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Welcome to Week 11 of the 2021 Footballguys Roundtable. Our intrepid and oddball panel of fantasy pundits discusses Atlanta's offensive quandary, Odell Beckham Jr's December outlook, Baker Mayfield's future, potential stretch-run darlings, recent risers-fallers, and defending and destroying a pair of fantasy analysts cliches.
WEek 11 Grab BAG
Matt Waldman: Answer one of the questions below.
- With Cordarrelle Patterson and Calvin Ridley both gone from the Falcons' lineup, will this hurt Kyle Pitts' production down the stretch?
- Will Odell Beckham Jr deliver starter production in 3 WR fantasy leagues in December?
- If the Browns don't re-sign Baker Mayfield, which quarterback do you think could be a realistic addition to Cleveland via free agency?
Give us the low-down.
Troy King: Beckham will provide starter production in December. On Monday night, it was apparent that even with minimal practice, they wanted to get Beckham involved early. Without Woods in the lineup, they need another asset to step up outside of Kupp and Beckham is the second most talented option on the offense. Even though 2 receptions for 18 yards is a small sample size, Beckham was being used all over the field. He should be an interesting asset going forward.
Chris Allen: Before Monday night, the Rams used three-wide formations on 87% of their plays (the league’s highest rate). Their offensive philosophy didn’t change as Bennett Skowronek and Odell Beckham Jr combined for 44 routes run to match Stafford’s 44 dropbacks. No other tight-end outside of Tyler Higbee saw a bump in usage, and Sony Michel continued his role as Darrell Henderson’s backup.
Also, Los Angeles’ pass rate over expectation was higher than their previous four-game sample (9.0% vs. 5.0%). Beckham just needs time to get integrated into the offense. His early involvement was a positive sign, but he needs to get in rhythm with Matthew Stafford. Timing and synchronicity defined his early-season success with Cooper Kupp. They’ll need to use the bye week for Beckham to start producing and get the Rams’ offense back on track.
Scott Bischoff: Pitts will be productive to finish the 2021 season, but it might be a volatile ride. I expect him to put up very good numbers the rest of the way, but we need to look at the reality of the Falcons offense and adjust our expectations, or we will be disappointed. I see him as a player capable of producing TE1 numbers weekly, with an understanding that the range of outcomes is bigger for Pitts than it is for other elite tight ends. He is in a great situation as he should be force-fed, but he will also draw better coverage with Ridley and others missing from the Falcons offense. In a perfect world, he would be a fantastic best-ball option at the tight end position, and that's how I am approaching him the rest of the season.
Waldman: I will be shocked if Pitts is a top-five tight end while Patterson and Ridley are out. Bill Belichick is going to triple-team Pitts the way he nullified Travis Kelce and Tony Gonzalez in similar situations. If other teams don't follow Belichick's lead, they are daft. I would rather Atlanta be forced to win with Hayden Hurst, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Justin Gage in the intermediate and deep passing game. It's less likely Atlanta can make it happen. You better hope Patterson returns soon and is legitimately healthy, the teams on Atlanta's schedule after New England are truly daft, or you have a good second tight end.
I recommend adding Hurst if you don't.
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