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Howdy Reader,
Welcome in.
Late June might feel quiet on the surface, but this is when fantasy leagues are won. Not with flashy moves, but with steady work while everyone else is snoozing on the beach or watching baseball.
Today, we’re locking in on the Buffalo Bills. We've got a full Team Vibe Check, deep dives into the sleepers you’ll want on your radar, and the busts you should think twice about. And we see you, IDP folks. We’ve got Bills defenders you’ll want in your lineup, too.
Plus, Dave Kluge brings you the News and Notes you need to keep the edge.
Let’s get ahead. While everyone else is still asleep.
Let’s go,
J
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What's New At Footballguys
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Buffalo Bills Fantasy Overview - Buffalo enters 2025 with optimism around Josh Allen, but our Footballguys Staff urges caution on James Cook and Dalton Kincaid while identifying key sleepers like Ray Davis.
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5 IDP Players Who Will Fail To Meet Expectations – Are you overpaying for Jalen Carter or Frankie Luvu? Joseph Haggan identifies five IDPs unlikely to meet expectations in 2025.
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NFL Team-By-Team Fantasy Overviews – Every NFL team. Every angle. One new breakdown per weekday - Our Footballguys Staff has you covered through August 1.
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Team Vibes: Buffalo Bills
By Our Footballguys Staff - Exclusive to Footballguys
The following feature is a free preview of our content. If you like it, click here to sign up for access to our Footballguys Premium Subscriptions, and you'll get all of our content. We're so sure you'll love it that we have an industry-leading 30-day MoneyBack Guarantee, so there's zero risk.
As we race toward August, Footballguys.com will examine one team per weekday with our quick-hitting Team Vibes feature, which explores the overall mood toward each team's offense.
Go Deeper: See in-depth projections for every Bills player here.
Looking for IDP? Dive into what the Eyes of the Guru see here.
Buffalo is coming off another almost-great season. What's the vibe for 2025?
Spoiler alert: Almost all good.
Bills, Team Vibes
- Good - 11 votes
- Neutral - 2 votes
- Bad - 0 votes
Staffers with Good Vibes
- Jeff Haseley: As long as Josh Allen continues to produce, this team is capable of achieving big things.
- Hutchinson Brown: Josh Allen is good at football; the Bills just need to put the rest together to get over the hump.
- Jason Wood: Josh Allen and all his key pieces return from last year's No. 2-ranked offense.
- Kyle Bellefeuil: The Bills' offense is fun to watch with Josh Allen running the show.
- Maurile Tremblay: Josh Allen and an intact top-five line preserve a top-three scoring attack even without a proven alpha wideout.
- David Zacharias: Josh Allen + soft schedule + coaching continuity = AFC East favorite.
- Phil Alexander: But why is a top-40 receiver too much to ask from an offense that averages over 30 points per game?
- Tripp Brebner: A team with a fan base body slamming folding tables en masse as a tailgating activity has never had a bad vibe.
- Andy Hicks: Winning the division is almost a certainty with a healthy Josh Allen.
- Craig Lakins: Not much changed in Buffalo after tying for the league lead in touchdowns in 2024.
- Ben Cummins: Josh Allen is a rising tide that lifts all boats.
Staffers with Neutral Vibes
- Jeff Bell: The Chiefs have ended four of the last five seasons. Four is not a fun number in Buffalo lore.
- Jeff Blaylock: Their championship window remains open, but Patrick Mahomes II is still standing in it.
Staffers with Bad Vibes
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Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes noted it's a big advantage to have WRs Rashee Rice, Hollywood Brown, Xavier Worthy, and JuJu Smith-Schuster all back and healthy, per The Athletic's Zak Keefer, and that depth at receiver is a driving force behind head coach Andy Reid making it a point to push the ball deep down the field more during the upcoming season.
Our view: Much ado was made about the Chiefs taking the air out of the ball last year. But Brown was knocked out in the preseason. Rice suffered a season-ending injury in Week 3. Smith-Schuster suffered a midseason injury that he struggled to return from. And Worthy was a rookie who didn't heat up until late in the year. With a healthy corps of pass-catchers at his disposal, it's easy to envision Mahomes getting back on track as an elite fantasy quarterback in 2025.
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San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle said he believes he will continue his career until it feels no longer fun to play. 'I don't know, I think if I get to 35 and it hurts to put pants on in the morning, I think I'll be like, 'Ah, this isn't that much fun anymore,' and I'll have a conversation with myself. But I'm feeling great right now,' Kittle said.
Our view: Tight ends maintaining elite production into their 30s isn't that unusual. Kittle will be 32 this year, but he's coming off a TE1 finish just last year. With Deebo Samuel traded and Brandon Aiyuk on the mend, the early-season passing attack should revolve around Kittle. While many drafters are turning to Brock Bowers and Trey McBride as the shiny new toys, Kittle, going rounds after both, is a great value in drafts.
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3. NE: Efton Chism earned praise with spring work
Source: The Athletic - Chad Graff
New England Patriots WR Efton Chism III received praise from both QB Drake Maye and head coach Mike Vrabel for his play during spring practices, and The Athletic's Chad Graff believes that Chism will 'enter camp with a decent shot at making the team.'
Our view: Jakobi Meyers and Wes Welker went undrafted, and Julian Edelman was a seventh-round pick. The Patriots have an illustrious history of hitting on wide receivers with minimal investment, causing a groundswell of excitement for the undrafted Chism. The slot role in OC Josh McDaniels' offenses has been a lucrative role worth targeting in fantasy. Demario Douglas, Stefon Diggs, and Ja'Lynn Polk are all in play for that role as well. But if Chism grasps it, he'll be one of the biggest steals from this year's rookie class.
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4. MIN: Coaching staff pushing J.J. McCarthy
Source: The Athletic - Alec Lewis
Minnesota Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy was given 'lengthy call sheets before practices' and 'was responsible for calls at the line of scrimmage' during offseason activities, according to The Athletic's Alec Lewis, who writes that McCarthy threw the ball with accuracy and that his arm strength 'stood out.' Lewis adds that the coaching staff hope that making things more difficult during the offseason program will 'supercharge' McCarthy's growth in 2025.
Our view: McCarthy's arm talent and athleticism were obvious in college. But his success likely hinges on his ability to understand Kevin O'Connell's complex system. The Vikings' staff is testing his cerebral skills early. And they felt comfortable enough to head into the season with him atop the depth chart. McCarthy is young, mobile, and surrounded by an elite supporting cast of pass catchers. While there's obvious risk in drafting a player who has never taken an NFL snap, McCarthy has an easy path to outperforming his QB19 ADP.
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5. PIT: Calvin Austin, Robert Woods battling for starting role
Source: SteelersWire - Curt Popejoy
Pittsburgh Steelers WR Calvin Austin is battling for a starting role in the offense but will face some competition from Robert Woods, in the opinion of Steelers Wire's Curt Popejoy.
Our view: Woods is entering his age-33 season, but HC Mike Tomlin and OC Arthur Smith both like wide receivers who are willing to get dirty in the blocking game. Austin is younger and faster, but his size limitations could allow the veteran to get more snaps than many are expecting. Protecting an aging Aaron Rodgers will be a top priority, and Woods brings the edge there.
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6. PHI: Dallas Goedert to be used in different ways
Source: ESPN.com
Philadelphia Eagles TE Dallas Goedert is excited for new offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo's system and believes he'll be featured more in it. 'I've really loved what he's doing with the offense,' Goedert said. 'Little changes here and there and I'm really excited for the opportunity just to -- with the connection I grew with him the last four years. What he sees in me in different ways that he's going to get me the ball I'm really excited for.'
Our view: Goedert's 2021 and 2022 seasons caused some excitement, but he's come up short of his per-game numbers in both years since. Now heading into his age-30 season, he projects to be third on the team in a low-volume passing offense. We've seen Goedert's involvement spike if AJ Brown or DeVonta Smith miss any time, giving him some sneaky contingent value. Being drafted as the TE15, there's almost no risk. He's worth a shot late in drafts, especially in two-TE builds.
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7. ARI: Zay Jones on track to be No. 3 WR
Source: CardsWire - Jess Root
Arizona Cardinals WR Zay Jones likely will serve as the No. 3 receiver for the Cardinals this upcoming season, in the opinion of CardsWire's Jess Root.
Our view: With Trey McBride also being a top-two passing option, that means Jones will likely be, at best, fourth on the team in targets. Jones has gotten his career back on track after a bumpy start. But barring a huge breakout from Kyler Murray, it's tough to envision the veteran finding himself in a fantasy-relevant role.
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8. JAX: Bhayshul Tuten signs rookie deal
Source: NFL Network - Mike Garafolo
Jacksonville Jaguars RB Bhayshul Tuten agreed to a four-year rookie contract, according to sources Tuesday, June 24.
Our view: The Jaguars' backfield is one of the toughest to project. Tuten is the lone back selected by the new regime and brings off-the-charts athleticism and a fumbling issue. Travis Etienne is a former first-round pick with a dual-threat skill set as a rusher and receiver. And Tank Bigsby, who had a quiet rookie season, stepped up in Year 2. HC Liam Coen deployed a rotational committee last year in Tampa Bay. And that tendency could make for a frustrating situation in Jacksonville this year.
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That’s it for today, Folks.
Thanks for being here. In June, no less, while your league mates are off the radar and snoozing on what matters. This is where edges are built. This is where titles start to take shape.
Keep showing up, keep stacking knowledge, and we’ll keep delivering the goods to make sure you stay two steps ahead.
We’ll see you tomorrow with more.
Peace, Love, and Fantasy Football,
J
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Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom, Bob Harris, and Cecil Lammey
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