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Howdy Reader,
Welcome In. March Madness is one of my favorite non-NFL events and I'm stoked it's finally here.
Even more excited that we have a rad new March Madness contest for you with sweet prizes. It's FREE to enter. Check it out below. And check out our friends at PoolGenius as well. They're your secret weapon for your brackets if you're more than just a casual fan.
Plus we've got tons of NFL content for you as we continue to help you stay the most informed GM in the league. It's what we do and our promise to you.
Let's Go,
J
PS. Can I get real for a second? If you've read this newsletter for very long, you know I'm about more than just football. My thought for y'all today is this:
Don't take things for granted.
Nothing needed at all, and we're ok here, but bad news in that my brother-in-law died Thursday in a car accident.
Even more heartbreaking is they have 4 kids under 6 years old, including a pair of one-year-old twins
I don't know how in the world you tell a 6-year-old that their Dad died.
Hug your loved ones.
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Your Secret Weapon For March Madness
We love football, but March Madness pulls us all in. And if you're in a bracket pool, our friends at PoolGenius have built the ultimate edge to help you win.
Just enter your pool details and PoolGenius builds the optimal bracket to give you the highest expected value — factoring in public trends, advancement odds, and game theory to maximize your edge. No gut picks, no overthinking — just an instant data-driven advantage.
Their subscribers win 3.1x more than expected, with over half winning a pool each year.
Plus Footballguys readers get discounts and free access offers.
May all your brackets go unbusted!
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📺 Trivia Night LIVE!
📅 Tuesday, February 10th at 7:00 PM ET on YouTube
Tuesday Trivia LIVE is here!
Join us every Tuesday at 7 PM ET as we stay connected in the offseason with themed trivia! Let's go to the ball game because this week is baseball-themed!
Plus, we'll be giving away some sweet prizes.
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Fresh Pickens In Dallas
The Cowboys and Pittsburgh Steelers agreed to a trade Wednesday that will send Pickens to Dallas for a 2026 third-round pick. The Cowboys will also send a 2027 fifth-round pick to the Steelers and get back a 2026 sixth-round pick.
Lamb will continue to dominate the targets in Dallas, but Pickens will get an upgrade with Dak Prescott at quarterback. Pickens should be viewed as a WR3 with upside in his new home.
-- Bob Harris
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What's New At Footballguys
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Free Agent Fallout, Perception Vs. Reality: The Fantasy Notebook - Bob Harris' Fantasy Notebook breaks down the true fantasy impact of 2025 NFL free agency moves, separating perception from reality and highlighting key player stock shifts, market inefficiencies, and draft strategy insights.
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Fantasy Impact: Free Agent Signings And Trades - Our Bob Harris, Jeff Blaylock and Hutchinson Brown break down the fantasy impact of the ongoing wave of signings and trades.
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Fantasy Outlooks: Tracking the Important 2025 NFL Free Agency Moves - Track the biggest 2025 NFL free agency moves and their fantasy impact here, with in-depth analysis on how signings like Cooper Kupp, DeAndre Hopkins, and Najee Harris could shake up draft strategies.
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Muchachos de Football Spanish Feature: Cinco movimientos de mayor impacto en agencia libre NFL - Our Mauricio Gutierrez delivers top-tier fantasy football analysis in Spanish. Today, Mauricio analyzes the five most impactful NFL free agency moves of 2025, exploring their fantasy ripple effects on depth charts, player values, and draft strategies.
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2025 Dynasty Rookie ADP for Superflex Leagues - We compile average draft position (ADP) data from our latest Footballguys rookie mock drafts, offering insight into how the dynasty market values top Superflex prospects like Ashton Jeanty, Tetairoa McMillan, and Cam Ward ahead of the 2025 NFL Draft.
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Pre-Draft IDP Spotlight: Defensive Backs - Darin Tietgen focuses on elite safeties like Malaki Starks and Nick Emmanwori, versatile playmakers like Travis Hunter, and how their roles could impact fantasy value.
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Footballguys 2025 Rookie Draft Guide
We're excited to announce that the Post-Combine Update edition of the 2025 Footballguys Rookie Draft Guide is now available to download!
Version 2 of the Rookie Draft Guide is loaded with everything that happened during the NFL Combine that you need to know and more.
Oh, and did we mention it's still FREE TO DOWNLOAD?
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📣 Voice Of The Footballguy 🎤
📊 POLL RESULTS: In our last issue of the Daily Update, we asked you Footballguys:
Which rookie RB takes control of his backfield first?
And the Footballguy says: I trust TreVeyon Henderson more than the Patriots do.
TODAY: Clayton Gray’s deep dive into how player values are shifting in high-stakes NFFC drafts reveals one clear trend — quarterbacks are climbing.
Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?
So today, we ask you Footballguys:
🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?
When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.
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| 🗳️ POLL: Where Will Aaron Rodgers Play in 2025? |
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Free Agent Fallout, Perception Vs. Reality: The Fantasy Notebook
By Bob Harris - Exclusive to Footballguys
The following feature is a free preview of our content. If you like it, click here to sign up for access to our Footballguys Premium Subscriptions, and you'll get all of our content. We're so sure you'll love it that we have an industry-leading 30-day MoneyBack Guarantee, so there's zero risk.
Welcome to the weekly Fantasy Notebook, the must-stop spot for keeping your finger on the pulse of Fantasy Nation. NFL news and developments drive fantasy values. The Notebook is here to keep you in the loop on all of it throughout the season.
Perceptions, Misperceptions, And Realities
The 2025 free-agent signing period started with a bang. You'll find a full accounting of it here at Footballguys on our real-time Player Movement Tracker. We also add articles and analyses on the most fantasy-relevant moves as they go down.
While it's not over, we've seen enough movement to assess the fallout.
That means picking winners and losers.
I know. Everyone does it, but not everyone does it well. In fact, few do it as well as Footballguy Sigmund Bloom, who offers his take here.
Fortunately, we don't all pick the same winners and losers. And don't have to follow the usual conventions when we do it.
Remember, perceptions -- and misperceptions -- become reality quickly in the best-ball rooms and social media silos we hang out in this time of year. In addition, we tend to focus on the narrowest band of outcomes.
But the fantasy fallout always extends beyond the players moving. That being the case, the focus here will be as much on collateral issues as the players getting all the cash and most of the attention.
Let's dive in . . .
Perception: Adams Cuts Into Puka's Workload
Davante Adams, who left a Jets team going nowhere and got everything he wanted when the Rams signed him, is a winner.
Adams wanted to play on the West Coast, and that box was checked. He wanted to make $20 million a year. He got it. As a bonus, Adams wound up in an offense with a star quarterback in Matthew Stafford, an innovative play-caller in head coach Sean McVay, and a Pro Bowl-caliber receiver on the other side of the offense in Puka Nacua.
CONTINUED...
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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being a Footballguy.
Have a great week and make sure to fill out your Footballguys March Madness brackets.
And as I said in the intro, hug those folks close to you and don't take things for granted.
Peace and Grace to you,
J
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Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom, Bob Harris, and Cecil Lammey
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