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Why Standard Rankings Lose atFantasy Football
Footballguys Consensus (all 26 experts)
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Rank |
Draft | Player | Points | ROS Games | Age | Exp | Bye | Rank vs ADP |
About Downside & Upside
Downside |
Upside | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tier 1 | ||||||||||||
1 | Josh Allen BUF6 | 366.55 | 16.3 | 28 | 6 | 12 | 1 | +0-0- | 1.5 | 2.0 | ||
2 | Jalen Hurts PHI6 | 362.43 | 16.3 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +1--1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | ||
3 | Patrick Mahomes II KC6 | 355.76 | 16.2 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 2 | +-1-1 | 0.5 | 3.3 | ||
4 | Lamar Jackson BAL5 | 344.30 | 15.7 | 27 | 6 | 14 | 4 | +0-0- | 2.5 | 2.7 | ||
Tier 2 | ||||||||||||
5 | Dak Prescott DAL4 | 325.95 | 16.3 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 9 | +4--4 | 2.0 | 4.0 | ||
6 | Joe Burrow CIN4 | 317.91 | 16.3 | 27 | 4 | 12 | 8 | +2--2 | 3.0 | 4.0 | ||
7 | Kyler Murray ARI5 | 314.82 | 16.1 | 27 | 5 | 11 | 7 | +0-0- | 3.3 | 3.3 | ||
8 | C.J. Stroud HOU5 | 314.90 | 16.2 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +-3-3 | 1.5 | 4.3 | ||
9 | Jordan Love GB4 | 306.96 | 16.4 | 25 | 4 | 10 | 10 | +1--1 | 2.5 | 2.8 | ||
Tier 3 | ||||||||||||
10 | Jayden Daniels WAS4 | 301.81 | 15.7 | 23 | R | 14 | 11 | +1--1 | 2.3 | 3.0 | ||
11 | Trevor Lawrence JAX3 | 298.47 | 16.3 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 16 | +5--5 | 1.2 | 3.0 | ||
12 | Brock Purdy SF3 | 298.13 | 16.2 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +0-0- | 1.3 | 4.0 | ||
13 | Anthony Richardson IND5 | 295.89 | 15.0 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +-7-7 | 3.8 | 4.0 | ||
14 | Caleb Williams CHI3 | 293.98 | 16.2 | 22 | R | 7 | 13 | +-1-1 | 2.5 | 4.0 | ||
15 | Jared Goff DET4 | 292.20 | 16.4 | 30 | 8 | 5 | 14 | +-1-1 | 2.0 | 4.3 | ||
16 | Tua Tagovailoa MIA3 | 288.19 | 16.2 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 15 | +-1-1 | 2.0 | 3.5 | ||
Tier 4 | ||||||||||||
17 | Aaron Rodgers NYJ3 | 282.33 | 15.9 | 40 | 19 | 12 | 19 | +2--2 | 2.5 | 4.3 | ||
18 | Justin Herbert LAC3 | 275.99 | 16.2 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | +-1-1 | 2.8 | 3.5 | ||
Tier 5 | ||||||||||||
19 | Baker Mayfield TB3 | 269.67 | 16.3 | 29 | 6 | 11 | 21 | +2--2 | 1.5 | 3.3 | ||
20 | Kirk Cousins ATL4 | 268.62 | 15.3 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 18 | +-2-2 | 2.5 | 4.0 | ||
21 | Matthew Stafford LAR3 | 266.58 | 15.7 | 36 | 15 | 6 | 20 | +-1-1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | ||
Free Agents | ||||||||||||
22 | Geno Smith SEA3 | 264.03 | 15.3 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 23 | +1--1 | 2.3 | 3.3 | ||
23 | Will Levis TEN2 | 250.28 | 15.9 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 24 | +1--1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | ||
24 | Bo Nix DEN3 | 243.90 | 15.7 | 24 | R | 14 | 25 | +1--1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | ||
25 | Deshaun Watson CLE3 | 240.16 | 13.7 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 22 | +-3-3 | 2.8 | 4.0 | ||
26 | Derek Carr NO3 | 238.13 | 15.7 | 33 | 10 | 12 | 27 | +1--1 | 1.8 | 2.0 | ||
27 | Bryce Young CAR4 | 236.34 | 15.8 | 23 | 1 | 11 | 26 | +-1-1 | 3.0 | 2.3 | ||
28 | Sam Darnold MIN2 | 232.67 | 13.8 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 28 | +0-0- | 2.5 | 3.3 | ||
29 | Daniel Jones NYG3 | 223.22 | 13.3 | 27 | 5 | 11 | 30 | +1--1 | 1.8 | 3.5 | ||
30 | Russell Wilson PIT2 | 185.46 | 11.2 | 35 | 12 | 9 | 31 | +1--1 | 1.8 | 4.5 | ||
31 | Drake Maye NE2 | 208.72 | 13.0 | 22 | R | 14 | 32 | +1--1 | 3.0 | 2.5 | ||
32 | Justin Fields PIT3 | 111.15 | 5.9 | 25 | 3 | 9 | 29 | +-3-3 | 1.5 | 3.3 | ||
33 | Gardner Minshew II LV2 | 151.58 | 9.9 | 28 | 5 | 10 | 33 | +0-0- | 2.0 | 3.5 | ||
34 | Aidan O'Connell LV2 | 99.13 | 7.2 | 26 | 1 | 10 | 39 | +5--5 | 2.0 | 3.5 | ||
35 | Sam Howell SEA2 | 31.27 | 1.8 | 24 | 2 | 10 | 38 | +3--3 | ||||
36 | Jameis Winston CLE2 | 54.47 | 3.5 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 63 | +27--27 | 2.0 | 3.5 | ||
37 | Drew Lock NYG1 | 57.22 | 3.9 | 27 | 5 | 11 | 60 | +23--23 | ||||
38 | Nick Mullens MIN1 | 48.19 | 3.2 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 48 | +10--10 | ||||
39 | Joe Flacco IND1 | 33.41 | 2.2 | 39 | 16 | 14 | 36 | +-3-3 | ||||
40 | Jaren Hall SEA | 2.53 | 0.1 | 26 | 1 | 10 | - | u/r-40 | ||||
41 | Jacoby Brissett NE2 | 56.00 | 4.2 | 31 | 8 | 14 | 35 | +-6-6 | 1.5 | 3.0 | ||
42 | Michael Pratt TB | 1.18 | 0.1 | 23 | R | 11 | - | u/r-42 | ||||
43 | Nathan Peterman ATL | 0.92 | 0.1 | 30 | 7 | 12 | - | u/r-43 | ||||
44 | Jake Haener NO1 | 8.72 | 0.6 | 25 | 1 | 12 | - | u/r-44 | 1.5 | 3.0 | ||
45 | Mike White BUF1 | 1.40 | 0.1 | 29 | 6 | 12 | - | u/r-45 | ||||
46 | Jake Browning CIN | 15.45 | 1.2 | 28 | 5 | 12 | 41 | +-5-5 | ||||
47 | Mason Rudolph TEN1 | 18.50 | 1.6 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 43 | +-4-4 | 2.0 | 3.0 | ||
48 | Tyson Bagent CHI1 | 15.28 | 1.3 | 24 | 1 | 7 | 52 | +4--4 | 3.5 | |||
49 | Michael Penix Jr. ATL2 | 22.86 | 2.2 | 24 | R | 12 | 37 | +-12-12 | 2.0 | 3.5 | ||
50 | Jeff Driskel WAS | 4.34 | 0.4 | 31 | 8 | 14 | 46 | +-4-4 | ||||
51 | Marcus Mariota WAS1 | 14.99 | 1.4 | 30 | 9 | 14 | 66 | +15--15 | 3.0 | 2.5 | ||
52 | Kyle Allen PIT | 0.33 | 0.0 | 28 | 6 | 9 | - | u/r-52 | ||||
53 | Malik Cunningham BAL | 0.11 | 0.0 | 26 | 1 | 14 | - | u/r-53 | ||||
54 | Andy Dalton CAR2 | 18.53 | 2.1 | 36 | 13 | 11 | 45 | +-9-9 | ||||
55 | Tyrod Taylor NYJ1 | 17.24 | 1.9 | 35 | 13 | 12 | 62 | +7--7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | ||
56 | Tyler Huntley MIA | 1.39 | 0.1 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 70 | +14--14 | ||||
57 | Jimmy Garoppolo LAR1 | 14.55 | 1.8 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 54 | +-3-3 | ||||
58 | Easton Stick LAC | 1.72 | 0.2 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 50 | +-8-8 | ||||
59 | Clayton Tune ARI2 | 11.08 | 1.4 | 25 | 1 | 11 | - | u/r-59 | ||||
60 | Skylar Thompson MIA1 | 11.87 | 1.6 | 27 | 2 | 6 | - | u/r-60 | ||||
61 | Hendon Hooker DET1 | 8.57 | 1.1 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 67 | +6--6 | ||||
62 | Josh Johnson BAL | 12.53 | 1.8 | 38 | 16 | 14 | - | u/r-62 | ||||
63 | Taylor Heinicke LAC1 | 10.78 | 1.5 | 31 | 9 | 5 | 47 | +-16-16 |