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If you want to dominate your drafts this weekend, you need the most up-to-date information and ADP possible with a focus on interpreting the latest news and notes to gain an edge in your drafts.
In recent years, the daily ADP updates from Underdog fantasy (the preeminent best ball site) have added a tremendous resource to our tool belts. We get almost instantaneous “wisdom of the crowd” feedback from thousands of sharp and dialed-in fantasy drafters. While the Underdog best ball ADP may not be directly applicable to your non-best ball league, the recent changes in draft stock in reaction to the latest news provide a treasure trove of information you can use to dominate your non-best ball drafts this weekend. While the takeaways and player recommendations can be generalized to all drafts, all round and ADP mentions in this article refer specifically to Underdog drafts.
In this week’s article, we will look at the major recent storylines you need to account for heading into your drafts this weekend, including:
- Why Gus Edwards should be going higher in drafts
- Favorite early-round targets
- Players to avoid
- High- upside late-round targets
- Favorite targets by round
- Optimal draft strategy based upon drafting spot
Plus, scroll to the bottom for a link to our new tool, the Underdog Exposure Explorer
Gus Edwards is still a value
The biggest news to break since last week was the season-ending injury to J.K. Dobbins. Gus Edwards is now the lead back in Baltimore and has seen his ADP jump 50 spots to 61st overall. He is still a major value and should be going in the middle of the fourth round instead of the sixth round. The Ravens RB1 has averaged 72 rushing yards per game when playing alongside Lamar Jackson, which projects to 1,224 yards over a full season. Given the lack of proven depth behind Edwards, 72 yards per game may be a conservative projection. We have seen this scenario before. Back in 2018, Edwards started the final seven games of the season next to Jackson and averaged 93.4 rushing yards per game.
Edwards, who is going off the board as the RB23, has legitimate RB1 upside and is perfectly positioned to have a breakout season. “He’s our kind of guy,” Ravens offensive coordinator Greg Roman said. "He’s really built for what we do. He’s going to get more of a workload now. Not to say it won’t still be a committee, but Gus is definitely going to get a lot of work, and we feel great about that.” As good as J.K. Dobbins is, Edwards is a solid talent in his own right.
If Dobbins was deserving of being drafted at an ADP of 32 with Edwards pushing for time behind him, why is Edwards not deserving of going in the same range now that he is the clear top guy? He should not be, target him ahead of ADP.
Early Round Targets
Most teams held their starters out of the final preseason games, so there has not been a lot of game-changing news over the last week. Thus, the same players featured last week are still prime targets this week. For more in-depth cases for the following players, click the link in the previous sentence to check out last year’s article. Here is the shorter case for why the following players deserve your consideration at their current ADPs:
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