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Emmanuel Sanders established the chemistry with Josh Allen to suggest that he can be the second most valuable Bills receiver. Still, he also has had lingering foot issues that remind us why he didn’t make a big impact during his rookie contract with the Steelers. At age 34, it’s certainly possible that his season will be defined more by the foot issues than by the production that comes with playing with yet another top-notch quarterback. Sanders is still a fine late-round pick, but Gabriel Davis is looking more attractive with the possibility that Sanders will break down… Matt Breida has had a good summer and stayed healthy, but so have Devin Singletary and Zack Moss. This running game could improve but will likely remain one of the more underwhelming in the league from a fantasy perspective, and it will be split two, if not three ways.
DeVante Parker was recently activated from the PUP list, and Will Fuller V has missed basically all of camp. While there have been reassurances that Fuller will be okay for Week 1 and Parker hasn’t gotten hurt again (yet). Albert Wilson was generating a lot of momentum early in camp, but he, too, got hurt. Jaylen Waddle has been the healthiest, and he’s the only Dolphin receiver I would consider in drafts near ADP… Myles Gaskin will be in a committee, but he can still be the Dolphins Chase Edmonds. If you go minimal at running back early in your PPR draft, he fits well at his new reduced ADP… Tua Tagovailoa has been the subject of mostly positive news out of camp, but we haven’t seen it translate yet in the preseason. The offensive line is still under construction to an extent, and perhaps expectations are too high for a quarterback put in an enviable position by having his “prove it” year happen in his second season. Maybe things will come together if the receivers can all get healthy simultaneously, but this doesn’t feel like an overachiever offense in the making.
Cam Newton has played well enough to maintain a lead over Mac Jones, who has certainly looked good enough to start if the Patriots had a lesser option than Newton. Whether Newton’s absence in part due to being unvaccinated changes the calculus of this decision is yet to be seen, but barring that skewing the competition or something else dramatic happening, it’s going to be Newton Week 1. He could be a fantasy surprise if a better offensive line, much better weapons, and a full offseason to learn the offense restore more of his game than expected… The Patriots will probably be very good at running the ball, which means that Damien Harris can still have value as the lead back in a committee, although the vision of Newton vulturing touchdowns at the goal line isn’t comforting. Harris has had a great summer, but so has Sony Michel, who will be the 1A, and fourth-round Rhamondre Stevenson, who will test the theory that Bill Belichick won’t play his rookie running backs extensively unless they are a first-round pick. James White doesn’t have competition on passing downs with Rex Burkhead now down in Houston, and he has gotten a few early-down snaps so that he could be the best value in this backfield in PPR leagues. A split Belichick backfield can still yield fantasy value as long as the Patriots are controlling and winning games… Jakobi Meyers has been the best and most consistent wide receiver, which could be important since the marquee tight end signings Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith have already gotten dinged in camp, and Nelson Agholor should play more of a field stretcher role. Along with Sterling Shepard, Meyers could be valuable in deep PPR leagues as a reliable 8-10 point floor player.
New York Jets
Fourth-round pick Michael Carter II has not asserted himself as hoped. Instead, he's playing behind Tevin Coleman and Ty Johnson. Considering Coleman's injury history, Carter could still get an opportunity, but Johnson is the deep sleeper here to put on your radar. He has long speed and is meshing well with the underrated Jets line’s transition to the Shanahan style offense under Mike LaFleur… Corey Davis has been the clear #1 receiver for Zach Wilson, which is important because the rookie quarterback will look for the target he’s most comfortable with when the bullets fly. Elijah Moore is still worth a late-round pick, but his leg injury slowed the speed of the hype express he was powering from the moment he showed up at a Jets practice. Denzel Mims has responded to an extent, but in case you didn’t know from earlier this offseason, he’s a backup and not a great fit in this offense.
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