in total yards per game (118.3). The matchup is incredible against a Saints defense that ranks 29th in EPA/Play Allowed and 21st in Rush EPA Allowed.
Bijan Robinson ranked sixth in opportunities per game (21.4), fourth in total yards per game (107.1), and ninth in total touchdowns (13) last season. He ranks sixth in opportunities per game (21.7) and second in total yards per game (134.3) to begin the year. He's at home in a decent spot against a Commanders defense playing better to begin the 2025 season, but they ranked 22nd in Rush EPA Allowed last year.
Najee Harris' season-ending injury provides a massive boost for Omarion Hampton. Last week, Hampton turned 26 opportunities into 129 total yards. Now projected as the workhorse running back and priced at just $5,900, Hampton should find success as a 221-pound big back with awesome athleticism. Hampton ran a 4.47 40-yard dash and posted elite jumps of 38" vertical and 10'10" broad. The Chargers are 6.5-point favorites, and Hampton gets to attack a Giants defense that ranks 28th in EPA/Play Allowed and 31st in Rush EPA Allowed this season.
Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s absence makes Cam Skattebo a projected workhorse priced at just $5,500 this week. Skattebo was awesome last week, turning 18 opportunities into 121 total yards, and that should have been no surprise. Skattebo was an awesome running back prospect. He weighs 219 pounds and still posted incredible jumps at the combine of 39.5" vertical and 10'3" broad. Athleticism at that weight is rare. He showed elite vision and patience in college, but also runs with vengeance on every play. Skattebo amassed 2,316 total yards and 24 touchdowns last season at Arizona State and is a dual-threat who caught 69 passes for 891 receiving yards over his two seasons at Arizona State. The matchup is tough here, but he's at home, and the Chargers rank middle of the pack (16th) in Rush EPA Allowed this season.
Kyren Williams ranked fifth in opportunities per game (22.3) and 12th in total yards per game (92.6) last season. He ranks seventh in opportunities per game (20.7) and 15th in total yards per game (87) to begin the year. The Rams are 3.5-point home favorites. The matchup isn't ideal, as the Colts' defense has been solid to begin the season, but the workload is locked in, the game is tied for the highest Over/Under (48.5) of the week, and the $6,300 price tag is palatable.
Everyone loves to hate D'Andre Swift, but he's the Chicago Bears' workhorse running back right now. His 18 opportunities per game rank 16th most to begin the year. Swift is priced at just $5,400 and gets a Raiders defense that ranks 27th in EPA/Play Allowed to begin the season. This game has a 47.5-point Over/Under, which is just one point fewer than the highest totals of the week.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Player | Opponent | Salary |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puka Nacua | vs Colts | $7,900 |
| 2 | Emeka Egbuka | vs Eagles | $6,800 |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | vs Browns | $7,300 |
| 4 | Rome Odunze | at Raiders | $6,300 |
| 5 | Ricky Pearsall | vs Jaguars | $5,700 |
| 6 | Chris Olave | at Bills | $5,100 |
| 7 | Keenan Allen | at Giants | $5,300 |
| 8 | Michael Pittman Jr | at Rams | $5,100 |
| 9 | Jakobi Meyers | vs Bears | $5,400 |
| 10 | Tre Tucker | vs Bears | $4,300 |
| 11 | Elic Ayomanor | at Texans | $3,900 |
Puka Nacua ranks second in targets per game (11.7), fourth in total yards per game (128.3), and second in yards per route run (4.11). He's the WR1 in DraftKings points per game (26.5) and is the WR1 on this slate playing at home in a game tied for the highest Over/Under (48.5) on the week.
Mike Evans is out, and Chris Godwin will be rusty making his debut after a serious injury, if he's even active. Emeka Egbuka is averaging seven targets per game, and that projection is expected to increase in this matchup as the primary receiving weapon for Baker Mayfield against the Eagles.
It is crystal clear now that the Detroit Lions' offense is perfectly fine without Ben Johnson. Their talent is top-tier, and Dan Campbell is still steering this ship in the right direction. Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a dominant force his entire career, and this season is no different. He's currently the WR2 in DraftKings points per game (23.8), and the Lions are at home and have the third-highest Implied Team Total (26.5) of the week. Whereas the Browns' defense has been stingy against the run to begin the season, they rank just 22nd in Dropback EPA Allowed this year.
Rome Odunze has seen 11 more targets, caught four more passes, has 92 more receiving yards, and three more receiving touchdowns than the next closest teammate on the Chicago Bears. He's the clear-cut WR1 for Ben Johnson. He gets a Raiders defense that ranks just 27th in both EPA/Play Allowed and Dropback EPA Allowed. This game has a 47.5-point Over/Under, which is just one point fewer than the highest totals of the week.
George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk remain out, and Jauan Jennings remains banged up. Ricky Pearsall leads the 49ers in receiving yards (281) and is averaging a strong eight targets per contest. He ranks third in the NFL in receiving yards per game (93.7). He's priced at just $5,700 and is playing at home. The 49ers have the eighth-highest Implied Team Total (25) of the week.
Chris Olave leads the NFL in targets per game (12.3) and ranks fourth in receptions per game (7.7). The Saints are 16.5-point underdogs against the Bills, so Olave projects to continue to see elite target volume. That's exactly what we're looking for in DaftKings cash.
The Chargers' offense leads the NFL in both EDPF and PROE, ranking fifth in EPA/Play. Justin Herbert leads the league in passing yards per game (286.7) and ranks fifth in pass touchdowns per game (2). Keenan Allen leads this team in targets (28) and receptions (19) and is tied for the team lead in touchdown receptions (3). Allen has a good matchup here against a Giants defense that ranked 28th in EPA/Play Allowed and 29th in Dropback EPA Allowed last season. That same defense ranks 28th in EPA/Play Allowed and 24th in Dropback EPA Allowed so far in 2025.
The Colts' offense ranks third in EPA/Play, and Daniel Jones ranks fifth in passing yards per game (272). Michael Pittman Jr leads this good offense in receptions (16), receiving yards (193), and receiving touchdowns (2). This game is tied for the highest Over/Under of the week (48.5).
The Raiders offense ranks seventh in EDPF and third in PROE, and Geno Smith ranks third in passing yards per game (277). Jakobi Meyers and Tre Tucker are Smith's top two receivers and get to play at home in a game with a 47.5-point Over/Under, which is just one point fewer than the highest totals of the week. This is a good spot, as the Bears' defense, especially their secondary, is banged up. Tucker is priced at just $4,300 despite going absolutely off last week, catching 8 of 9 targets for 145 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Elic Ayomanor is priced at just $3,900. Let's compare his season to Calvin Ridley's. Ridley: snap share (89.1%) and route share (90%). Ayomanor: snap share (75.1%) and route share (75%). Ayomanor has seen just three fewer targets than Ridley and has caught two more passes and two more touchdown passes. Ayomanor won't remain this cheap for much longer, and he provides an affordable starting receiver option if needed to lock in those more expensive stud running backs.