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Hi Folks, Welcome in. With June heating up and Father’s Day around the corner, there’s no better time to lock in that early-season edge. Today’s lineup is built for just that.
With 6 Tight End Situations You Must Get Right in 2025, Jason Wood breaks down the make-or-break TE battles that could swing your season. Plus, Clayton Gray tracks how Best Ball draft boards are shifting and what it means for sharp managers looking to capitalize with Underdog ADP Movement.
And of course, Bob Harris has your News and Notes — the must-know updates to keep you ahead of your league.
Let’s dive in and make this the year you draft like a legend.
J
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Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?
So today, we ask you Footballguys:
🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?
When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.
🗳️ POLL: Which rookie TE situation are you avoiding in 2025?
The New England Patriots are considering releasing WR Stefon Diggs, according to Scott Zolak of 98.5 The Sports Hub. On Wednesday, May 28, a video surfaced of Diggs partying on a yacht during Memorial Day weekend with an unidentified pink substance in his possession while surrounded by three women. Zolak claims that the viral video is not the only reason why the organization is considering cutting ties with him, although he did not elaborate on other possible reasons.
Our view: While Zolak believes Diggs could be cut, he contends the wideout should be retained. "I say he shouldn't be cut because I think he would help Drake Maye and this offense and Josh McDaniels because you would have a true viable guy that would set coverage. Right now, you still don't have a guy who sets coverage. I'm sorry." If healthy, Diggs will significantly upgrade a Patriots' wide receiver room that also includes DeMario Douglas, Kendrick Bourne, Mack Hollins, Kayshon Boutte, Ja'Lynn Polk, and Javon Baker.
Washington Commanders RB Brian Robinson Jr. has been very focused during offseason workouts, according to offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury.
Our view: It is a contract year for Robinson, taken in the third round by Washington in the 2022 draft, and Commanders GM Adam Peters drafted a running back (Jacory Croskey-Merritt) to compete for a roster spot. Kingsbury might also want to offer some runs to rookie Jaylin Lane or Deebo Samuel, both primarily receivers, but they've proven they can run the ball. The questions surrounding Robinson's fade last year and how much of it was injury will no doubt have Kingsbury looking very closely at his running backs room in 2025. He loves the acquisition of Samuel and the diversity he can bring to the offense.
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6 Tight End Situations You Must Get Right in 2025
We've had full offensive projections live since February, making us one of the first, if not the first, fantasy football sites in the industry to publish detailed statistical outlooks. But when you release projections just weeks after the Super Bowl, you're forced to make a slew of assumptions. At that point, free agency and the NFL draft hadn't happened yet, and we didn't have much information about what the new offensive play-callers intended to do.
Since then, the landscape has become much clearer. We've also seen an onslaught of other analysts publish their expectations. The influx of opinions helps solidify a consensus, and that consensus heavily influences the average draft position (ADP) data we'll see as draft season approaches.
Even with the benefit of hindsight, unanswered questions remain. Many won't be resolved until deep into training camp or the preseason. These gray areas are where the widest range of viewpoints emerge, and they are the very situations that can swing your fantasy draft. These are the spots where taking a stand matters most, and our goal is to help you gain an edge before you're on the clock.
Let's take a look at the key tight end situations and where we stand versus consensus:
Assumption: Pitts will rebound and handily outperform his ADP
Pitts ranked just TE23 (PPR) on a per-game basis in 2024 and fared even worse (TE29) during Michael Penix Jr's three starts. His failure to build on a promising rookie year has extended into a three-season drought, turning him into a fantasy afterthought. His current ADP is TE17. We do not know whether Penix will thrive as a full-time starter, and therefore cannot be certain that Pitts will benefit from a rising-tide scenario. But the bet is worth making because the position has so few difference-makers. There is little upside in drafting a high-floor, low-ceiling tight end, especially if Pitts is your second option on a deeper roster.
Green Bay Packers WR Jayden Reed said he has been working with the JUGS machine every day this offseason in hopes of reducing his dropped passes this upcoming season, according to The Athletic's Matt Schneidman.
Our view: Reed is a talented and versatile weapon, but he dropped 10 of his 79 targets and had at least one drop in nine games during the 2024 season, according to Pro Football Focus. His 10 drops ranked second among wide receivers, while his drop percentage of 15.4 percent ranked as the third highest among receivers with at least 40 targets. Not all the catching numbers were poor -- Reed did complete 8-of-12 contested catches in 2024. Whatever the case, more consistent production would benefit the Packers and fantasy investors alike.
Although the Atlanta Falcons would like to sign WR Drake London to a long-term deal, his contract situation is unlikely to be completely resolved until next offseason, in the opinion of ESPN.com's Marc Raimondi. London had his fifth-year option on his rookie contract exercised by the Falcons in April and is scheduled to hit free agency in 2027.
Our view: London was drafted No. 8 overall by the Falcons in 2022 and has been their top receiver since then. Last season, London was fourth in the league in receiving yards (1,271) and tied for ninth in receptions (100) and touchdown catches (9). It was his first time eclipsing the 1,000-yard and 100-reception marks. London opens the year as WR11 on the Footballguys 2025 Draft Projections.
Atlanta Falcons WR Darnell Mooney is expected to be more involved in the passing game this upcoming season, according to wide receivers coach Ike Hilliard.
Our view: Mooney had 64 receptions for 992 yards and five touchdowns in his first season with the Falcons. His 15.5 yards-per-catch average ranked third among players with at least 60 receptions. The vast majority of Mooney's production last year came with quarterback Kirk Cousins. This year, Michael Penix Jr. is the Falcons' starter. So, Penix and Mooney will have to build upon the bond they began forming when Penix took over the role in Week 16. Mooney is being drafted as WR47 in early best balls, just ahead of his WR45 Footballguys Projection.
Detroit Lions WR Isaac TeSlaa (undisclosed) did not participate in practice Friday, May 30.
Our view: Head coach Dan Campbell indicated in his pre-practice press conference that the Lions were operating with an abundance of caution on the injury front, which is understandable after the dreadful rash of injuries derailed the playoff push in 2024. So, we shouldn't read much into Teslaa's absence until we learn more.
Although Atlanta Falcons TE Kyle Pitts is entering a contract year, the team is more likely to see how he performs on the field rather than signing him to a contract extension before or during the season, in the opinion of ESPN.com's Marc Raimondi.
Our view: Pitts had one of the great rookie seasons in history at tight end (68 catches for 1,026 yards), but he has struggled with injuries and inconsistency over the past three seasons. Atlanta has hope that Michael Penix Jr. at quarterback will bring out the old Pitts, or at least an improved version compared with the past few seasons. Pitts finished the 2024 season as TE15, but he was TE23 on a points-per-game basis (with 7.7 points a week). So far this offseason, he's TE18 going with the 147th pick overall.
Contract extension talks between the New York Jets and WR Garrett Wilson are expected to heat up during training camp, according to ESPN.com's Rich Cimini.
Our view: Despite inconsistent quarterback play, Wilson has recorded three straight 1,000-yard receiving seasons. He's probably looking for a deal in the $30 million-a-year range. After June 2, the Jets will be among the leaders in cap room, so there's enough flexibility to make it happen. Meanwhile, Garrett heads into this season with a new QB, Justin Fields, as WR24 on the Footballguys Projections. There could be value here.
San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle participated in individual drills and some team drills during practice Thursday, May 29.
Our view: This doesn't sound especially worrisome. Kittle, RB Christian McCaffrey, and DE Nick Bosa all had a bit of a reduced workload but also participated in individual drills and some of the no-helmet 11 versus 11. We'll watch for more, but going easy on proven veterans in OTAs makes a lot of sense.
Thanks for reading. And for being part of the Footballguys family. We don’t take your time, trust, or passion for this game for granted.
With Father’s Day coming up, here’s to all the dads, father figures, and fantasy legends who taught us the joy of competition, smack talk, and sticking with your squad through thick and thin.
We’ll be back tomorrow with more to keep you sharp and ahead of the game.
Peace, Love and Fantasy Football,
J
Joe Bryant
Guide
Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom, Bob Harris, and Cecil Lammey
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We Help You Win More At Fantasy Football
We help you win more at Fantasy Football. Join 700,000+ others who are dominating their fantasy football leagues on our 100% FREE Daily Update newsletter