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Welcome to Week 7 of the 2020 Footballguys Roundtable. Our intrepid and oddball panel of fantasy pundits discuss and debate reserve running backs with short-term value, the Footballguys Subscriber Contest, Buy-Sell-Hold in dynasty formats, and players poised for a second-half surge.
- Reserve RBs of Merit
- Footballguys Subscriber Contest
- Dynasty Buy-Sell-Hold
- Second-Half Surge Candidates
The Reserve RB Label Game
Matt Waldman: For each RB below, you must assign a value tier for the next 3-4 weeks. If you wish to share their outlook for the season and beyond, you may do so. Labels to choose from for a 12-team, PPR format include RB1, RB2, Flex (RB3), Bye-Week, Reserve with Little Value.
You can use labels as many times as you want. It's not a game of matching one for each back. Explain your answers.
Chad Parsons: Damien Williams *should* be back this week and David Montgomery will be shortly to follow. Herbert will be part of a committee with Williams but pushed back by Montgomery. I am more interested in Herbert for dynasty than redraft as Herbert is a strong candidate to be the clear RB2 and injury-away option to Montgomery in 2022. This makes Herbert a flex.
Antonio Gibson's shin is worrisome and McKissic stands to benefit in PPR more than Jaret Patterson or anyone else on Washington's radar. RB1 is in play for McKissic so I see him as an RB2 with upside. Stevenson is a fumble away or whiffed blocking assignment from the doghouse again. Beyond Damien Harris, I have little faith in any back having a stabilized and projectable workload here so I'm labeling him a reserve with little value.
Rashaad Penny should return this week and Chris Carson could follow shortly. Also, Collins is already dinged up from running hot over the course of a few dozen touches. I am skeptical Collins holds up over much of a sample size if leaned on in the coming weeks, so I'm considering him a bye-week option.
I am more bullish on Williams than Clyde Edwards-Helaire as Williams does not have to split with a secondary back as solid as himself - as Edwards-Helaire did. I'm labeling Williams an RB1. Evans is a reserve with little value. Samaje Perine should be back the next game and Joe Mixon is healthy. Evans is officially interesting in dynasty, but just one of the intriguing RB3 NFL depth chart types for now in redraft assessment.
Jason Wood: Herbert has shown well given his opportunity but Damien Williams should be back this week, and David Montgomery will resume the bell-cow role in a few weeks. If Herbert only had to overcome one veteran injury, I'd be more enthusiastic but he needs both Williams and Montgomery to have another setback. He's a flex.
McKissic is not a naturally gifted runner and has never been asked to carry the load. Washington isn't going to start now, regardless of Antonio Gibson's status. Curtis Samuel can't be counted on but he's theoretically still poised to return in which case he'll naturally command some of the same targets McKissic would otherwise receive. He's a PPR-RB2.
Stevenson is a reserve with little value. Coach Belichick isn't one to push rookies unless they're out of this world.
Williams may not have the explosiveness to turn an average play into an unforgettable one, but he's also disciplined and gets every yard that's blocked. In many ways, he's a better fit for the Chiefs offense over Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and I wouldn't be surprised if Williams remains the workhorse even after (or if) Edwards-Helaire returns from Injured Reserve.
Evans has the wheels and open-field vision to become a third-down specialist for years to come, but he's not going to have the opportunity in 2021. Joe Mixon looks healthy again, and Samaje Perine should return soon after missing the week with Covid-19. He's a reserve with little value.
Ryan Weisse: The Bears have a Week 10 bye, and I can't imagine bringing David Montgomery back before Week 11. That means three games of just Herbert and Damien Williams. In the last two games, Herbert has turned 37 carries into 172 yards and a TD. We know who Damien Williams is; Herbert could easily win over this backfield until Montgomery is back. He's an RB2.
Weisse: Like Jason, McKissic is a PPR RB2 on an 'every-other-week" schedule right now. His good weeks are followed by bad, making him impossible to trust in your lineup. However, with Antonio Gibson unlikely to be at 100% anytime soon and a nice matchup with Green Bay in Week 7, McKissic could break that trend this week.
Over the long term, I'd call Stevenson an RB2, but for the next three weeks, he's a bye-week fill-in. His Week 1 fumble slowed his ascension, but the Patriots were always going to get him involved in this offense. Injuries have opened a path; he just needs to seize it. It may take some time to fully earn Bill Belichick's trust, but he will be fantasy-relevant once he does.
The RB1 role for the Seahawks has value, but will Collins be healthy enough to hold on? He had a great night against a tough Steelers run defense, proving he can do it against a good team without the threat of Russell Wilson. That is a huge step, and if he were 100% healthy, he might be an RB1 for a month, but he's not, and Rashaad Penny is coming off of IR this week. He's a flex play.
Williams has almost no competition for touches over the next few weeks, so that alone makes him very valuable in fantasy football right now. However, we've also seen the RB1 role for Kansas City struggle this season, so he's not a sure thing by any stretch. Nevertheless, if Williams continues to perform, he might carve a role for himself even when Clyde Edwards-Helaire returns. As always, you want a piece of this Kansas City offense, and Williams offers a solid entry point as an RB2.
It was a great catch by Evans in Week 6, I'll give you that, but he is barely even worth a roster spot in 12-team leagues. Coming into this week, he was averaging two fantasy points per game. As long as Joe Mixon is healthy, that is the production you should expect. It was a nice catch, though.
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