Favorite Games
- Buccaneers at Rams - Over/Under 55.5
- Chargers at Chiefs - Over/Under 54.5
- Cardinals at Jaguars - Over/Under 51.5
- Seahawks at Vikings - Over/Under 55
Favorite Additional Spots
- Ravens on the road against the Lions - Implied Team Total 28.75
- Browns at home against the Bears - Implied Team Total 26.25
- Bills at home against Washington - Implied Team Total 26.5
- Broncos at home against the Jets - Implied Team Total 26
- Raiders at home against the Dolphins - Implied Team Total 23.75
- Titans at home against the Colts - Implied Team Total 26.5
- Giants at home against the Falcons - Implied Team Total 25.25
- Patriots at home against the Saints - Implied Team Total 22.5
CASH GAMES
Quarterbacks
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Kyler Murray | at Jaguars | $8,300 |
| 2 | Tom Brady | at Rams | $6,800 |
| 3 | Lamar Jackson | at Lions | $7,800 |
| 4 | Trevor Lawrence | vs. Cardinals | $5,500 |
| 5 | Daniel Jones | vs. Falcons | $5,800 |
Kyler Murray is a literal cheat code. He ranks second in passing yards (690) and second in pass touchdowns (7) and has added 51 yards and two touchdowns on the ground as well. And he has a phenomenal matchup against the 0-2 Jaguars that ranked terribly in defensive DVOA last season and nothing has changed in 2021. Jacksonville's defense ranks 24th in overall DVOA and 28th in pass DVOA.
Tom Brady remains on a warpath and I have to tell you I respect it. Brady ranks fifth in passing yards (659) and first in pass TDs (9) and now gets to play in the game with the highest Over/Under against a capable defense, but one transitioning to a new coordinator.
Lamar Jackson was incredible on Sunday night, leading the Ravens to victory over Patrick Mahomes II and the Chiefs by throwing for 239 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 107 yards and two touchdowns. Jackson offers the high floor, high upside dual-threat skillset we love to have in cash and gets to play against a Lions defense that ranks dead last in both overall DVOA and pass DVOA.
At only $5,500, Trevor Lawrence allows us to save salary and he gets to play in one of the best fantasy games of the week against a Cardinals defense with questionable cornerbacks. Garbage time points count too as Lawrence threw for 332 yards and 3 touchdowns in comeback mode back in Week 1. I envision a similar game script on Sunday.
Daniel Jones has thrown for a touchdown and run for a touchdown in both games to begin the season and now gets to play at home against a Falcons defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 27th in pass DVOA.
Running Backs
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Derrick Henry | vs. Colts | $8,600 |
| 2 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | vs. Chargers | $4,800 |
| 3 | Damien Harris | vs. Saints | $5,600 |
| 4 | Joe Mixon | at Steelers | $6,300 |
| 5 | Ty'Son Williams | at Lions | $5,800 |
| 6 | Nick Chubb | vs. Bears | $7,600 |
I'm embarrassed to admit Derrick Henry did not make an appearance in this article last week. It's time to atone for my mistake and sing his praises. Henry leads the league in opportunities (62) and touches (61) and ranks second in total yards (314) and tied for second in total touchdowns (3). He gets to play at home as a five-point favorite in this one.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire's play has not been reliable this season, which is normally what we look for in cash game Running Backs. But that $4,800 price tag is extremely enticing for the Chiefs' starting Running Back. Edwards-Helaire's 30 opportunities rank tied for the 21st most in the entire league and he gets to play at home against a Brandon Staley-led defense that has no problem giving up rushing yards if it means mitigating the opposing offense's passing attack. That game plan last week against the Cowboys led to Dak Prescott only throwing for 237 yards while Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard racked up 180 yards on the ground. The Chargers lost but they still only gave up 20 total points. Look for a similar approach against Patrick Mahomes II, creating favorable situations for Edwards-Helaire.
Damien Harris ranks tied for fifth in the league in opportunities (43) and gets to play as a three-point home favorite on Sunday against a Saints' team that got embarrassed by the Carolina Panthers in Week 2.
Joe Mixon ranks third in the NFL in opportunities (55) and touches (54) as the Bengals have clearly taken a "Protect Joe Burrow's health as he returns from last season's major knee injury" approach. Although the Bengals are three-point road underdogs here, Mixon's dual-threat skill set renders him unable to be game scripted out of a contest. Even better, with Pittsburgh banged up, I see Cincinnati having a decent shot to pull the upset here.
Ty'Son Williams has looked great through two weeks, showing a burst on his 28 total opportunities. Williams is the Ravens' #1 Running Back and draws an incredible matchup here against a Lions defense that ranks dead last in overall DVOA and 29th in pass DVOA.
I'm excited about Justin Fields' future and the dynamic ability he can bring to the Bears' offense. I'm not as bullish on his outlook in his first-ever career start though. The Browns are one of the best teams in football and are seven-point home favorites. Jarvis Landry is out due to injury and Odell Beckham projects to be eased back into the lineup. Look for a heavy dose of Nick Chubb in this one, especially if Cleveland gets out to a lead as predicted.
Wide Receivers
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | Cooper Kupp | vs. Buccaneers | $6,800 |
| 2 | Tyler Lockett | at Vikings | $7,400 |
| 3 | Mike Williams | at Chiefs | $6,400 |
| 4 | Marvin Jones | vs. Cardinals | $4,900 |
| 5 | Sterling Shepard | vs. Falcons | $5,900 |
| 6 | Courtland Sutton | vs. Jets | $6,000 |
| 7 | Rondale Moore | at Jaguars | $5,000 |
| 8 | K.J. Osborn | vs. Seahawks | $3,500 |
Cooper Kupp has a 37.5% target share through two weeks which has produced 16 receptions, 271 yards, and three touchdowns. Matthew Stafford paired with Sean McVay and the season-ending injury to Cam Akers both provide a favorable increase to Kupp's prospects and he's not disappointing. He should once again produce a solid stat line in the game with the highest Over/Under of the week against a banged-up Buccaneers secondary.
The Russell Wilson to Tyler Lockett connection is so pure. They legitimately are one of my favorite Quarterback and Wide Receiver duos in NFL history. Lockett ranks second in the league in receiving yards (278) and tied for second in receiving touchdowns (3). This week, he plays in one of the best fantasy games against a Vikings defense that is struggling for the second year in a row. Minnesota's defense ranks 21st in overall DVOA and 22nd in pass DVOA.
Mike Williams is a solid Wide Receiver who prior to this season had already posted both a 1,000+ yard season as well as a 10 touchdown season. Finally being used properly by his new progressive coach, Williams looks like he is in the midst of a career year. Through two weeks Williams leads the Chargers in targets (22), receptions (15), and receiving touchdowns (2). And this week, he plays in one of the best fantasy games of the week against a Chiefs defense that ranks 31st in overall DVOA and 25th in pass DVOA.
Marvin Jones leads the Jaguars in targets (20), receptions (11), receiving yards (132), and touchdowns (2). Jones offers big-play potential downfield, which pairs perfectly with Trevor Lawrence's aggressive downfield passing. This week, the Jaguars project to be down and throwing a lot once again. Jones can win against every Arizona corner (Robert Alford, Byron Murphy, and Marco Wilson).
Sterling Shepard leads the Giants in targets (19), receptions (16), receiving yards (207), and ranks tied for first in receiving touchdowns (1). Those are solid numbers for a player that was an afterthought heading into the season and Shepard is in a good position to keep impressing against a Falcons defense that ranks 29th in overall DVOA and 27th in pass DVOA.
The loss of Jerry Jeudy is a significant one for this Broncos offense. Tim Patrick and K.J. Hamler are solid role players but Denver needs a true #1 Wide Receiver and Courtland Sutton reminded us all last week he is capable of just that. Sutton saw a 35.3% target share, catching nine of 12 targets for 159 yards. Next up: a Jets defense that is certainly beatable.
Despite limited playing time to begin the season, Rondale Moore leads the Cardinals in targets (13), receptions (11), and receiving yards (182). His early career production should not be a surprise. Moore caught 114 passes for 1,258 yards and 12 touchdowns as a true Freshman at Purdue in 2018 and his skillset fits perfectly within Arizona's Kliff Kingsbury-led offense. Moore has a favorable matchup to keep his positive momentum going against a Jaguars defense that ranks 24th in overall DVOA and 28th in pass DVOA and would benefit if DeAndre Hopkins (Game Time Decision) is unable to go.
Irv Smith's injury has caused Minnesota to play more 11 personnel, which has increased K.J. Osborn's playing time. Osborn currently leads the Vikings in receiving yards (167) and only costs $3,500 in a favorable fantasy game against a beatable Seahawks' secondary.
Tight Ends
| Rank | Play | Opponent | Salary |
| 1 | T.J. Hockenson | vs. Ravens | $5,200 |
| 2 | Rob Gronkowski | at Rams | $5,500 |
| 3 | Jonnu Smith | vs. Saints | $4,100 |
| 4 | Cole Kmet | at Browns | $3,200 |
At the Tight End position, T.J Hockenson ranks second in targets (20), first in receptions (16), third in receiving yards (163), and tied for third in touchdowns (2). He only costs $5,200 this week.
Tom Brady just continues to torch the rest of the league and Rob Gronkowski, a great player in his own right, continues to benefit. Gronkowski ranks second on the Buccaneers in receptions (12) and first in touchdowns (4). And now he gets to play in the game with the highest Over/Under of the week.
Jonnu Smith's snaps were reduced in Week 2 after popping up on the injury report mid-week. Look for Smith to get back closer to his 73.3% snap rate from Week 1 on Sunday. If so, New England's dynamic Tight End should end up being a solid play at only $4,100.
Cole Kmet had a very disappointing stat line in Week 2 but he still played on 72.3% of the offensive snaps and he now receives a Quarterback upgrade this week with the presence of Justin Fields. Kmet has seen at least six targets in five of his last seven regular-season games and only costs $3,200.
