Draft Strategy: Love, Hate, and Risk-Reward at the Late Turn

Love, Hate, and Risk-Reward at the Late Turn

Last week, I shared several drafts from the early turn and the middle spots in 12-team PPR formats. The first set of drafts was one where I adhered closely to consensus views, and it led to results I loved.

The second set of drafts was where I adhered closely to consensus, and it led to results I hated. In the third set of drafts, I strategically veered away from consensus at various points, and it led to results I liked, if not loved.

We're ending this series this week with drafts from the late turn.

Strategic Thoughts About Drafting

Here's a basic overview of how I approach drafts.

• I don't enter drafts with a pre-set position-by-round strategy.
• I'm using my rankings, Average Draft Position (ADP) values, and a historical understanding of positional value to guide my decision-making.
• The range of variation with ADP widens as the draft unfolds; my late-round picks will often veer significantly from consensus, even if I'm sticking close to it in the early and middle rounds.
• I believe in prioritizing upside in the late rounds.
• I have a clearer vision of what I want to do from Rounds 13-20 -- my endgame -- than in the early rounds, and I use that clarity to guide my early and middle games. 

You'll see as this unfolds.

Love: Drafting at the Late Turn and Adhering Close to Consensus

Here's Draft No.1. All drafts listed are for 20-player rosters with a starting lineup of 1 QB, 2-3 RBs, 3-4 WRs, 1-2 TEs, 1 DEF, and 1 K with PPR scoring.

Love Draft No.1: Opening Rounds (1-6)

Most of the time, I'm seeking safe picks who are at or below consensus value. There will be occasional outliers who I have valued so far above the consensus that my projections still consider them values at the spots where I "reached" within 20-25 picks to take them.

• CeeDee Lamb: He has a high floor and high ceiling with a top big-play threat opposite him, a good offensive line, and a strong veteran quarterback. Last year's injuries and resulting production will scare people, but he fits the opening-round criteria. When playing at optimal health, he can be a top-five fantasy wide receiver. He's still the most versatile receiver on the Cowboys and the best all-around threat.  
• Derrick Henry: There's a part of the public that will say I told you so if Henry finally succumbs to a long-term injury. We know Henry's dedicated to nutrition and training. His offensive line should be better thanks to an upgrade at guard, better health, and Lamar Jackson being healthy and making life easier on the line when he is. Jackson also opens the ground game with his threat. I'm going for volume and red-zone opportunities, so I'll slightly reach for the combo of safety and upside, even if the perception is that safety gets less safe with each passing year. 
• Ladd McConkey: I rocked with Lamb in the first round because I believe he's no worse than a good fantasy WR2, and because McConkey has top-five fantasy WR upside in this offense. With my True Love drafts, I'll be reaching because I don't want to be faced with an either/or scenario with McConkey and another player I like but value slightly less.  
• Colston Loveland: The idea of taking a tight end this early always leads to a brief cringe, but I'm projecting Loveland's production to be at fantasy WR2 value. I usually don't recommend trying to split the arrow already in the bull's eye with early-round picks, but I believe in Ben Johnson and the eventual emergence of Caleb Williams as the leaders of the next elite fantasy offense that authors 3-5 top-end fantasy talents. I'm not counting on it to happen this year, but I'm betting on Loveland as one of the top-two producers in the Bears' passing game because he's a versatile match-up nightmare. I'd rather take the risk while he's still young.
• Carnell Tate: Because I'm confident that Parker Washington will be a fantasy WR2 or better this year, I'll take a shot on Tate establishing himself as a massive big-play threat during his rookie year and hope he reaches his ceiling as a borderline fantasy WR1 value.
• Parker Washington: The cycle of analysis should be reaching a point where we're hearing that there will be a narrow gap between Washington and the other receivers on the Jaguars. I can see it being close between Washington and Brian Thomas Jr. if Thomas can connect with Trevor Lawrence in the vertical game. Otherwise, Washington is having a career year. 

What I Love: High volume with red-zone potential across the board, and I got good players to lead my starting lineup at every position where early-round picks can have an advantage.

What Concerns Me: There are too many questions with most of the running backs available after the second round. Only grabbing one in the opening rounds concerns me this year.

Love Draft No.1: Middle Rounds (7-12)

The opening game is usually where I take RBs and WRs because the separation in value among QB1s after the top 2-3 his historically small. I'll take at least one QB in this range unless there are 2-3 tremendous value propositions available in the late rounds.

This is also the range where I'm targeting starters with higher ceilings than consensus believes, or options with floors and starter ceilings. Often, the positions I select complement my early-game picks.

Also, an undervalued TE with top-five upside, given his skills and surrounding talent, finds his way into the mix.

• Rico Dowdle: I'm expecting an even split with the Pittsburgh backfield, at best, but injuries can change the dynamic quickly, and Dowdle has three-down skills. He's not an ideal third back on paper, but the ceiling relative to his peers in this range makes him worth the gamble.
• Jonathon Brooks: Brooks may be less proven than Dowdle, but he is a good bet to eventually become the lead back in Carolina. Chuba Hubbard is a good contributor, but not a strong starter. Brooks has what it takes to become a top starter if the Panthers' offense gels.
• Bo Nix: Let's keep it simple. Nix has been QB8 and QB9 with one legitimate fantasy receiver. Now, he should have two to three and be running the same offense he did as a rookie. I'm buying. 
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Again, a calculated gamble on a back with the talent to lead a committee. I'm betting on Rachaad White more often, but as a speculative RB4, why not? 
• Tyrone Tracy Jr.: Cam Skattebo might not be ready to handle a full workload for the first half of the year. Tracy is a competent runner and a surprisingly good decision-maker as a conversion project from wide receiver earlier in his college career. 
• Jalen Coker: The most logical option to deliver WR2 value for the Panthers. Hopefully it translates to at least fantasy WR3 value.

What I Love: Four running backs who will at least be RB2s in two-back committees for their teams. Nix's receiving corps. Getting a potential fantasy starter at WR in Round 12.

What Concerns Me: I could be playing musical RB2s all year and missing all year because their production is too volatile to predict.

Love Draft No.1: Late Rounds (13-20)

At this stage, I'm fine with taking players I value far more than consensus. With this team, I only had one, and that was with the last pick in the draft. It means I could look into a top defense and kicker and have the flexibility to take them earlier than the final three rounds.

• C.J. Stroud: A better offensive line, maturing young receivers, and a back-breaking running back who can carry the load is a nice recipe for a quarterback with the talent to rebound from two years of disappointing play. 
• Brian Robinson Jr:  A capable starting RB behind a strong offensive line paving the way for Bijan Robinson.
• George Holani: Currently the starter. It may not last, but he's better than people think. 
• Kayshon Boutte: I don't want a trade late in training camp. That puts Boutte on a difficult learning curve. I want Boutte to either supplant a starter or take over for an injured starter. He's the second-best WR on the team.
• Denver Broncos Defense: I'm not really dead set on this defense; it's just the spot that I will likely consider one.
• Rashod Bateman: There are no fantasy expectations for him in the community, but he's the team's WR2, and they plan to move him around. He has fantasy starter talent. The price is great. 
• Keon Coleman/Jaylin Noel: Coleman is listed as the WR2. If Noel is a late riser in camp, I might take the chance on him.
• Best kicker available.

What I Love: On paper, I got a 15th-round starting RB on a good team and a starting WR in Rounds 19 and 20. All my picks at WR and RB have good offenses and supporting talent.

What Concerns Me: Boutte being a wasted pick due to a trade that limits his upside this year.

Draft No.2 I Love

Love Draft No.2: Opening Rounds (1-6)

Since the spot I'm drafting is the same, I'll only note the differences from previous teams.

• Saquon Barkley: I'm concerned about the passing offense flatlining without A.J. Brown and yet another new scheme, but I think the ground game will still survive. I expect enough volume for Barkley to deliver RB1 value. If the offense succeeds, Barkley has top-five talent and upside. 
• Tetairoa McMillan: If the Panthers still place McMillan in the slot as much as they anticipated before Chris Brazzell II's injury, McMillan has Drake London's big-slot fantasy ceiling. 

What I Love: Two high-volume RBs with big-play skill and four young receivers with big-play ability and high-volume potential.

What Concerns Me: McMillan and Tate lack proven QB talent.

Love Draft No.2: Middle Rounds (7-12)

• Dak Prescott: It's a little early for me to take a quarterback, but the Cowboys' surrounding talent relative to Prescott's draft capital is too good to pass up, especially when I've loaded up on early-round receivers  and have two load-bearing foundations at running back. 
• Michael Wilson: Marvin Harrison Jr. is an aspiring Mike Williams. Michael Wilson is a nearly finished Michael Thomas. Because of the buzz they got in college, everyone wants to believe Harrison has a higher ceiling. 
• Jordan Mason: He's in great shape and expected to lead this backfield.
• Chig Okonkwo: Stefon Diggs may place a ceiling on Okonkwo's value, but I'm going to be weak at a position; this is the one. 

What I Love: Prescott and Wilson -- high-end starter potential with high floors at their respective positions.

What Concerns Me: Mason is a boom-bust selection for my RB3. I neglected this position after Barkley and Henry.

Love Draft No.2: Late Rounds (13-20)

• Ray Davis: A capable starting RB behind a strong offensive line paving the way for James Cook III.
• Demond Claiborne: A talented dart throw. 
• New England Defense: I'm not really dead-set on this defense; it's just the spot that I will likely consider one.

What I Love: Late-round starter talent.

What Concerns Me: Starter talent at RB but not enough starter jobs for them.

Draft No.3 I Love

Love Draft No.3: Opening Rounds (1-6)

• Chase Brown: It pains me not to take Derrick Henry, but Brown's youth and receiving talent make him a high-floor player. 
• Jaylen Waddle: He should be the Broncos' WR1 and a fantasy WR1.

What I Love: A strong start with RBs and WRs, and I could get four consecutive WRs I like and know there's a fifth one available later.

What Concerns Me: Chase Brown's best year came when Joe Burrow missed significant playing time.

Love Draft No.3: Middle Rounds (7-12)

• Justin Herbert: If Tua Tagovailoa can deliver strong production on a per-game basis at the peak of this Mike McDaniel offense, I'm comfortable betting on a big year from Herbert. 
• Quentin Johnston: Steadily improved his game over the years; Johnston fits this offense perfectly because of his YAC skills. 
• Juwan Johnson: Jordan Tyson could limit Johnson's production, but there are injuries left that Tyson hasn't placed on his resume, and his body is aching to do it. 
• Tyler Allgeier: A starter talent who might see a significant split in touches in Arizona. Sure, it's possible his starter designation is about as honest as a political press conference, but Allgeier manages decisions well. 

What I Love: Getting Johnston this late gives me valuable redundancy with my receiving corps.

What Concerns Me: The same issue as Draft No. 2 -- I'm light on bell-cow RBs. It would be great to have three.

Love Draft No.3: Late Rounds (13-20)

What I Love: Late-round starter talent.

What Concerns Me: Starter talent at RB but not enough starter jobs for them. Kayshon Boutte's situation.

Hate: Late-Turn Drafts Adhering Close to Consensus

A lot of the players I love, but their value or how the selections impact the overall build are factors I hate about these drafts.

Hate Draft No.1: Opening Rounds (1-6)

I would not make most of these picks, but it's a good example of what adhering to the consensus can do if you're not careful.

• Omarion Hampton: If he earns enough touchdowns, he could be a fantasy RB1. He could also be the leading ball carrier in a three-headed backfield with low-end RB2 upside. While the offensive line and complementary passing game is there, the potential usage and his limitations with zone schemes make him a little more expensive than his value. 
• De'Von Achane: He'll get a lot of touches, but he's going to get "touched" a lot more with this offensive line, quarterback, and lack of established receiving talent. Expect a lot fewer targets for Achane due to the scheme. 
• Josh Jacobs: Injury and suspension could be problematic, but you could do worse as your fantasy RB3, and if Jacobs plays well, you could do a lot worse as your RB1.
• Tee Higgins: He's not a fantasy WR1, and it means I'm leaning on one of three other receivers in the next four rounds to deliver fantasy WR1 value. There's potential for it to happen, but I might have 3-4 WR2s. 
• Joe Burrow: He has the talent and the skill players to deliver top-two QB value that sometimes leads to an advantage for fantasy GMs, but history says it's better to wait on a quarterback in most leagues. 

What I Love: Three running backs with high-end starter upside and one of my favorite quarterbacks in the NFL today.

What Concerns Me: The likely misappropriation of value with drafting Burrow. The question marks with the Chargers' RB rotation of potentially three backs and the potential weakness of the Dolphins' offense as a whole. Three RBs this early dissuade me from drafting more -- and the boom-bust potential of this trio is stronger than I like. Tee Higgins and Carnell Tate as my first receivers off the board means I'm leaning solely on a "value WR corps," which also could easily mean a weak starting 3-4.

Hate Draft No.1: Middle Rounds (7-12)

• Travis Kelce: The prime years are likely over, and Jakobi Meyers or Jayden Higgins might have similar floors with higher upside at wide receiver in this range. You could then take Chig Okonkwo or Juwan Johnson who have similar floors and upside if Dallas Geodert or Mark Andrews don't fall to you at the next turn. 
• Deebo Samuel Sr.: You're hoping for red zone touchdowns as a runner to supplement what will be fantasy WR3 pass-catching numbers, at best. 
• Woody Marks: Based on how the team is deploying Marks this year, it wouldn't shock me if they add a free agent RB and give him significant touches at Marks' expense if David Montgomery gets hurt. There are better backup RBs with more proven offensive lines that could be taken here, such as Brian Robinson Jr and Ray Davis. Jaydon Blue isn't proven, but he has a better line and a higher ceiling. Alvin Kamara is a co-starter and available here. Marks is likely a wasted pick. 

What I Love:  Jordan Mason, Michael Wilson, and Quentin Johnston. Wilson and Johnston are good bets to save my corps and could be the WR1-WR2 values that make my WR draft plan an upside-down value.

What Concerns Me: Taking a scatback at RB who is a situational player, and his team may not consider him a lead back if an injury occurs. Overpaying for Travis Kelce.

Hate Draft No.1: Late Rounds (13-20)

• Dylan Sampson: See Woody Marks.
• Daniel Jones: Despite a hot start, Jones struggled against hybrid coverages and teams that shut down the run and/or stuffed Tyler Warren early. Jones is also a runner at the position. His Achilles rehab may be good enough for him to shuffle around a pocket, but asking him to drive the ball is a different story. Atlanta Falcons beat writers didn't talk about this all summer when Kirk Cousins was practicing off his tear, and neither is the Colts' media. 
• Mike Washington Jr.: A rookie with a bad ball security track record and less-than-impressive decision-making on a team that had one of the worst offensive lines in football last year for the ground game. 
• Antonio Williams: There are at least 4-5 NFL starters available here, and I took a rookie who was part of a wide receiver corps that was so impressive this spring that the Commanders signed 34-year-old Stefon Diggs as the second starter and will likely use a lot of 12 personnel. 
• Kaelon Black: So far, he's part of a two-RB committee as the 49ers' RB2. He's compelling, but George Holani might prove more useful at the same cost and on an offense that's considered better. 
• Darnell Mooney: Rashod Bateman is a starter on a better offense with a better quarterback. So is Keon Coleman. Pat Bryant might offer similar value as a WR3 in Denver and has a better QB, so the upside is better for Bryant as a WR3 or substitute WR1/WR2. 

What I Love: I like Kaelon Black. I don't love any of these picks.

What Concerns Me: Confidence in Daniel Jones and wasted picks with Williams, Mooney, and Sampson.

Draft I Hate No.2

Hate Draft No.2: Opening Rounds (1-6)

• Garrett Wilson: Likely a safer follow-up to Tee Higgins as my WR1 than Carnell Tate on paper. In reality, there's a chance Cam Ward outperforms Geno Wilson and Tate's production follows suit. 
• Drake Maye: Whether you like Maye more than Burrow or vice versa, it's still an expensive selection for a QB. The addition of A.J. Brown to the Patriots and Maye's strong 2025 performance will justify the selection to many, but Seattle exposed Maye in the Super Bowl, and the team adding Romeo Doubs at the likely expense of Kayshon Boutte and Stefon Diggs is a net decline for the corps.
• Jadarian Price: A boom-bust RB3 pick that has a chance of working out, but George Holani is available after the 15th round, and Holani is on track to start or earn a significant committee share. 

What I Love:  Higgins, Garrett Wilson, and Michael Wilson is a better WR trio than it may appear on paper, especially with Quentin Johnston drafted in the seventh round.

What Concerns Me: The same RB issues as Hate Draft No. 1. The same conceptual gripe with Maye that I have with taking Burrow this early. Drafting a member of a messy committee situation brewing in Seattle this early.

Hate Draft No.2: Middle Rounds (7-12)

• Isaiah Likely: Most don't see Likely as an unproven TE because of the highlights and quality games he has posted, but we haven't seen him put together a strong season. We also behave as if Theo Johnson isn't going to be an obstacle in Likely's path to fantasy TE1 value. 

What I Love: Johnston and Michael Wilson.

What Concerns Me: Everything.

Hate Draft No.2: Late Rounds (13-20)

• Jauan Jennings: Kyler Murray has only supported two fantasy starters in a passing game once in his NFL career. Jennings is fourth in the receiving game's pecking order. 
• Calvin Ridley: Think Odell Beckham Jr. with the Giants this year, but younger. 
• Geno Smith: At least I didn't overpay, and the Jets could be good enough that we see a resurgent season. 

What I Love: That this is a Hate Draft.

What Concerns Me: Foregoing NFL starters available at wide receiver for backups or contributors in bad situations.

Drafts I Hate No.3

Hate Draft No.3: Opening Rounds (1-6)

• Josh Jacobs: A good RB3 considering his healthy upside if he's not suspended for a long period of time.

What I Love: Three backs with RB1 upside on teams that plan to run the ball at a high volume.

What Concerns Me: Although all three backs have with RB1 upside, all three have lower fantasy floors than their RB peers in the same rounds. Only drafting three receivers in the first seven rounds and none in the first four.

Hate Draft No.3: Middle Rounds (7-12)

• Jakobi Meyers: A likely fantasy WR3/WR4 who will start for this team when it doesn't use three RBs. Solid pick. 
• Zach Charbonnet: In the last year of his deal and coming off an ACL tear, I wonder how much he'll really play and if he does, will he be effective? I'm not counting on it. 

What I Love: Michael Wilson and Quentin Johnston are an underrated 1-2 punch. Jakobi Meyers is a competent WR3. If you're going to wait this long to pick receivers, this trio might be the few frameworks with a shot of success with this strategy.

What Concerns Me: Woody Marks and Charbonnet are unlikely to play lead roles this year if injuries strike. They might have 1-2 quality games, but I doubt they'll perform well overall.

Hate Draft No.3: Late Rounds (13-20)

• T.J. Hockenson: There might be 8-10 tight ends on par with Hockenson in the NFL, but Kyle Murray's track record with supporting passing game talent is unimpressive. The only way Murray makes Hockenson a fantasy producer at a high level is if Murray ignores Justin Jefferson like he did Michael Wilson and Marvin Harrison Jr.. I'm not buying the Kevin O'Connell aura as an influence -- the QB whisperer persona is mostly metaphysical football talk.
• Aaron Rodgers: At least I waited long enough for a second quarterback. 

What I Love: Taking George Holani late as a potential surprise starter or high-end contributor to make up for or supplement my Charbonnet pick.

What Concerns Me: Bad receiver choices when I could have NFL starters with these picks who play for good/proven quarterbacks.

True Love: Forgetting Consensus at the Late Turn: Draft 1

I took more liberties with my choices and veered away from consensus value as a driver for my picks.

True Love Draft No.1: Opening Rounds (1-6)

• George Pickens: Because I value Ladd McConkey as an easy third-round prospect, pairing McConkey with Pickens is an exciting 1-2 punch. Even more so, because I value Parker Washington as a high-end fantasy WR2 and I'm getting him in the fifth round after taking two RBs I value with my opening picks.
• Kyle Pitts Sr.: I'm confident with my first five picks, and I know I can get a quality RB3/RB4 and a strong fourth receiver in Michael Wilson or Jakobi Meyers in the middle rounds. I also know decent QBs are available in the middle rounds. It makes taking a chance on an early-round tight end with top-three upside at his position a decent risk. Pitts figured it out last year, and the Kevin Stefanski offense will feature Pitts as one of the top-two options in the passing game.

What I Love: My starting rotation of RBs, WRs, and TEs all came from the opening rounds.

What Concerns Me: Taking Chase Brown over Saquon Barkley, but I wanted to diversify my strategy so I could show you who I'd also covet in this range if Barkley or Henry wasn't available.

True Love Draft No.1: Middle Rounds (7-12)

• J.K. Dobbins: As a college player, Dobbins was the feature back and didn't get hurt. The injuries began in the NFL. Dobbins promises he won't get hurt this year. That's not something I'd take too seriously, but let's entertain it for a moment. When we consider that Dobbins returned from two catastrophic injuries and still played well by changing his game to fit his body, it suggests he has a high awareness of his body. It's possible Dobbins knows what he's talking about because he's had the experience of what prolonged rehab experiences does to his durability versus the relatively minor injury that cost him time last year and how he feels now. We'll see, we're in the metaphysical bookstore again looking at the crystal-infused candles, but there was a time Yoga was in the woo-woo corner of these joints before it became mainstream. 
• Alvin Kamara: He's still a better runner than Travis Etienne Jr. The question is if he can remain durable enough to finish the season as an explosive enough runner to outplay Etienne. I don't know, but as the RB5 on my depth chart, I'll take that chance on a back with a great career who is still splitting reps with a back who is joining a questionable offensive line.

What I Love: Dobbins, Michael Wilson, Bo Nix, Jordan Mason, and Kamara all possess high ceilings and decent floors for their draft value. This is a deep bench so far.

What Concerns Me: That I would ever use ADP as a rule instead of a guideline in a fantasy draft.

True Love Draft No.1: Late Rounds (13-20)

• Jaydon Blue: Multiple people of note on the Cowboys have praised Blue's maturation. Blue as the talent to become an aspiring Austin Ekeler. Holding onto the ball will be a big priority for the team's current RB2. This could be a league-changing pick with an injury to Javonte Williams.
• Greg Dulcich: Now that Darren Waller is a Carolina Panther, I may consider him in this range as well. Still, Dulcich has the role in this play-action offense that could make him one of the top two options in this Dolphins' passing game. 

What I Love: Kayshon Boutte, Keon Coleman, and Rashod Bateman all have fantasy-starter ceilings, and they play in good offenses and/or with good quarterbacks. Coleman and Bateman are their team's WR2 on their respective depth charts. Blue is a game-breaking RB who can catch. Stroud's OL is better, and I think he will be, too.

What Concerns Me: Boutte's status this year as a player the Patriots want to trade. It might derail his 2026 season.

True Love: Forgetting Consensus at the Late Turn: Draft No.2

True Love Draft No.2: Opening Rounds (1-6)

What I Love: I know they're older, and they're in new schemes, but the play designs are that foreign to Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley. Folks might be overthinking or nitpicking their value. David Montgomery as my RB3? This is my favorite backfield I've drafted, especially when I can still go with the All-Waldman sleeper receiver corps of Ladd McConkey, Parker Washington, and Michael Wilson. This is a risk-reward lineup I love. Adding Pitts is a nice exclamation point.

What Concerns Me: If Washington (and Michael Wilson) don't take another step forward with their emergence, this could be a weak receiver corps in a hurry.

True Love Draft No.2: Middle Rounds (7-12)

What I Love: Jonathan Brooks as my RB4 with fantasy RB2 upside feels right. Wilson as my WR3 feels like a fantastic bargain. I'm rolling with Bo Nix whenever I can't get Matthew Stafford. Jordan Mason is a good RB5, and Tank Bigsby is a nice redundancy for the Barkley pick.

What Concerns Me: I like Jalen Coker, but I'd prefer my team's WR4 to play like another team's WR3. Might not happen. Then again, with my RB depth, I might not need a WR4 very often.

True Love Draft No.2: Late Rounds (13-20)

• Pat Bryant: The SI writer covering the Broncos either got paid by Bryant to hype him like there's no tomorrow or Bryant is truly having a strong camp and Sean Payton's thoughts have direct bearing on his usage. I'm not convinced at all that Bryant will overtake a healthy Courtland Sutton this year, and I'm wondering how much time Bryant will earn as the WR3 when Troy Franklin delivers a speed element as an inside-out receiver against specific defensive looks that could be more appealing conceptually for play-calling. At this point of the draft, I'll consider it, especially when I could still land NFL team WR2s, Rashod Bateman and Keon Coleman. 

What I Love: There's a world where Bryant, Coker, Bateman, and Coleman could be an effective fantasy lineup. I don't want to test it, but I think 1-2 of these options have a chance to deliver high-end WR4 fantasy value. Bigsby and Brian Robinson Jr are good backup RBs with starter ceilings in fantasy.

What Concerns Me: Greg Dulcich. I'm not sure I want a second tight end on my team. I might prefer the waiver wire as my friend if I'm rolling with Pitts or Loveland this early.

True Love: Forgetting Consensus at the Late Turn: Draft No.3

True Love Draft No.3: Opening Rounds (1-6)

• Jameson Williams: I can easily see Williams outplaying George Pickens this year, and he's a potential bargain fantasy WR1. 

What I Love: My 1-2 punch at RB, my top four receivers (Wilson in the middle rounds), and Pitts to cap the opening rounds.

What Concerns Me: I don't know if I like having David Montgomery as my RB3 and Jonathon Brooks as my RB4 (Draft No.2) more than the duo of Jameson Williams and J.K. Dobbins. Montgomery offers more red-zone upside without a committee problem, but Williams may have a higher floor than Montgomery. I'm leaning toward the Montgomery-Brooks pairing, but it's close.

True Love Draft No. 3: Middle Rounds (7-12)

What I Love: Tyrone Tracy Jr. could be a decent committee option during bye weeks.

True Love Draft No. 3: Late Rounds (13-20)

• Jordan James: I'm not in love with a committee RB2 scenario that could happen in San Francisco if Christian McCaffrey gets hurt. 
• Evan Engram: I might like Engram in Year 2 with the Broncos more than Dulcich in Year 1 with the Dolphins, especially as a TE2 available later than Dulcich. 

What I Love: This team has decent WR depth, three quality RBs, and strong RB depth in terms of playing time and potential volume. Getting the Texans defense would also be a nice pick. This team has no real holes.

See you next week.

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