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Minicamps are buzzing, the draft boards are shifting, and if you’re not thinking about quarterbacks yet... you’re already a step behind.
Today, we’re diving deep under center: Dave Kluge breaks down Dynasty QB Rankings and Tiers — giving you the long view on who to build around, who to flip, and who to fade. And Jason Wood spotlights 10 Quarterback Situations That Will Define Your Draft. These are the battles and uncertainties that will shape your strategy this summer.
And of course, Bob Harris has the News and Notes to keep you sharp and in the know.
Let’s lock in. Fantasy titles aren’t won in June, but they’re built here.
J
PS. The Post-Draft Footballguys Rookie Draft Guide is LIVE! Version 3 includes team fits, updated depth charts, and — for the first time — the Post-Draft Bloom 100. It’s available exclusively for ELITE, HALL OF FAME, and G.O.A.T. subscribers and built to give you the edge in every rookie draft.
BUT - if you don't have an ELITE, HALL OF FAME, or G.O.A.T. subscription, you can download our ROOKIE DRAFT GUIDE PREVIEW featuring our TOP 12 ROOKIES absolutely FREE. And if you like what you see, come join us.
The NFL Draft is in the books, and our Rookie Draft Guide is ready. Version 3.0 includes new team fits, depth chart projections, refined scouting intel, and — for the first time — the Post-Draft Bloom 100. It’s your complete blueprint for dominating dynasty rookie drafts.
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Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?
So today, we ask you Footballguys:
🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?
When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.
🗳️ POLL: Is Jayden Daniels already a top-3 dynasty QB?
New England Patriots WR Stefon Diggs is not in danger of being released this offseason.
Our view: Former Patriots quarterback Scott Zolak, now a member of the local media, said last week that Diggs' release was "on the table." NFL Network's Ian Rapoport is reporting the Patriots have no plans to release the veteran wideout. Welcome to the NFL news cycle in June. The uncertainty began last week when a viral video showed Diggs providing a baggie of pink powder to women on a boat. On Monday, Diggs was present for the Patriots' organized team activities, working on a limited basis. Stay tuned. We're sure to hear more on Diggs before all is said and done.
Tennessee Titans QB Cam Ward has been sharing snaps with QB Will Levis but will start receiving more work with the first-team offense as the offseason practices go on, according to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler.
Our view: "The Titans coaches have been really impressed with his work ethic so far." Fowler said of Ward, "They knew he was a hard worker coming in, but I was told they had to kick him out of the offices at times." It makes sense. As USA Today suggested, "Ward didn't go from zero-star recruit to the first overall pick in the NFL draft by resting on his laurels." It's encouraging. But it doesn't change the fact that Ward's fantasy value is limited in redraft formats.
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Especially with the rise of Superflex leagues in dynasty football, quarterbacks dominate the landscape. They score more points than any other position. They have the best longevity. Injury risk is minimal. Typically, you'll see quarterbacks going off the board quickly in startup drafts. And even league-average quarterbacks will pull a future first-round pick in trades. They are the safest and most valuable assets you can acquire in dynasty. And for this top tier, they're probably near untouchable in trades unless you're giving up a package of young quarterbacks and future first-round picks.
As always, this article isn't meant to serve as a flat list of rankings. Players are grouped with others of similar ages and scoring profiles and ranked accordingly. Not every dynasty manager should target the same players, and this article serves to help you compartmentalize these quarterbacks. This first tier is typically the group you'll see going off the board in drafts before people are even looking at other positions. Regardless of your build, you should target these guys.
Since taking over as starters, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Jalen Hurts have done nothing but churn out top-12 fantasy seasons. Jayden Daniels, in his first NFL season, logged a top-five fantasy finish. All of these quarterbacks possess a unique blend of rushing and passing abilities that makes their season-long projections tight.
Allen, coming off his first MVP, has averaged 4,254 passing yards and 600 rushing yards over the last five seasons. He's been a top-two fantasy finisher in each of those years, including three years atop the rankings. Jackson, while known for his rushing prowess, has quietly increased his per-game passing yardage in three consecutive seasons. Allen's durability is the only thing that makes him more desirable, as Jackson has missed 12 games over the last five seasons. Hurts certainly benefits from the system he's in and his supporting cast, but the production is impossible to ignore. His 52 rushing touchdowns since 2021 lead the NFL (yes, the entire NFL). Daniels leading this list might be a surprise to some. But his rookie-season production and consistency paint a clear picture of his future upside. He scored double digits in all but two games and 20-plus points in 65% of his outings.
Being two years younger than anyone else on this list and with potentially untapped upside, Daniels has the brightest long-term outlook. Allen will be 29 this year, Jackson will be 28, and Hurts will be 26. While that's entirely too early to panic, rushing production typically slips as quarterbacks age. Jackson has offset his dip in rushing with a boost in passing. Allen has taken better care of the ball as he's aged, making his regression in rushing easier to stomach without the interceptions. Good quarterbacks find ways to age gracefully. However, it is the rushing that makes these players so valuable in fantasy. Daniels will likely maintain or improve his rushing over the next few seasons, while the others may see a decline.
This is a tier I'm mostly ok skipping in dynasty startups. I'll trade back for guys with more upside. These are great NFL players. And if the touchdown variance is in their favor, they can have a high-end fantasy finish. But the lack of rushing upside lowers both their floor and ceiling. Of course, different leagues have different settings. And in six-point passing touchdown leagues, these quarterbacks will get a bump in rankings. But in four-point passing touchdown leagues, these players can have dangerous weekly floors.
Joe Burrow, playing with Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins, is the safest of the bunch. A poor defense sets up for frequent shootouts. But what happens if he loses those receivers or the defense improves? Well, we can look at Patrick Mahomes II as an example. Early in his career, with prime Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, he had a record-breaking season in 2018 and finished as the overall QB1 in fantasy. And he did it again in 2022. But aside from those seasons, he was the per-game QB8, QB3, QB5, QB12, and QB13. While none of those seasons were terrible, there is some downside. Justin Herbert's career has been similar, finishing as high as QB2 and as low as QB16.
Simply put, these are volatile quarterbacks. If they stumble into a season where they have 40-plus passing touchdowns, you can bank on an elite finish. But if they don't, the passing volume alone won't prop up their production the way the rushing will for the guys in Tier 1. Where I can, I'll trade back from this bucket and target the guys in the next one…
New England Patriots WR Stefon Diggs (knee) reported to organized team activities Monday, June 2.
Our view: Diggs' off-field drama has drawn headlines in recent days. Most recently, local observer Scott Zolak suggested Diggs is in danger of being released. So, with all the noise, it's great that Diggs reported for voluntary sessions. It's also great that Diggs, who has finished as a WR2 or better (including five WR1 finishes) every season from 2017 through 2023, is currently being drafted as WR45 in Round 7. Even if he opens the season at less-than-full speed, coming off a torn ACL suffered last October, he could be very productive in this offense once he hits stride.
Free-agent QB Aaron Rodgers (Jets) hasn't committed to the Pittsburgh Steelers, NFL Network insider Tom Pelissero said on The Rich Eisen Show. 'I have been told that he has not affirmatively told the Steelers that he's coming. Certainly, all indications -- if you just look at it logically -- are that he's coming, based on his comments about, 'Hey, there's a team that plays in Chicago I might play for; I'm not playing in New Orleans,'' Pelissero remarked. 'He took one visit [with the Steelers]. He's been throwing with DK Metcalf. He talks all the time with Mike Tomlin. I know he's talked with Arthur Smith. So, there are all these signs that he's coming, but he has not affirmatively said, 'Hey, June 9 -- book me a ticket, I'm coming in and I'm going to join this team.''
Our view: Late last month, Steelers owner Art Rooney II said the team would wait "a little while longer." Pittsburgh's OTAs run through June 5. A three-day mandatory minicamp on June 10 follows that and ends the team's offseason sessions. So, Rooney and the Steelers can't wait much longer if they want to see Rodgers work with the team ahead of training camp. Rodgers being the team's quarterback this fall is still the most likely outcome. But the window for resolution is closing. Without Rodgers, the quarterbacks will be Mason Rudolph, Skylar Thompson, and rookie Will Howard.
Baltimore Ravens RB Keaton Mitchell said his knee is feeling as good as it did before he suffered his torn anterior cruciate ligament.
Our view: Mitchell, who averaged 8.4 yards per carry on 47 runs in his rookie year, has been impressive in early workouts. With Derrick Henry leading the way and Justice Hill coming off a career year, there aren't too many more offensive snaps for other running backs in Baltimore. But Mitchell has proven he doesn't need too many snaps to make a significant impact with his big-play ability. He could have an immediate impact in the return game, as he averaged 31.2 yards on his five returns last season.
Jacksonville Jaguars RB Travis Etienne 'has done everything we have asked him to do and more,' according to head coach Liam Coen on Monday, June 2.
Our view: Etienne missed his rookie season with a Lisfranc injury but had back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons before rushing 150 times for 558 yards and two touchdowns last season. The Jaguars also have Tank Bigsby back along with fourth-rounder Bhayshul Tuten and seventh-rounder LeQuint Allen. Etienne, projected to finish as RB35, is our top fantasy prospect in this backfield.
New York Jets TE Mason Taylor seems to be the leading candidate for the tight end job entering training camp, in the opinion of JetsWire's Craig Moffett.
Our view: Taylor opening the season as the starter would not be a massive suprise. Veteran Jeremy Ruckert has been disappointing, although he hasn’t gotten many opportunities to shine as a receiving threat. Stone Smartt is an interesting dart throw and could push Ruckert for the backup spot behind Taylor, who will be a capable security blanket for Justin Fields in the passing game.
Thanks for spending part of your day with us. And for trusting Footballguys to help you stay sharp, informed, and ready to dominate your league.
With Father’s Day around the corner and draft season creeping closer, now’s the time to soak up the quiet before the storm. We’ll be right here with you every step, every update, every edge. See you tomorrow.
Peace, Love and Fantasy Football,
J
Joe Bryant
Guide
Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom, Bob Harris, and Cecil Lammey
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