Dynasty Trade Value Chart: November

Dan Hindery's Dynasty Trade Value Chart: November Dan Hindery Published 11/05/2019

It is November, which means we need to be making final decisions about whether to make a run at the championship or to sell off some older players for draft picks. Nobody is giving away those 2020 picks but they aren’t going to get any cheaper between now and the spring, so get them while you can.

The dynasty trade value chart is tailored to 12-team PPR leagues a starting lineup of one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, and one flex. It now also includes trade values for Superflex leagues in a separate column. The chart is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but can also be a great resource during startup drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade would be considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, the offer is worth strongly considering. Each league is different, so pay close attention to the scoring and starting roster requirements specific to your league.

Between monthly updates, you can check out our staff dynasty rankings. You can also always ask me questions on twitter or email to see how much player’s values have changed since this update or even just to bounce around trade ideas.

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Quarterback

Rank
Player
2019 Value
Future Value
Total Value
Superflex
1
6
24
30
70
2
5
21
26
60
3
4
14
18
50
4
5
9
14
40
5
3
7
10
36
6
2
6
8
30
7
3
4
7
25
8
2
4
6
24
9
3
3
6
18
10
2
3
5
23
11
2
3
5
23
12
2
3
5
20
13
2
3
5
18
14
1
3
4
20
15
1
3
4
18
16
1
3
4
18
17
1
3
4
18
18
0
4
4
16
19
2
2
4
10
20
0
3
3
16
21
0
3
3
15
22
1
2
3
15
23
1
2
3
10
24
1
1
2
12
25
0
2
2
10
26
0
2
2
8
27
1
1
2
7
28
Mitchell Trubisky
0
1
1
8
29
0
1
1
8
30
0
1
1
8
31
0
1
1
6
32
0
1
1
6
33
0
1
1
6
34
0
0
0
6
35
0
0
0
5
36
0
0
0
5
37
0
0
0
4
38
0
0
0
4
39
0
0
0
4
40
0
0
0
3

Quick Thoughts

-Young quarterbacks in Supeflex leagues are such boom or bust investments. Lamar Jackson and Mitch Trubisky had similar startup ADPs this summer. So too did Deshaun Watson and Baker Mayfield.

-We are seeing some amazing quarterback performances this season. Russell Wilson’s 22-1 touchdown to interception ratio is pretty spectacular.

-Matthew Stafford and Derek Carr saw their dynasty stock fall precipitously last year. Both have bounced back strongly, especially Stafford. His 8.59 yards per attempt without much of a running game to keep defenses honest is an eye-opening number.

-We should get an extended look at rookie quarterback Ryan Finley this season. Drew Lock might get his shot soon too. Small window for these guys to convince ownership not to look for an upgrade at the position in April.

Four Separate from the pack

During the offseason, it felt like quarterback was a very deep position and there wasn’t a ton of separation between the top (not including Mahomes) and the guys ranked 10-15. That doesn’t feel like the case anymore. Injuries and mediocre play from most of the older quarterbacks has thinned the herd. The serious struggles of Mitch Trubisky, Sam Darnold, and Baker Mayfield has thinned things further.

More than the struggles of others, it has been the tremendous play of the top quarterbacks that has created the separation. At the midway point of the season, the stats for our top four quarterbacks are absurd. Patrick Mahomes II is averaging over 9.0 yards per attempt with 15 touchdowns and 1 interception. Russell Wilson has 25 total touchdowns and 1 interception. Deshaun Watson has 23 total touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Lamar Jackson has 17 total touchdowns and 5 interceptions (and is on pace for over 1,200 rushing yards). These four provide enough of a weekly advantage that they have significant dynasty trade value even in single quarterback leagues. Good luck trying to trade for one of them in Superflex.

Behind the top four, a couple of guys are knocking on the door of that elite tier. Dak Prescott has been very productive despite turning it over a bit too much. He is in a great situation in Dallas but there is also some real uncertainty about the future with both Prescott and Amari Cooper set to hit free agency. Prescott’s contract (or the franchise tag) could cause him to lose his top receiver. Kyler Murray also has a ways to go to join the top group but there is reason to believe he could make that leap in the next year. He has thrown the 5th most passes in the NFL and is 3rd amongst all quarterbacks in rushing attempts as well. If Arizona adds some pieces around him and he becomes more efficient in his second season, the volume is already where it needs to be for him to emerge as a fantasy star.

Running Back

Rank
Player
2019 Value
Future Value
Total Value
1
14
61
75
2
9
59
68
3
10
44
54
4
10
40
50
5
10
35
45
6
8
34
42
7
6
29
35
8
7
21
28
9
3
19
22
10
4
18
22
11
4
16
20
12
Melvin Gordon
5
15
20
13
5
15
20
14
LeVeon Bell
6
13
19
15
2
17
19
16
4
14
18
17
0
17
17
18
4
13
17
19
4
12
16
20
5
10
15
21
5
10
15
22
3
11
14
23
4
10
14
24
3
9
12
25
3
9
12
26
Mark Ingram
5
6
11
27
2
9
11
28
0
10
10
29
2
8
10
30
2
8
10
31
2
6
8
32
2
6
8
33
2
6
8
34
2
6
8
35
2
6
8
36
1
7
8
37
1
6
7
38
Darrell Henderson
0
7
7
39
0
7
7
40
2
5
7
41
3
4
7
42
1
5
6
43
2
4
6
44
1
5
6
45
2
4
6
46
2
4
6
47
2
4
6
48
2
3
5
49
0
5
5
50
Benny Snell
0
5
5
51
0
4
4
52
0
4
4
53
1
3
4
54
1
2
3
55
1
2
3
56
0
2
2
57
0
2
2
58
0
2
2
59
0
2
2
60
1
1
2
61
1
1
2
62
0
2
2
63
0
2
2
64
0
2
2
65
0
2
2
66
0
2
2
67
0
2
2
68
0
2
2
69
0
2
2
70
J.D McKissic
1
1
2

Quick Thoughts

-The trade value of veterans like LeVeon Bell, David Johnson, Devonta Freeman, Melvin Gordon, and Todd Gurley has fallen off a cliff. We know this happens as running backs hit the tail end of their prime, but it still always come as a shock to some extent.

-David Montgomery and Miles Sanders have had up and down rookie seasons. Both are still solid bets to see a spike in value this offseason. We talk ourselves into taking the risk on young upside players, which isn’t actually a bad thing when the alternative is taking the age-related risk on older, proven backs.

-We could be talking about Devin Singletary in the same tier as Montgomery and Sanders soon. Feels like a breakout might be coming.

-Recent weeks have been a reminder that it is smart to stock the bottom of our rosters with as many decent running backs (including backups) as possible. Big games from Latavius Murray, Chase Edmonds, Jaylen Samuels, Carlos Hyde, etc. are proving their value.

The 2017 class

The story of the year at the running back position has been just how deep and talented the 2017 class now looks. In my most recent dynasty rankings update, I was astounded at how many members of the 2017 class ranked highly at the position. Here are the top backs from that class listed in order of their dynasty running back ranking:

That is 9 of the top 16 all from the same class…

We also have Marlon Mack, Tarik Cohen, Kareem Hunt, Jamaal Williams, and Matt Breida from that class who are also fantasy relevant.

For dynasty owners, this is more than just interesting trivia. All of these backs are going to be eligible for contract extensions in a few months, which leads to some questions:

  1. How many of these backs are going to holdout for new deals?
  2. How many are going to hit free agency in a year or two and land on a new roster?
  3. Of those hitting free agency, how many are going to be attractive enough targets that another team is going to want to make serious investments in them?
  4. With a lot of cheap, young, talented college backs set to hit the NFL in the next couple years, how does that impact the NFL roles and dynasty values of these backs?

If you are looking at your roster from a big picture, long-term perspective, these are some of the questions you should be asking yourself. Some of the above backs are going to have real staying power over the medium or long-term. Others from the list are likely to see their value take a major hit in the next year or two.

“Buy low, sell high” is easier said than done and requires taking some risk and making some tough choices. I suspect many of these 2017 backs are at or near the peak of their values. Hopefully, this at least provides some food for thought.

Wide Receiver

Rank
Player
2019 Value
Future Value
Total Value
1
8
36
44
2
7
33
40
3
8
32
40
4
7
33
40
5
6
33
39
6
Odell Beckham
6
32
38
7
7
31
38
8
6
31
37
9
4
32
36
10
6
29
35
11
4
26
30
12
5
25
30
13
5
22
27
14
3
24
27
15
D.J. Moore
3
21
24
16
1
23
24
17
6
16
22
18
4
18
22
19
4
14
18
20
4
12
16
21
Allen Robinson
4
12
16
22
2
14
16
23
3
13
16
24
DJ Chark
2
14
16
25
3
13
16
26
4
11
15
27
3
12
15
28
Marvin Jones
4
10
14
29
3
11
14
30
2
12
14
31
4
9
13
32
4
9
13
33
1
11
12
34
2
10
12
35
1
11
12
36
Will Fuller
1
11
12
37
2
10
12
38
2
9
11
39
3
7
10
40
1
9
10
41
NKeal Harry
0
10
10
42
3
6
9
43
Mecole Hardman
1
8
9
44
1
8
9
45
1
8
9
46
1
7
8
47
1
7
8
48
4
4
8
49
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside
0
7
7
50
2
5
7
51
3
4
7
52
1
6
7
53
3
4
7
54
2
5
7
55
2
5
7
56
1
6
7
57
Photos provided by Imagn Images
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